The Numbers Desk

Sports through the numbers. 📊
Data-driven insights for CFB, NFL, NBA, MLB & more.
Bet smarter. Not harder.

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Jacoby Brissett threw for 277 yards in Week 1 (1 TD, 0 INT).

SEA allows 212 passing yards a game, 15th in the NFL against the pass.

FanDuel: 216.5. Projection 226. No edge either way; the game script decides.

SEA at ARI · SEA -3.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 122 receiving yards on 8 catches in Week 1.

ARI allows 216 passing yards a game, 16th in the NFL against the pass.

FanDuel: 81.5. Projection 89. No edge either way; the game script decides.

SEA at ARI · SEA -3.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

LJ Martin has gone for 54 and 98 rushing yards over his last 2 games (76 a game, 5.6 a carry).

Colorado State allows 152 rushing yards a game, 71st in FBS against the run.

FanDuel: 106.5. Projection 97 (cleared it 0 of 2). Slight lean under; the hot streak is due to cool.

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Breece Hall went for 102 rushing yards on 22 carries in Week 1 (4.6 a carry).

GB allows 100 rushing yards a game, 17th in the NFL against the run.

FanDuel: 67.5. Projection 74. No edge either way; the game script decides.

GB at NYJ · GB -3.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB totals through Week 3

Going over:
Toledo 3-0 (+23.5 vs total)
Purdue 3-0 (+22.5 vs total)
Alabama 3-0 (+19.2 vs total)
Ohio 3-0 (+18.8 vs total)

Going under:
Utah State 0-3 (-20.5 vs total)
Tulsa 0-3 (-16.2 vs total)
UNLV 0-3 (-14.5 vs total)
Oklahoma 0-3 (-14.2 vs total)

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Kalif Raymond had 84 receiving yards on 8 catches in Week 1.

MIN allows 353 passing yards a game, bottom five in the NFL (30th of 32) against the pass.

FanDuel: 27.5. Projection 43. Form and matchup both say over.

MIN at CHI · CHI -4.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Bear Bachmeier has thrown for 198 and 217 yards over his last 2 games (208 a game, 6 TD, 0 INT).

Colorado State allows 132 passing yards a game, 17th in FBS against the pass.

FanDuel: 217.5. Projection 198 (cleared it 0 of 2). This defense makes the under live.

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

NFL Week 2 by the numbers

Favorites 8-8 ATS · home teams 8-8 · overs 6-10
Biggest cover: CAR by 28.5 vs ATL (CAR -2.5)
Most yards: KC 523 (135 rushing, 388 passing) vs IND
Won while out-gained: CIN over HOU (out-gained by 106 yards)

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Kewan Lacy has gone for 61 and 87 rushing yards over his last 2 games (74 a game, 4.9 a carry).

LSU allows 46 rushing yards a game, best in FBS against the run.

FanDuel: 84.5. Projection 74 (cleared it 1 of 2). This defense makes the under live.

LSU at Ole Miss · LSU -3

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

PIT at NE: injury report · NE -5.5

PIT: CB J. Porter Jr. (out)
NE: CB C. Davis III (out)

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Christian Watson had 147 receiving yards on 6 catches in Week 1.

NYJ allows 148 passing yards a game, 4th in the NFL against the pass.

FanDuel: 60.5. Projection 72. The form says over.

GB at NYJ · GB -3.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

JAX at DEN: injury report · DEN -3

JAX: no key injuries reported
DEN: WR M. Mims Jr. (out)

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Lanorris Sellers has thrown for 270 and 96 yards over his last 2 games (183 a game, 3 TD, 1 INT).

Mississippi State allows 171 passing yards a game, 36th in FBS against the pass.

FanDuel: 239.5. Projection 210 (cleared it 1 of 2). This defense makes the under live.

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Jordan Love threw for 387 yards in Week 1 (2 TD, 1 INT).

NYJ allows 148 passing yards a game, 4th in the NFL against the pass.

FanDuel: 257.5. Projection 268. No edge either way; the game script decides.

GB at NYJ · GB -3.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

MIA at SF: injury report · SF -13.5

MIA: LB C. Robinson (out)
SF: no key injuries reported

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Chris Olave had 182 receiving yards on 10 catches in Week 1.

BAL allows 153 passing yards a game, 5th in the NFL against the pass.

FanDuel: 71.5. Projection 87. The form says over.

NO at BAL · BAL -8.5

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

CFB passing yards per game through Week 2
Best offenses

1. SMU 435
2. Miami 428
3. LSU 401
4. Oregon State 370
5. Florida International 356
6. Arizona State 350
7. South Carolina 347
8. Arkansas State 344

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

Purdue at UCLA: the pass game · UCLA -14, O/U 52.5

Purdue throws for 305 a game (#24 in CFB), 6.8 per pass play.
UCLA allows 168 passing yards a game (#32).

UCLA throws for 157 (#102), 6.5 per pass play.
Purdue allows 215 (#62).

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

NFL rushing yards per game allowed through Week 1
Best defenses (lower is better)

1. LV 35
2. NYJ 47
3. ARI 52
4. NYG 55
5. CIN 59
6. KC 59
7. ATL 61
8. SEA 65

[The Numbers Desk @TheNumbersDesk]

PIT at NE: the run game · NE -5.5, O/U 41.5

PIT runs for 61 a game (#26 in NFL), 3.4 per carry.
NE allows 84 rushing yards a game (#12).

NE runs for 65 (#25), 2.4 per carry.
PIT allows 120 (#23).