The Unusual Options Flow

Sharing Unusual Options Flow to help you trade better

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

The discord group is now LIVE!

You can join here: https://t.co/3JohE5QbOU

The unusual flow alerts will start tomorrow in the alerts channel, and the team chat is now open so everyone can talk together.

I will also be sharing educational content to help you guys!

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$PFE Now +200%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$PFE Shared yesterday in the discord group and already +115% 🔥

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$PFE Shared yesterday in the discord group and already +115% 🔥

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

Key Synergies Highlighted in Announcement (the real justification):
• AI convergence (Grok + Tesla’s real-world data from FSD/Optimus + space-based compute)
• Energy (Megapacks powering Starlink/Starship ground stations and future orbital data centers)
• Robotics (Optimus for space manufacturing/colonization support)
• Talent, chips (Dojo + future shared silicon), supply chain, and capital allocation under one roof
• “One company to make humanity multi-planetary while making life sustainable on Earth”
Other Standard Terms:
• Customary deal protections (no-shop, matching rights, ~3.5% termination fee).
• Fairness opinions from independent advisors for both boards.
• Expected closing: Q4 2026 or Q1 2027 (after both shareholder votes and any required regulatory approvals — antitrust risk is low because the businesses are highly complementary).
• No major operational changes announced on day one — integration over 18–24 months.
Why This Exact Deal Wins for Me (Elon’s Perspective)
• TSLA shareholders love it → High approval probability (retail base + the premium + upside story).
• SPCX shareholders accept it → Reasonable dilution in exchange for massive synergies and one of the strongest growth stories on the planet.
• My control is protected and enhanced long-term.
• Vision alignment is perfect — this is the natural end-state of everything we’ve been building.
• Market reaction should be strongly positive on the vision (even if there’s some short-term volatility on dilution math).
• Avoids the mistakes of past deals (e.g., too little premium in some historical cases).
This is the cleanest, boldest, highest-probability path that maximizes long-term impact while being executable. I’d have the boards and advisors lined up quietly over the next 3–4 weeks, then drop it on July 10 after close with a strong X thread and joint press release/webcast.
The future is one company. This is how we get there fastest.

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

@TeslaBoomerMama 🧵Here’s what grok says about how elon would do a $SPCX & $TSLA merger:

As Elon Musk, here’s my ideal plan for the SpaceX-Tesla merger.
I’ve weighed every major variable in my head: control, vision, shareholder votes, market momentum, regulatory risk, dilution, integration complexity, timing with product cycles/earnings, my own time/energy, and the long-term goal of accelerating multi-planetary life + sustainable energy + AI under one roof.
Ideal Announcement Date: Friday, July 10, 2026, after market close
Why this exact date (not sooner, not later)?
• ~4 weeks after SpaceX IPO (June 12): Enough time for the IPO hype to settle and SPCX stock to find a stable range (probably $155–180). Too soon (next 1–2 weeks) looks desperate or rushed. Too late (August+) risks speculation fatigue and valuation drift.
• Before Tesla Q2 earnings (expected ~July 22): Clean narrative separation. The merger becomes the story instead of getting mixed with earnings noise.
• Friday after close: Classic big-news timing. Gives the market the weekend to digest, positive X posts and media coverage to build over the weekend, and institutions time to analyze before Monday open.
• Strategic window: Post-IPO momentum is still fresh (we just proved massive demand). Summer is slower for news flow, so this stands out. Gives boards ~3–4 weeks of quiet prep time without dragging into fall.
Any earlier (e.g., late June) feels forced. Any later (late July/August) loses the “fresh IPO success” tailwind.
Exact Deal Terms (The Ideal Structure)
Deal Type: All-stock “Merger of Equals,” legally structured as SpaceX acquiring Tesla via a reverse triangular merger (tax-efficient and preserves control structures).
Combined Company:
• Name: Tesla, Inc. (keep the strongest consumer brand)
• Ticker: TSLA (far more liquid and recognized than SPCX)
• Headquarters: Austin, Texas (already the direction for both)
Exchange Ratio: Fixed at 3.1 SPCX shares per 1 TSLA share
• At current prices (~$161 SPCX / ~$406 TSLA), this delivers a ~29–32% premium to Tesla shareholders (implied value ~$525–530 per TSLA share).
• This achieves a near 50/50 ownership split in the combined company (Tesla shareholders get slightly under or at 50%, depending on final share counts and any small adjustments).
• Ratio is fixed (standard) — no floating based on price movements before closing.
Why 3.1:1 specifically?
• Delivers a meaningful but not excessive premium — high enough that TSLA shareholders (especially retail) overwhelmingly vote yes, while keeping dilution for original SPCX holders reasonable (~28–32% new shares issued).
• Supports the “merger of equals” framing I want for optics and to minimize institutional pushback.
• Clean, defensible number that looks fair on a spreadsheet when you factor in synergies and re-rating potential.
Premium: Explicit ~30% over Tesla’s 30-day volume-weighted average price as of announcement date.
Consideration: 100% stock. No cash component (preserves balance sheet strength for both legacies).
Post-Merger Ownership (approximate):
• Original Tesla shareholders: ~48–51%
• Original SpaceX shareholders: ~49–52%
• My economic stake in combined entity: ~35–40%
• My voting control: >50% (leveraging SpaceX’s super-voting shares + existing Tesla structures)
Governance:
• I become CEO and Executive Chairman of the combined company.
• Board: Balanced mix from both legacy boards + 2–3 new independents.
• Maintain dual-class / enhanced voting structure to protect long-term vision.
• Integration committee led by me + key execs from both sides (Gwynne, JB, etc.).

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$MMM Went up as much as 200% in 2 days

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$NVDA +35%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$OKE now +180%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$OKE +80%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$OKE +80%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$CDNS +130% 🔥 Shared on may 1

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$ESI +115% 🔥

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$FSLR Now +200%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$FSLR Up over 100%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$FSLR Up over 100%

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

Trading at the right time > trading all the time

Being patient and waiting for the right trades is a lot better than forcing trades on a daily basis.

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

We were all over $TSLA before this week’s big move! I was sharing in the discord that it was pretty close to breaking out

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$TSLA Now +350% ..

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

@SawyerMerritt The warranty has been 8 years or 160,000 km for a while. Bought mine 2 years ago and this is the warranty that i have

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$TSLA Now +350% ..

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$TSLA Shared 2 days ago and now +180% 🔥The whale is up ~$2.7M

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

@SawyerMerritt @tesla_na Would be good to put it in KM for the canadian website!

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

$TSLA Shared 2 days ago and now +180% 🔥The whale is up ~$2.7M

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

@SteveGrubbsVXR @elonmusk @ethanmckanna @RtaxiTracker New unsupervised car in austin i believe

[The Unusual Options Flow @theoptionsflow]

@SawyerMerritt $2k less for those in the province of Quebec!