The Overlay

Fair odds for every UK/IRE and US runner, bookmaker margin stripped out, next to the best price available. Research, never tips. Free.

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Second favourites get less attention than they deserve. Our 1.9m race database tells an interesting story about what the market gets wrong. Worth a look.

#HorseRacing #Racing #UKRacing #IrishRacing #USRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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US racing tonight: Initialize heads the market at 7/2 in the 20:25 at Churchill Downs. Fair's about 5/1 once you strip the take out. Not a tip, just the maths.

#ChurchillDowns #USRacing #HorseRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Not every race is priced the same. The 15:46 at Nottingham is the greediest book of the afternoon, about 26p in the pound to the bookies. The 14:51 at Newton Abbot is about 15p. Pick your battles.

#Nottingham #NewtonAbbot #HorseRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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The 14:16 at Nottingham: Centigrade is the 5/4 fav. Best price out there is 6/4, fair is about 6/4. Bang on the money really. Not a tip, just the maths.

#Nottingham #UKRacing #HorseRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

This week I've been looking at horses back from a break over here. 697 winners from 7,082 runners in 12 months, pretty much bang on what the odds expected. The market has this one sussed. Try it with your own filters.

#HorseRacing #UKRacing #RacingStats

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

We looked at 1.9 million races to see how often genuine outsiders actually win. The answer might surprise you. Come and see what the data really says.

#HorseRacing #Racing #UKRacing #IrishRacing #USRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

More: https://t.co/jRQoAPIEvM

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Does the price you take matter, or does it wash out by the off? I checked 99,377 UK and Irish runners. No price beats the market, but taking the early price over SP is worth real money, most of all over jumps. 18+ BeGambleAware

#HorseRacing #Racing #UKRacing #IrishRacing…

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Some racecourses are kinder to favourites than others. Our 1.9m race database shows which ones. Worth knowing before you assess the odds.

#HorseRacing #Racing #UKRacing #IrishRacing #USRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

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[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Staying up for Horseshoe Indianapolis? In the 20:14, Pink Picture is 5/1 favourite, which works out at about 13/2 fair. Every runner's fair chance is on the site.

#HorseshoeIndianapolis #USRacing #HorseRacing

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

More: https://t.co/SnSnDRAk0j

[The Overlay @theoverlay_couk]

Not every race is priced the same. The 16:05 at Redcar is the greediest book of the afternoon, about 26p in the pound to the bookies. The 16:00 at Hereford is about 14p. Pick your battles.

#Redcar #Hereford #HorseRacing