The Projection Room Forecast

An amateur forecast modeling website that predicts elections, sports, and more. Run by @zecellomaster

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

Our 2026 #FIFAWorldCup forecast is now live! Chances to win it all:
🇦🇷 Argentina (13%)
🇪🇸 Spain (11%)
🇨🇴 Colombia (7%)
🇫🇷 France (6%)
🇧🇷 Brazil (6%)
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England (5%)
🇧🇪 Belgium (5%)
🇵🇹 Portugal (4%)
🇩🇪 Germany (4%)
🇳🇱 Netherlands (4%)

Updating here:
https://t.co/Xf7LB9NffB

[Zecellomaster @zecellomaster]

Shocking result for #Qatar, who manage to get their first points ever in a #FIFAWorldCup match by drawing against Switzerland on a stoppage time goal.

@theprforecast's model now has them at a 30% chance to qualify for the Round of 32. #Switzerland's went from 95% -> 78%.

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

In the end, our model did quite well for #CopaAmerica, including having the best Brier score in SophCon! Thanks to everyone who checked out our forecasts for both that tournament and #EURO2024. We hope to see you again soon!

[Futbolmetrix @Futbolmetrix1]

Copa America 2024 SophCon final standings. Congrats to @dopeisland23 !

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

Our #CopaAmerica2024 model is rather competitive in accuracy compared to others, but there’s still 16 matches to go before a winner can be crowned. Keep up with our updating model!

https://t.co/oc5PqWQFIU

[Futbolmetrix @Futbolmetrix1]

Copa America SophCon , Standings after Match Day 2:

[Zecellomaster @zecellomaster]

It’s do or die for Scotland and Hungary in #EURO2024

Chances to advance with W/D/L…

Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿: >99%/10%/<1%
Hungary 🇭🇺: 82%/<1%/<1%

Per @theprforecast model 👇

https://t.co/YNoPQdzcCj

[Zecellomaster @zecellomaster]

Key match for Belgium and Romania in #EURo2024
Chances to advance with W/D/L…

Belgium: 86%/51%/39%
Romania: >99%/>99%/83%

Per @theprforecast model 👇

https://t.co/YNoPQdyEML

[Zecellomaster @zecellomaster]

Turkey is down 2-0 to Portugal at the beginning of the second half. Per our model @theprforecast, even with a loss, they still have an 89% chance of making the knockout stage. A draw or a win would give them a >99% chance to advance. #EURo2024

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

We’re back! 😁

Predictions for #CopaAmérica updating after each match on our website!

https://t.co/oc5PqWQ7Tm

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

We’re still forecasting the season! Check out more below:

https://t.co/SLozNBuLG2

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

Months ago, we tweeted about how @SoundersFC was leading the #MLS by most metrics.

No more.

@NERevolution has won its first Supporter’s Shield, capped off with an 8 game unbeaten streak, securing 20/24 possible points.

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

What an amazing tournament! The final #EURO2020 update has been posted to the site. Congratulations to Italy for winning it all. We hope you will continue to check out our stuff!

https://t.co/C4pcT4Ju1c

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

See more on our website (3/3).

https://t.co/C4pcT514SK

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

With the semifinals of #EURO2020 starting today, here are the chances all remaining teams have to make the finals.

#BEL are still the favorites, but #ENG have rocketed into second favorites after their win vs #GER. (1/3)

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

England's sudden surge is because the model has them favored to beat #UKR tomorrow (71% chance) and London will be hosting the both the semifinals and final matches, giving them a boost due to home-field advantage. (2/3)

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

Still, there are 10 matches to be played before the final, so anything could happen. See what's more likely (or not) to occur below:

https://t.co/C4pcT514SK

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

12 teams remain in #EURO2020. Our model still sees #BEL as the favorites, with a 32% chance of winning it all.

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

The spike in Belgium's odds are mostly due to the fact that yesterday they were able to beat Portugal and #NED's surprise exit to #CZE left somewhat of a vacuum.

We could see this change depending on what happens with today's games.

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

We’ve updated the site for the #EURO2020 knockout rounds. Check it out!

https://t.co/C4pcT514SK

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

This group is one with a lot of permutations, so check out our website to see the chance of each ending.

https://t.co/C4pcT514SK

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

For today's first #EURO2020 double header, Group E concludes with #SWE vs #POL and #ESP vs #SVK.

Sweden have already advanced, but would like to clinch 1st (41% chance), cementing a surprise performance for the Swedes.

As for Poland, it's win or go home (36% chance to move on).

[The Projection Room Forecast @theprforecast]

#ESP were tournament favorites, but have been underperforming as of late. They have a 66% chance of moving on and are still favored to win the group (44%) but only by a sliver and must beat #SVK to do so.

#SVK also need a win; they have a 35% chance to remain at #EURO2020.