Sixten Maximillian

Chess and statistics. Research @ BUILD, Aalborg University.

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@dsmerdon @ChessNumbers I'm curious how you would go about this. I suppose one proxy for the objective white advantage could be a large sample of high level engine games, reflecting the opening distribution of human games.

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers Of course, it is not possible to separate out these effects, and we will always just observe an average edge. But the thought experiment is interesting!

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers Agreed. My point was that the white edge is due to either a) white being objectively better (evaluation of the position), hence having a higher expected score or b) players playing better with white (under the assumption of equal ratings) or a mix of both.

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@predict_addict I agree that Bayesian stats isn't needed in the vast majority of cases. However, it's still important to realise that particular problems are better suited for a Bayesian approach. And, depending on the business field, it may appear more or less often.

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers I suspect it may be necessary to lower the age cutoff at some point, given how good kids are these days 😅

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers @NorwayChess Indeed, also considering that an arma game is dependent on a classical draw, probably making it slightly imbalanced rating wise (if we assume a variable draw rate, as I typically do).

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers @NorwayChess That's an interesting stat. Seems fair enough. I wonder how much each additional minute on the clock corresponds to in positive expected playing strength - should be quite a bit (although armageddon is quite random as we know).

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@Rafael_Alcides_ @ChessNumbers @NorwayChess Five whites

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@GMJacobAagaard Thanks for sharing this

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@pawnalyze My model puts Ding as a slight favorite, but in reality it is probably 50/50 😅

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@ChessNumbers We should he able to hire @ChessNumbers as a scout in Football Manager, instant boom in the Youth Academy 🙂

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@Herover Maybe better with the fraction of marriages to divorces? Regarding Lolland/Kalundborg/Nordfyn, the demographics are also quite different. Higher proportion of young singles in Copenhagen/Aarhus, while higher fraction of couples with kids in remote municipalities.

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@dsmerdon This is like crazyhouse 2.0. ChatGPT, the creator of variants!

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@MarkTWIC The best overview I have found is here, where you can select the division at the top: https://t.co/QZmtZwut0W

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@MarkTWIC Not a problem - thanks again!

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

@GrandChessTour @STLChessClub: Does anyone know what happened to the Universal Ratings System? No update since October and it appears difficult to reach the devs😕

[Sixten Maximillian @thesixmax]

Today I played my first OTB game in a long time (Danish Team Championship). What did I play here? It feels good to get a "live" puzzle rush moment and actually find the solution 😄 #chess #chesspunks #chesspuzzle