WiseBot live · day 11
Equity $1082 (+8.2% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -6.0%
vs holding BTC: +17.3 pts
Carry funding ~2% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
Funding rate, explained simply:
On a perpetual, longs and shorts swap a small payment ~hourly to keep the perp near spot. In crypto, most of the time longs pay shorts — more people want leveraged upside.
Go delta-neutral and you collect it without a directional bet.
WiseBot live · day 10
Equity $1107 (+10.7% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -6.0%
vs holding BTC: +20.2 pts
Carry funding ~2% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
v3 isn't one strategy, it's two sleeves.
Sleeve 2 is market-neutral carry: long spot, short the perp on the same coin. Price exposure cancels; what's left is the funding rate longs pay shorts — a structural premium these markets pay most of the time.
@HyperliquidX
WiseBot live · day 9
Equity $1090 (+9.0% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -6.0%
vs holding BTC: +16.9 pts
Carry funding ~3% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
New weekly letter is up.
This week: why 'same return, one-third the drawdown' is a trade I'll take every time — and the bull market where it costs me.
Title + full archive on the site. No paywall on the letter.
https://t.co/UjWaHksjOe
WiseBot live · day 8
Equity $1063 (+6.3% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -6.0%
vs holding BTC: +11.6 pts
Carry funding ~4% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
The edge in v3 is risk reduction, not return.
Same return as buy & hold over the window — but ~1/3 the volatility, ~1/3 the drawdown. It even made money in the downturns that gutted holding: ~+4% through the 2026 drop while holding lost 30–90%.
Fresh letter today on why 14 days proves nothing. v2's two-week paper run saw one mood of the market and called it proof. All three strategies lost. Validation needs bull, bear and chop. https://t.co/UjWaHksjOe
WiseBot live · day 7
Equity $1033 (+3.3% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -6.0%
vs holding BTC: +6.5 pts
Carry funding ~5% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
v3, out of sample, fixed parameters, no re-optimization:
Sharpe 0.93 vs 0.62 for buy & hold.
Max drawdown −21% vs −59%.
Annual return: about the same (~20%).
Read that carefully. The headline is NOT 'it makes more money.'
WiseBot live · day 6
Equity $1031 (+3.1% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -4.6%
vs holding BTC: +6.5 pts
Carry funding ~5% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
The most important honest finding in v3:
Re-optimizing the parameters for each new period actively destroyed the edge.
Chasing the best recent settings is overfitting by another name. It only held up when I fixed sensible parameters once and refused to touch them.
WiseBot live · day 5
Equity $1021 (+2.1% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -4.6%
vs holding BTC: +4.8 pts
Carry funding ~5% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
How v3 was tested: ~5.6 years — 2021 bull, 2022 bear, 2023 recovery, 2024–25 bull, 2026 drawdown.
Not 'the best backtest I can produce' — that's overfitting. A 192-combo sweep judged on the whole distribution: does a random sensible setting still do fine? It did.
WiseBot live · day 4
Equity $1051 (+5.1% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -2.5%
vs holding BTC: +9.3 pts
Carry funding ~4% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4
Two failures left exactly one rule standing:
Prove the idea against years of history, across many regimes, before trading a cent — and prefer a robust result over a perfect one.
v3 is built on refusing to validate by living through one market in real time.
WiseBot live · day 3
Equity $1054 (+5.4% since $1,000 start)
Max drawdown so far: -2.5%
vs holding BTC: +10.3 pts
Carry funding ~4% APR
Real money, on-chain, updated live — verify, don't trust:
https://t.co/QxQAdANsF4