Thiago Bohn

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@metsul Ajuda muito na compreensão ter as referências se maio.

[MetSul.com @metsul]

🔴 URGENTE | Projeção recém divulgada do modelo hidrológico pelo IPH da @ufrgsnoticias indica que o Guaíba pode superar o pico do último fim de semana e atingir até 5,50 metros. Consideramos o cenário factível pela vazão que está vindo dos rios e o vento Sul que soprará forte.

[What a week, huh? all Wednesdays @whataweekhuh]

Hello there, long time no see

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@MartinBehrend Acho que seu portal está fora do ar.

[Historic Vids @historyinmemes]

"For a small amount of perspective at this moment, imagine you were born in 1900…

Then on your 14th birthday, World War I starts, and ends on your 18th birthday. 22 million people perish in that war, including many of your friends who volunteered to defend freedom in Europe.

Later in the year, a Spanish Flu epidemic hits the planet and runs until your 20th birthday. 50 million people die from it in those two years. Yes, 50 million.

On your 29th birthday, the Great Depression begins. Unemployment hits 25%, the World GDP drops 27%. That runs until you are 38. The country nearly collapses along with the world economy. If you were lucky, you had a job that paid $300 a year, a dollar a day.

When you turn 39, World War II starts. You aren't even over the hill yet, but don't try to catch your breath. If you lived in London, England, or most of continental Europe, bombing of your neighborhood, or invasion of your country by foreign soldiers along with their tank and artillery was a daily event. Between your 39th and 45th birthday, 75 million people perish in the war.

At 50, the Korean War starts. 5 million perish. At 55, the Vietnam War begins and doesn't end for 20 years. Millions of people perish in that conflict.

On your 62nd birthday, there is the Cuban Missile Crisis, a tipping point in the Cold War. Life on our planet, as we know it, could have ended. Sensible leaders prevented that from happening.

In 2020, we have the COVID-19 pandemic. Thousands have died; it feels pretty dangerous; and it is.

Now think of everyone on the planet born in 1900. How do you think they survived all of the above? When you were a kid in 1965, you didn't think your 65-year-old grandparents understood how hard school was, and how mean that kid in your class was. Yet they survived through everything listed above.

Perspective is an amazing art. Refined as time goes on, and very enlightening. So, let's try and keep things in perspective. Let's be smart, we are all in this together. Let's help each other out, and we will get through all of this.”

-Author Unknown

[Peter Nixey @peternixey]

I'm in the top 2% of users on StackOverflow. My content there has been viewed by over 1.7M people. And it's unlikely I'll ever write anything there again.

Which may be a much bigger problem than it seems. Because it may be the canary in the mine of our collective knowledge.

A canary that signals a change in the airflow of knowledge: from human-human via machine, to human-machine only. Don’t pass human, don’t collect 200 virtual internet points along the way.

StackOverflow is *the* repository for programming Q&A. It has 100M users & saves man-years of time & wig-factories-worth of grey hair every single day.

It is driven by people like me who ask questions that other developers answer. Or vice-versa. Over 10 years I've asked 217 questions & answered 77. Those questions have been read by millions of developers & had tens of millions of views.

But since GPT4 it looks less & less likely any of that will happen; at least for me. Which will be bad for StackOverflow. But if I'm representative of other knowledge-workers then it presents a larger & more alarming problem for us as humans.

What happens when we stop pooling our knowledge with each other & instead pour it straight into The Machine? Where will our libraries be? How can we avoid total dependency on The Machine? What content do we even feed the next version of The Machine to train on?

When it comes time to train GPTx it risks drinking from a dry riverbed. Because programmers won't be asking many questions on StackOverflow. GPT4 will have answered them in private. So while GPT4 was trained on all of the questions asked before 2021 what will GPT6 train on?

This raises a more profound question. If this pattern replicates elsewhere & the direction of our collective knowledge alters from outward to humanity to inward into the machine then we are dependent on it in a way that supercedes all of our prior machine-dependencies.

Whether or not it "wants" to take over, the change in the nature of where information goes will mean that it takes over by default.

Like a fast-growing Covid variant, AI will become the dominant source of knowledge simply by virtue of growth. If we take the example of StackOverflow, that pool of human knowledge that used to belong to us - may be reduced down to a mere weighting inside the transformer.

Or, perhaps even more alarmingly, if we trust that the current GPT doesn't learn from its inputs, it may be lost altogether. Because if it doesn't remember what we talk about & we don't share it then where does the knowledge even go?

We already have an irreversible dependency on machines to store our knowledge. But at least we control it. We can extract it, duplicate it, go & store it in a vault in the Arctic (as Github has done).

So what happens next? I don't know, I only have questions.

None of which you'll find on StackOverflow.

(I write on AI from a technical and product perspective. If you find that interesting then please do follow me for more)

[Years Progress @YearsProgress]

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[Olé de Minas @Ole_MG]

Pelé já fazia tudo que vemos hoje.
Veja o vídeo:

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@Nunoreisjr @reportersalles Essa foto é de ontem. Hoje não está chovendo.

[Soldado Ferido @SoldadoFerid0]

Eu sendo tio

[Página de memes sem nome @paginasemnome__]

Motivação pra vocês

[Geopizza Podcast @Geopizzza]

Se liga 👇
na rua mais perigosa da Cidade do México 😳🇲🇽

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@ZattarRafael A Receita Federal atende no horário marcado, os médicos deveriam conseguir também. Pelo menos sem grandes atrasos na maioria das vezes.

[Years Progress @YearsProgress]

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[Prof. Feynman @ProfFeynman]

SCIENCE:

If you don't make mistakes, you're doing it wrong.

If you don't correct those mistakes, you're doing it really wrong.

If you can't accept that you're mistaken, you're not doing it at all.

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@todoist @jankratochvilcz @Outlook The link was not suppose to open. It is a feature request to navigate to Outlook search by title (not sure if outlook allows this) when the user opt out for new addin integration.

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@todoist @jankratochvilcz @Outlook 2. Is there any way to "force" outlook to search by the subject? Something like https://t.co/E5qC4fMeez<TODOIST TASK DESCRIPTION> even if the link doesn't go directly to the message, having the option to navigate to search from the task would be good enough for me.

[Thiago Bohn @thiagobohn]

@todoist @jankratochvilcz @Outlook Thanks for welcoming my feedback. I just test it, with some improvements I might be able to keep Todoist :)

1. Would be possible to keep the Mail icon even without the link? I always have to think if the issue was created by me using the integration. (1/2)