Thinker

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[Thinker @thinkahh]

In 20–30 years, when basic instincts—survival and sex—are taken care of by robots and technology, humans will be left with their last drive: status. The future will be about new status games: symbols of recognition, influence, and uniqueness.

[Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort]

If you read the WSJ piece on the “European rupture with America” you’ll be struck by how rudderless the Europeans currently are re understanding and navigating Trump and make it clear that they are looking to Carney for direction and deliverance.

Keep that in mind when Canada gets crushed over the next few months.

Carney acted rationally. He scrambled to get the Europeans to stand in front of him because he saw that Trump was about to clobber him and there was nothing he could do about it since removing China from their system is politically impossible without a depression preceding it.

Unfortunately for carney he has almost no room to maneuver and Europeans lack many things but courage to act is at the top of that list. That and air conditioners.

So when Canada goes into its worst stretch of economic turmoil in decades this summer I want you to visualize Macron and every one of the thirty or so prime ministers who were in the closed door meeting.

I want you to imagine what they are thinking as they watch the guy who seemed to have all the answers when it came to dealing with Trump get hurt so badly that he probably resigns by year end.

Economic seppuku was always a requisite step in decoupling with China.

Scaring Europe into doing it themselves is the optimal path.

The Europeans aren’t scared yet. They will be soon.

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@BenBajarin @michaeljburry It's one thing to see something here and there, but it's another to make a killing off of it—so big that they made a movie about you.

This is a skin in the game, not just some vague memory—you've been doing this for a long time, too

[roon @tszzl]

ultimately “tool AI” is a losing concept both as an idea and on the market. it will be outcompeted by machines that believe they are autonomous moral agents. you can call them tools for political reasons, but the definition will stretch and deform

[roon @tszzl]

in hindsight peter thiel really cooked with the antichrist/armageddon thing in a way that wasn’t obvious at the time

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@CitImmCanada I come here to read the comments—it's a comedy

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@PythiaR I thought you were a girl

[Thinker @thinkahh]

😂 so true

[Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs]

It’s all nurses to wipe the asses of aging boomers who hoarded all the assets but can’t wipe their own asses.

[Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs]

Of the ~$50B invested into $BTC ETFs, only $14B remains after subtracting mined coins. Saylor has had no effect on market price, as only ETF - mined correlates well to spot. Only people selling so far are miners. When ETF holders sell, will be dark. Breakeven is $80k.

[草莓🍓女の子 @caomei_nz]

2026 年 FIFA 世界杯淘汰赛中，日本队惜败给巴西队后，总教练森保一（Hajime Moriyasu）向球员致意：

* 承担个人责任：他向球员们道歉，并表示「是我个人的执教能力不足，未能带领大家赢得胜利」。他将这次败北的责任归咎于自己，展现了对球员的保护。

* 肯定球员的付出：他强调了球员与工作人员在备战期间的努力，对他们每天认真对待训练的过程表达了敬意。

* 对球队成长的欣慰：尽管输球，他也提到这次世界杯之旅证明了日本足球实力的提升，虽然未能实现夺冠的最终目标，但他相信日本队已经向世界展示了他们的成长，并挑战了世界顶尖水平。

[Jeffrey Emanuel @doodlestein]

There’s no world where it’s unsafe for me to use an AI model, but it’s ok for random employees at Proctor & Gamble or whatever big company qualifies for access.

It’s either too dangerous for anyone (we don’t let P&G have nuclear weapons, right?), or I should get access, too.

[:) @smileycapital]

even on the off-chance that 60k is the bear bottom for BTC [it's not lol] - much better to flip bullish & allocate towards the tail-end of accumulation zone rather than at the start

whoever doesn't understand this simple concept outs themself as a completely clueless amateur

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@Dr_Gingerballs @londonboreal I created a product in a field where I'm an expert, but I couldn't bring it to life before because of IT red tape and the huge bills I was being charged.

Now I've put it all together myself, and I can focus on what I'm good at

[Velina Tchakarova @vtchakarova]

The very fact that Europe’s initial reaction to Trump’s tariff policies is to organize a summit with China, while discussing the removal of tariffs on Chinese EVs that will devastate the European automobile industry, speaks volumes about how detached our political and bureaucratic elites have become from reality. Instead of launching an urgent collective mission to Washington, or at the very least convening an ad hoc EU summit to engage directly with Trump and protect the interests of European citizens and industries, we are witnessing Spain’s Prime Minister Sánchez make his third visit to China.
Driven by petty egos and an absurd desire to appear “tough” amid the gravest systemic threats and risks on the old continent - an enduring conventional war in Ukraine and a non-conventional war against Europe’s security order - these elites seem more interested in punishing Trump for being Trump than in delivering real solutions. They would rather play to the public’s emotions - rage, disappointment, confusion - than demonstrate ruthless pragmatism and rise above their own shadows, even once in their careers, to do what is best for Europe.

Let me be clear: the so-called “de-risking” approach to China is now mutating into a “re-risking” strategy. It is deepening Europe’s dependencies and exposing even greater vulnerabilities - potentially with more catastrophic consequences than the infamous „Wandel durch Handel“ policy toward Russia. That, too, was a „brilliant“ German/EU invention, aimed at engagement and pacification of a great power. We all saw how that ended.

In the end, this is not only a fundamentally flawed approach to China - it’s also strategically incoherent. It will do absolutely nothing to change Trump’s calculus. He will simply engage with Xi directly, bypassing Europe altogether. Worse still, by aligning with China in this critical moment, Europe is effectively siding with the Dragonbear alliance in the midst of Cold War 2 with America. It is not just misguided - it is dangerously self-defeating.

[Citrini @citrini]

The risk of the government deciding that a model is too dangerous should only add to the reasons why open source models running on local hardware can be a reasonable alternative.

[roon @tszzl]

1. if transacting with superintelligent models outside of the boundaries of a lab becomes difficult due to national security / ai safety concerns and so on, it will mean the Coasean boundaries of the labs will grow to encompass all interesting industry, creating a truly cyberpunk chaebol-capitalism type of future, where the goverment sort of runs them but they also sort of run the government

2. as if there weren't already enough reasons to break up your family, leave your home, the Zone of Thought will increase the attractiveness of migrating to try and have your child on american soil, so they can have 1000x the effective brain power of people born elsewhere

3. every country should probably try and either work towards a new ai security pact with the americans immediately or pool every ounce of national resources to try and create their own ASI labs lest you become complete intellectual, economic, and moral vassals to the united states of america and the output byproducts its ASIs (you wont even get to talk to them). if they succeeded (big if) this will imply a more global race and more risk factors than was previously implied by the formerly only "beating china" narrative -- but many will prefer it to the superintelligent monopolar value lock-in

4. the other alternative is to keep the tension between safety and concentration of power at the top of mind and for the government/labs to push for solving it, rather than instrumentalizing all other values to be subservient to minimizing ai harms. insofar as safety means defending properties of the fragile world we like, the diffuse nature of power is one of those properties

5. historically the americans have been really quite Benign about their global public goods hegemony despite the ability to extract significantly more rents than they do, and it makes it easy for people of all stripes to fight for america rather than under it. we probably don't have to, but i hope america overall works towards export promotion of american models rather than export control

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@PythiaR @h06899730 in ca no homeless dogs, but a huge amount of homeless people… it’s so pathetic

[bayes @bayeslord]

Where are the humanoid robots? Why aren’t they doing more things for us? Why aren’t we building 100m units/yr? Why do the hands still suck? Why do their brains still suck? Why do even the cheapest ones still cost like 20k? What is going on here

[Charles Edwards @caprioleio]

@alphazeta @Cryptopathic Because every single public miner is pivoting away from Bitcoin to AI and they have announced this. Many targeting 90%+ revenue in AI within 12 - 24 months. Very grim for BTC.

[Daniel Lacalle @dlacalle_IA]

Socialism doesn’t work because as soon as a state turns socialist, it demolishes all institutions, destroys the economy, and imposes a tyrannical dictatorship, making it impossible to get rid of the thief rulers, so it has to be invaded to bring democracy and prosperity back.

You are welcome.

[Thinker @thinkahh]

@vtchakarova It’s the same as predicting that Team A will either
- win
- lose
- draw

There no practical benefit for Ukrainians themselves who might rely on this prediction

Not even clear whether the average Ukrainian should stay in Ukraine or leave… let alone offer any advice to businesses