Nathan Joel

Prop trader. History buff. Macro trends. Rogers curve. Realpolitik. Brazilian Jiujitsu.

[Nathan Joel @thkglobalmacro]

Markets are how Complexity laughs at Causality

[Jay Nordlinger @jaynordlinger]

Trump likes to rename things. I have an idea. Maybe his Republican Party can rename itself the Trump Party, and some of the rest of us can start another party, calling it the "Republican Party," in the spirit of Lincoln, Reagan, et al.? https://t.co/SOTmA8BbRZ

[Captain Mark Kelly @CaptMarkKelly]

Eight years ago today, we lost John McCain. He served our country with courage throughout his life — as a Navy pilot who was taken as a POW, a Senator for over 30 years, and a leader who never stopped fighting for Arizona. That kind of service is worth honoring, today and always.

[Senator Mark Kelly @SenMarkKelly]

Trump should be working to bring down your costs, but instead he’s picking fights with our allies and starting trade wars that will raise your bills. Unless you’re a billionaire, Trump doesn’t care about you.

[Nathan Joel @thkglobalmacro]

If Trump can convince you that North Korea is our friend and Canada is our enemy, you aren’t a serious person.

[ian bremmer @ianbremmer]

americans have zero interest in picking a fight with canada, for generations the closest friend and ally the united states could hope to have.

[ian bremmer @ianbremmer]

us-canada relations and us-europe relations have been permanently damaged. much can still be done to limit the scope of that damage, but it’s impossible to return to the trust and alignment of the previous alliances.

china is the principal beneficiary.

[Jay Nordlinger @jaynordlinger]

Tell ’em, Reagan: “We should beware of the demagogues who are ready to declare a trade war against our friends — weakening our economy, our national security, and the entire Free World — all while cynically waving the American flag.” Thank you.

[Garry Kasparov @Kasparov63]

Just to clarify, Senator - you did vote to confirm ALL Trump's security-related nominations, didn't you? You have constitutional authority to challenge Trump, not just a Twitter account.

[Anonymous @YourAnonNews]

Elections have consequences.

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Oh Lord, you really have gone full Trump apologist. The bill still has to pass the house, Trump still has to sign it, and then Trump actually has to take the decision to hurt Russia. None of this has happened.
I notice that you did not respond to my earlier point. Will you ever criticize Trump for betraying Ukraine on the Patriot license?

[Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien]

Trump never warmed to Ukraine, he never changed his mind about helping Ukraine, he was not on the verge of letting them have Patriot license. It was all a myth to help Putin and hurt Ukraine.
You need to understand that to make sense of the last 18 months.

[Rep. Don Bacon 🇺🇸✈️🏍️⭐️🎖️ @RepDonBacon]

Why did DoD’s civilian leadership withdraw US troops from Estonia and Lithuania? Why did they remove Armor Brigades from Poland and Romania? Those units were needed to deter Russia. Until the Pentagon fixes this they can expect huge pushback from many in Congress.

[David Frum @davidfrum]

Republican Party 1866: "No slavery."
Republican Party 1986: "No Berlin Wall."
Republican Party 2026: "No taxes for Mr. Trump."

[David Frum @davidfrum]

The 20% who lived in the most pro-Trump places suffered 70,000 more COVID deaths than the 20% in the most pro-Biden places. Red America obeyed those who told them not to mask, not to vaccinate. They died for it. No, Fauci is not the villain here. https://t.co/7hxuP9yOfi

[Bill Kristol @BillKristol]

One month ago today: U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro claims she has “tremendous evidence” against David Hearn for vandalizing the Reflecting Pool.

She lied. Secretary Burgum lied. White House staff lied. Trump lied.

There will be no consequences.

[Jim Acosta @Acosta]

This dinner is a disgrace. Trump’s rambling, unhinged speech is full of hate and spite. Just spewing nastiness at his usual targets. Let’s not sanitize how truly ugly it was. This would be a great moment for members of the press to get up and walk out.

[Adam Kinzinger (Slava Ukraini) 🇺🇸🇺🇦 @AdamKinzinger]

Trump talks toughest to America's allies—and most carefully to America's adversaries. Canada gets tariffs and insults. Zelensky gets public humiliation. Putin gets deference. Xi gets an off-ramp. That's not "America First." It's bullying the people least likely to hit back. Because at his core, Trump is weak and scared. (link in reply)

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

My raw milk ages better than this.

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

The House will pass a $12 billion bailout for farmers suffering from high fuel & fertilizer prices caused by the Iran War, expensive equipment & parts caused by tariffs, and lower sales prices for commodities due to trade disputes with China.

But the GOP is fighting communism!

[Bill Kristol @BillKristol]

Abolish ICE.