I organized an intervention to stop Elon from starting SpaceX. Here is the story...
Twenty five years ago, Elon and I sat in a car on a dark stretch of Long Island highway, two neurodiverse geeks staring at the night sky and wondering what came next. We had both experienced substantial exits and felt the weight of possibility ahead of us.
When I joked about 'space' while gazing upward, neither of us imagined we were planting the seed for what would become the largest IPO in history. We spent the next two hours debating why space was so hard. In the end, rockets are fuel and metal. We also debated where to go, and it was crystal clear that Mars was the only real destination.
Upon returning to NYC, we embarked on a global tour of space, meeting space agencies and luminaries worldwide. This opened our eyes to an industry stuck in bureaucratic thinking. If things continued at that pace, it was clear that we would never explore space in our lifetime.
So, we launched Life to Mars to show the world that two ambitious young men (29 and 30 years old), could send life to Mars without any government backing or support. We planned to send and grow plants on Mars, though some were pushing us to send mice.
We had a $50 MM budget that rested on our purchase of two Russian ICBMs for $7 MM each. We assumed one ICBM would fail, and we would learn and fix everything before launching again. When Elon went back to actually buy the ICBMs, the Russians tripled the price, bringing out launch costs from a total of $14 MM to $42 MM.
Our ambitious Life to Mars plan was no longer viable.
As you might imagine, Elon was not pleased. So, he decided to start SpaceX and create his own Mars rockets. Now, this is a crazy idea, both now and at the time, so I organized a large panel of top space experts, and we ambushed him at the Georgian Hotel one morning. It was set up like an intervention for an alcoholic, but for space.
Elon looked me in the eye when leaving the room and said, "I am going to do this." The intervention failed. Elon was committed. The rest is history.
I am excited to see this IPO after 25 years of hard work. What SpaceX has done is a testament to human will and overcoming insurmountable obstacles. It's nothing short of amazing.
Congratulations, E. Amazing.
Ein weiterer unglaublicher Clip aus meinen FSD (Supervised) Testfahrten in den Niederlanden 🇳🇱
FSD erkennt einen geparkten Umzugswagen, umfährt ihn souverän und nutzt dafür sogar teilweise den Gehweg.
Es ist einfach verrückt, dass wir das heute schon in Europa erleben. 🤯
@PSchnieder bitte machen Sie den Weg für FSD in Deutschland frei! 🇩🇪🫵
#Tesla #FSD #TeslaFSD #Europe
@frank_thelen
De 5000 kilometers voor @Tesla FSD zijn gereden. Het dossier ligt nu bij mijn administratie voor advies. Helaas hebben we nog steeds het volledige homologatiedossier van @RDWnl Nederland niet ontvangen. Wat wel nodig is om mijn administratie op basis van alle feiten een correct advies te kunnen laten opmaken. To be continued, ik blijf aan de kar trekken voor een zo spoedig mogelijke homologatie in Vlaanderen en dus België.
FSD V14: Nighttime Emergency Avoidance Challenge pt1:
Imagine driving at 50 mph on a dark road. A pedestrian suddenly falls into your lane with virtually no braking distance left.
FSD reacts instantly, changes lanes to avoid the collision, and even signals before making the maneuver.
Its safety performance goes far beyond what most human drivers could achieve in the same situation.
This is also a powerful reminder that Vision-Only FSD’s low-light capabilities are far more advanced than most people realize. Well done @Tesla_AI
Follow me for the sudden jump out dog and transparent obstacles and more! #FSD
@edgecase411@wholemars@aelluswamy@elonmusk@Tsla99T@ChrisZheng001@Tesla
Tesla : seulement 4 usines… mais une efficacité industrielle hors norme.
On entend souvent que Tesla est “petit” face aux géants historiques. Pourtant, les chiffres racontent une autre histoire.
📊 Production annuelle :
• Toyota : ~10 à 11 millions de véhicules
• Volkswagen : ~9 millions
• Stellantis : ~6 millions
• Hyundai-Kia : ~7 millions
• Ford : ~4,5 millions
• Renault : ~2,3 millions
• Tesla : jusqu’à ~2 millions
Jusque-là, rien d’impressionnant ?
Maintenant regardons le nombre d’usines :
🏭 Toyota : ~70 usines
🏭 Volkswagen : ~115 usines
🏭 Stellantis : ~60 usines
🏭 Renault : ~35 usines
🏭 Tesla : seulement 4 usines automobiles !
C’est là que tout change.
📈 Véhicules produits par usine :
• Tesla : ~450 000 à 500 000 véhicules/usine
• Toyota : ~150 000
• Stellantis : ~95 000
• Volkswagen : ~80 000
• Renault : ~65 000
Autrement dit, une usine Tesla produit souvent entre 3 et 6 fois plus de véhicules qu’une usine traditionnelle.
Les 4 usines Tesla :
🇺🇸 Fremont
🇨🇳 Shanghai
🇩🇪 Berlin
🇺🇸 Texas
Capacité théorique combinée : environ 2,3 à 2,6 millions de véhicules par an.
Mais entre les vacances, les maintenances, les changements de lignes et les évolutions de modèles, atteindre durablement 2 millions de véhicules est déjà une performance industrielle exceptionnelle.
💡 Le plus intéressant ?
Pour passer de 2 à 10 millions de véhicules par an, Tesla devrait quasiment reconstruire un deuxième Tesla complet.
C’est probablement pour cette raison que les prochains relais de croissance pourraient venir davantage de :
⚡ Énergie (Megapack)
🤖 Robot Optimus
🧠 Intelligence artificielle
🚕 Conduite autonome
Finalement, le vrai exploit de Tesla n’est peut-être pas de vendre 2 millions de voitures.
C’est d’arriver à le faire avec seulement 4 usin
@bfmbusiness@pdewost@Fsorel Ou alors avoir pour objectif d'encourager l'utilisation de son système afin d'emmagasiner un maximum de données 🤔
Non, ce n'est pas comparable à une assurance mais plutôt à une garantie mais bon... Le mec le dit lui même, il n'a pas assez travaillé
“We’ve done the analysis, reusable rockets aren’t economic.”
SpaceX makes reusable rockets economic.
“We’ve done the analysis satellite internet isn’t economic. The antenna alone is tens of thousands of dollars. The cost to manage a constellation that size, the radiation, the space hardened solar cost…”
Satellite internet appears to be a very good business with antennas in the $100 range.
“We’ve done the analysis, orbital data centers aren’t economic. The radiators, launch costs, the radiation, the solar…”
You are here.
Les incroyables chiffres de croissance de Mai en Europe illustrent encore "la chute de l'empire électrique Tesla" (article du journaliste Benjamin Cuq dans le JDD du 5 septembre 2024) 🤣🤣🤣
Je n'en reviens toujours pas comment un tel titre a pu être écrit !
Robert Marks on @Tesla FSD (Supervised) after buying a Model Y:
"Its self-driving is the most impressively engineered consumer product since the smartphone. I say this as a practicing electrical and computer engineering professor with decades of experience in algorithms and artificial intelligence.
Among others, I’ve showed off my Tesla to a control theory professor, a retired Marine fighter pilot, and a retired police officer. All were agog.
Whether Tesla ultimately dominates the future of transportation or merely helps ignite it, one thing is clear: the automobile is being reinvented before our eyes. For those like me who grew up thinking of cars as engines, gears, and gas tanks, stepping into a Tesla feels less like buying a new car and more like getting a glimpse of tomorrow."
Full article: https://t.co/ZMF9QJcd45
Between this Waymo and Zoox, there’s a total of 80 main sensors.
• 13 Lidar Sensors
• 51 Cameras
• 16 Radars
The self-driving problem is not a sensor problem, it’s an AI problem.
Actually they’ve got 700 vehicles. 42 is the number that don’t have a safety monitor on board.
One year after Waymo One launched, Waymo had ~300 vehicles in Phoenix. And only a few dozen were fully driverless.
Nobody has ever deployed driverless Robotaxis faster than Tesla.
Our Canadian coast-to-coast autonomous drive nearly met its final boss, a construction flagger. 🦺
For a few seconds it really felt like this might be the moment our intervention and disengagement free streak came to an end.
Everyone in the car was incredibly tense while we waited to see what FSD would do…
Somehow, it figured it out and the streak lives on!
@Tesla@DavidMoss@DevinOlsenn