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While the US has to pay a higher price at the pump, having happened on the heels of capturing Venezuelan oil; one could ask if closing the the Strait was a strategic move the US wanted to see as squeeze for others?
The stock market can take down an economy, but the bond market can take down governments.
If the Fed has to choose between bailing out the bond market or the stock market, it will always choose the former, and do so in a way that does not harm its reserve currency status too much
For decades, Japan was the world’s CHEAP MONEY MACHINE.
Near-zero rates → cheap yen → investors borrowed trillions in Japan → that money poured into stocks, bonds, real estate, crypto and risk assets around the world.
Markets are reacting to Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech. But how does that speech change anything? Warsh has been talking tough about fighting inflation since before his confirmation, yet has repeatedly failed to hike rates, and continues to expand M2 and the balance sheet
Warsh's comments on inflation at the July 29 press conference leaned dovish as he focused on the oil price shock not broadening out into generalized inflation. He put a more hawkish spin on the same data today, unwinding the curve steepening since then...
Shake Shack, Apple Bees, Dave & Busters, Under Armour, Petco, Canada Goose.
All together. Using 10% of Anthropic.
And they’d still have $51.6B leftover.
Are Frontier lab relative valuations are too absurd nowadays?
If Anthropic IPOs at $2T… 10% of that can buy up almost every major established consumer brand:
From:
Taco Bell/Pizza Hut/KFC, GAP, American eagle, Levi’s, Victoria’s Secret, Cheesecake Factory, Krispy Kreme…
Calvin Klein, Kohls, AMC, Kura Sushi, Dennys, Nike, Build a Bear, Jack in the Box, IHOP, Papa John’s…
“What would the world have to look like for $10,000 XRP to make economic sense - and do I believe we’re actually moving toward that world?”
I invite you to explore The Ripple Rabbit Hole and float down our world’s new Ripple River of digitally clear liquidity with me.
They sell short-term IOUs, buy long-term IOUs, and call it “liquidity support.”
It’s just money printing. They’re just not allowed to say that of course. But somehow the talking heads say inflation isn't a concern?
Yes, we have seen the headlines that US debt just cleared $40 trillion.
Interest alone ran about $1.4 trillion over the last year.
Now Treasury is buying more of its own long bonds starting Sept 9.
It cannot afford higher interest rates