This slide from $TKR investor day shows its humanoid robotics exposure.
Actuators are a key bottleneck and Timken touches bearings, encoders, precision drives, and linear systems.
They say their current offering can represent 25–30% of humanoid BOM & they are already working on designs/prototypes with several US companies
“I called my boys yesterday and told them, ‘I got a feeling this rocket about to blow up.’ I just had that feeling.”
lol in all seriousness, luckiest sell of my life yesterday. $ASTS
Obviously $NOW is getting a lot of love recently- Jensen showing up at their events to Trump's disclosed stake and more attention from retail. I added shares yesterday.
After some more research and a convo with a peer who works there, I believe that $NOW is already deeply embedded inside large enterprises, so much so that AI cannot replace that overnight. Enterprises will still need a trusted system of record and workflow layer that can use AI inside trusted, permissioned systems.
Its not cheap on trailing GAAP earnings, but at 21–24x forward earnings for a company still growing subscription revenue around 20%+ with deep enterprise entrenchment and real AI monetization, I think the valuation is attractive here on top of the other tailwinds
On this McKinsey humanoid supply chain map, $TKR has direct exposure to 4 key actuator bottleneck areas: harmonic/strain-wave drives, cycloidal drives, bearings, and encoders.
Could be more if you include parts of the linear motion stack.
Not a pure humanoid play, but the actuator exposure is more direct than most realize.
$TKR is interesting. Stable core business across automation, D&A, electrification, industrial motion and infrastructure.
Through Cone Drive/SPINEA/CGI, $TKR has direct exposure to the actuator stack: strain-wave/harmonic gearing, cycloidal reducers, precision drives, encoders, bearings, linear motion, etc.
New management also increasingly leaning into the higher-margin motion control side of the business
JPMorgan Upgrades $TKR to Overweight from Neutral, Raises PT to $150 from $130
"We are upgrading Timken to Overweight from Neutral and raising our price target to $150 from $130, based on 12.1x our FY27 adjusted EBITDA. We believe the growth runway over the next several years is compelling, with Lucian Boldea at the helm executing a structured 'Elevate to Outperform' strategy unified under the 'One Timken' framework, giving us confidence that the 2028 target is achievable. With exposure to secular end markets including A&D, power and electrification, automation, and humanoids, the demand backdrop is solid, and the underlying 80/20 initiative is driving structural and durable margin improvement.
Timken's competitive advantage lies in its technical depth, broad application reach, and local-for-local manufacturing footprint, positioning the company as a solutions provider rather than a commodity supplier, delivering engineering expertise that competitors struggle to replicate. This foundation supports a compelling secular growth opportunity across A&D, power and electrification, automation, and infrastructure, all of which are becoming increasingly meaningful revenue contributors. The strategic shift toward system-level applications, moving beyond individual components to end-to-end solutions, further deepens customer relationships and drives meaningful wallet share expansion."
@iloveyoutoye When you’re 10, one year feels huge because it’s 10% of your life. As you get older, each year becomes a smaller and smaller percentage so time feels like it moves faster.
Take the risk in life. It will only get faster!
Got my wife an HBM3E necklace for Mother’s Day.
Not diamonds. Not pearls.
Micron high-bandwidth memory, wrapped in gold, because she’s the most supply-constrained asset in the house and somehow still has more memory bandwidth than NVIDIA.
Happy Mother’s Day!