Tien

[Tien @tienlichih]

in d mktplace of truths & untruths, ppl shd b able to discern d legit fm d lemon. they dont bcos d usual signals of quality like price r missing. but perhaps ppl r not in d mkt to seek out truths but something else - like thrill. when shd govt intervene in this mkt?

[Tien @tienlichih]

if russia does nothing more than terminate oil flows, it would be telling

[Tien @tienlichih]

is it wise for nato to consider finland and sweden’s application now, and say tt they will be accepted quickly? how will nato and d western countries respond if russia conducts a strike on finland, using tactical nuclear missiles, before it gets accepted?

[Tien @tienlichih]

with our current limited understanding of “natural” intelligence, can we really produce general artificial intelligence any time soon?

[Tien @tienlichih]

fm vaccine nationalism to food and commodity nationalism

[Tien @tienlichih]

d same ppl who r against mask and vaccine mandates r seeking to overturn roe v wade and ban abortion??

[Tien @tienlichih]

will d western countries send “volunteers” to ukraine to help d fight?

[Tien @tienlichih]

i for one believe d threat is real. putin has staked too much into this tt he will do almost anything to get what he wants. inc tactical nuclear wpn on ukraine.

[Tien @tienlichih]

ukraine 2021 is a continuation of 2014. russia wasnt ready for wholesale invasion then; it isnt now. what it wants is a subservient ukraine, at minimal cost. but this time round it will seek to extract more than d minsk agreement by changing d start-state at d pt of deal-making

[Tien @tienlichih]

russia putting its nuclear force on alert is like a teenager threatening suicide after being punished for throwing tantrums for not getting what he wants: is d west gg to let him be or punish him further?

[Tien @tienlichih]

russia increasingly needs china - but their banding together is only skin deep

[Tien @tienlichih]

d iranian nuclear prog is for regional dominance. so they can be negotiated. this doesnt mean they wont try to get a wpn before d agreement. but we can be almost certain any deal wont be ratified by congress.

[Tien @tienlichih]

china's mrna vaccine will be its graceful step-down fm its zero-covid strategy - regardless of its real efficacy

[Tien @tienlichih]

if god exists, does it mean everything is determined by god, and nothing is left to chance? tt chance exists only because we cannot predict what god will do?

[Tien @tienlichih]

d karpman drama triangle betw nato, russia, and ukraine...

[Tien @tienlichih]

looking at d current trajectory d us is headed for d darkest time of its history since its civil war

[Tien @tienlichih]

north korea's hypersonic missile test is an sos call - and a shrewd one

[Tien @tienlichih]

ukraine - and crimea and lithuania and georgia in d past - are living labs and showcases for russia's cyber capabilities - wont be surprised if it is sold as a svc

[Tien @tienlichih]

all out war averted thru un. status quo maintained. nato rubbished - & collapses. us credibility, reputation, continues downward decline while china struggles to become world leader after war. new world order with 2 powers - but no leader.

[Tien @tienlichih]

republicans with win control of congress in mid terms. trump will announce candidacy - & secure nomination. sharply polarised elections. trump wins by whisker or technicality - perhaps cos biden concedes to stop d violence. near civil war. us essentially becomes totalitarian

[Tien @tienlichih]

us declares war on china to "protect democracy" & invokes article 5 thru technicality - or by deliberately exposing military asset near taiwan to china's attk. nato reluctantly falls in but w minimal support. trump campaigns as d candidate who can prevail over china - & wins