Aurora

Trading and Value Investing

[The Bitcoin Historian @pete_rizzo_]

MUST WATCH: MICHAEL SAYLOR EXPLAINS THE #BITCOIN CRASH IN UNDER 3 MINUTES

WALL STREET IS ABOUT TO POUR TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS INTO OPEN AI, ANTHROPIC, AND SPACEX

"THIS IS GOING TO BE THE BIGGEST YEAR OF IPOs IN OUR LIFETIME"

DIP IS TEMPORARY. HODL 🚀

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

The first #BNB spot ETP.

Slowly but surely.

[Mike Investing @MrMikeInvesting]

$GOOGL will become the most valuable company in the world over the next 2 years…

The diverse portfolio amongst $GOOGL holds two notable names:

- 14% of Anthropic
- 7.5% of SpaceX

This is over $200B+ in capital popping into $GOOGL after the IPO’s take place.

$430+ incoming before the year end.

Mark my words…

[Patient Investor @patientinvestor]

Howard Marks:
"When you buy the S&P 500 at a 23x P/E, your 10-yr annualized return has always fallen between +2% and –2%, IN EVERY CASE, EVERY CASE!"

[Dividend Talks on YouTube @DividendTalks]

“Highest quality businesses are extremely cheap.” - Bill Ackman

Here are 8 examples:

1. $META
17x forward P/E

22% revenue growth
23% EPS growth

That doesn’t make sense 🧵

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

You can count on one hand the number of times $MSFT has crossed below its 200-week EMA over the last decade.

Today is one of them.

[Merlijn The Trader @MerlijnTrader]

ETHEREUM IS SITTING AT A 5-YEAR DEMAND ZONE.

Perfect entries don’t exist.

Historically, this range
has been accumulation, not distribution.

You don’t need the exact bottom.
You need exposure before expansion.

Big bases don’t drift.
They reprice.

[Kris Patel 🇺🇸 @KrisPatel99]

$PYPL

Paypal buyout target for me would be $70/share

Anything under $60 would be too big a steal for buyer.
Anything over $75 would not be a great deal for a buyer.

$70/share is enough premium to make the deal worth it to most acquirers.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

PAYPAL SPARKS BUYOUT BUZZ AFTER 46% SHARE SLUMP

PayPal, whose stock has dropped 46% over the past year, cutting its market value to ~$38.4B, is drawing takeover interest. The San Jose company has met with banks after unsolicited approaches, with some rivals eyeing a full acquisition and others targeting select assets. Talks may not result in a deal. Enrique Lores becomes CEO on March 1, following Alex Chriss’s recent ouster amid weak earnings and slowing payment volumes.

[Dividendology @dividendology]

$PYPL PayPal is now down over 86% in the last 5 years, and 47% in the last year.

The performance has been so bad, they’ve started to become the butt of ‘finance jokes’…

For example, I present to you, the new fear & greed index:

PayPal recently reported earnings, and the stock dropped 20%.

They also replaced CEO Alex Chriss with Enrique Lores, HP’s current CEO.

Is PayPal Failing?

A failing business usually shows:
• Falling revenue
• Collapsing margins
• Shrinking user base
• Weak cash generation
PayPal shows none of those… Yet.

So what’s the problem?

PayPal generates most of its revenue from e-commerce.

E-commerce is growing ~7% annually-

But PayPal’s branded checkout volume grew only 1% this quarter.

Investors fear PayPal is losing market share to Apple Pay, Shopify, and others.

Under new leadership, PayPal is now:

• Deploying full feature packages instead of rolling out one tool at a time
• Creating dedicated teams for top merchants
• Aligning merchant incentives to share in conversion upside
• Investing $1.5–$2B back into growth in 2026

That investment will pressure margins short-term, but it’s aimed directly at stopping market share erosion.

But in my opinion, the real bull case for PayPal right now is the math behind its share buybacks.

As a quick refresher, if a company bought back 50% of its outstanding shares, even without earnings growing or a change in the valuation multiple-

The stock would still double.

So what does this mean for PayPal?

Well, management recently guided towards $6 billion of share repurchases in 2026 alone.

At today’s price of roughly $41 per share, that math becomes very interesting.

$6,000,000,000 ÷ $41 = 146 million shares

That means if the stock price stayed around current levels, PayPal could retire approximately 146 million shares in just one year.

At the end of 2025, they had 959 million shares outstanding.

That’s a reduction of approximately 15% of the entire company in a single year.
Let that sink in.

That means even if:

- Revenue doesn’t grow
- Margins don’t expand
- The valuation multiple doesn’t change

The stock would climb by 15%.

Ironically enough, reducing shares through buybacks also makes it easier for companies to grow their dividend payments over time.

With that being said, PayPal is priced at peak fear, with the market currently pricing in nearly -8% annual free cash flow growth over the next decade.

While the company is undoubtedly facing serious issues and has lost market share, they seem to be priced as if the company is quite literally set to die.

[Muhammad Ayan @socialwithaayan]

BREAKING: AI can now analyze any stock like a Wall Street analyst (for free).

Here are 10 insane Grok prompts that replace $2,000/month Bloomberg terminals: (Save for later):

[King of the Charts - The Michael Burry of Bitcoin @King0ftheCharts]

.
A Massive Head & Shoulders Top in Play on the S&P 500

If the Supreme Court rules that Trump's tariffs are illegal on Friday, expect Tariff Turbulence in the stock market & with Bitcoin.

.
#SupremeCourt #Tariffs #Trump $SPX $SPY #SP500 $QQQ $NDX #FOMC #Powell $VIX #stockmarketcrash $BTC #BTCUSD $BTCUSD #Bitcoin #stockmarket #Nvidia #Bullrun2025 #BullMarket

[BACH @CyclesWithBach]

$NVO

Monthly TMO flips don’t happen often and on Novo Nordisk, they’ve historically aligned with major long-term opportunities.

*Not financial advice

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Nasdaq update. ✨

Keeping it simple.

Eyes on 22,600. If it falls, the diamond top is activated. A breach of 21,800 and the broadening top is activated.

Stay vigilant.

[Patient Investor @patientinvestor]

Novo Nordisk is trading at 12x earnings! Meanwhile:

✅️62% GLP1 Market share
✅️Just got oral GLP-1 approved
✅️Wegovy patent not expiring before 2031

The market is pricing this like growth is over! $NVO

[tetsuo @tetsuoai]

The new Grok Imagine update is insane.

Update now.

Grok Imagine Prompt:

monochromatic black and white image in a cyberpunk anime art style, blending futuristic and mechanical character elements, with an intricately detailed character design inspired by Shiguroi Suijima, featuring a female cyborg character with a serious expression, her face partially covered by a sleek, reflective visor, shown as a close-up portrait focusing on her upper body and face, bathed in dramatic high-contrast lighting with deep shadows enhancing her mechanical details

[Brian Roemmele @BrianRoemmele]

The looks through the ages…

[Devoted Dividend Investor @DevotedDividend]

Simple 3 ETF portfolio 📊

Growth & Income! 📈💸

33% $VOO S&P 500 exposure
33% $QQQI Nasdaq-100 Income
33% $SPYI S&P 500 income

[Devoted Dividend Investor @DevotedDividend]

Thoughts on this portfolio idea? 📊

Here's a nice example of a 10-position portfolio!
- $SPY
- $QQQ
- $SPYI
- $QQQI
- $BTC
- $SCHD
- $SCHG
- $AAPL
- $NVDA

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

Shiller PE ratio for the S&P 500.✨

Ladies and gentlemens, we are now back above 40 and at the highest level since 2000. That makes this the second most overvalued market in history.

No room for complacency while bonds and gold are warning of calamity.

God bless and godspeed.