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Contributor @tigersMLreport
Data Science & Statistics Masters

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

If anyone is interested, or wants to keep tabs with what I'm doing on this project (I also want a record for my mental sake), this thread will have all the updates and information

Any questions, please let me know and I'd love to answer!

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

Currently working on a machine learning MLB probability model, essentially to help project MLB opportunity and/or success w/ other factors

Fine tuning it and good bit of a ways to go, but initially it has #Tigers C Manuel Bolivar as a 92% chance & 67% chance at 1x All-Star

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

Per Cody Stavenhagen, the #Tigers have parted ways with Head Athletic Trainer Ryne Eubanks & Asst. AT Chris McDonald

Felt some changes were coming after the immense tissue & muscle injuries this season with Harris' comments at deadline/post-season about IL

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@ItalHitmen23 Dubon

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

Been a big push of mine so far, fits a lot of what the #Tigers like

Would be able to be a capable SS w/ UTL ability. Scott Harris connection. Limited power output, RHH, puts the ball in play, low strikeout risk, elite glove.

Projected: 2/28, option of 1/14. Might not hit FA

[Tigers Torkmoil @bythewaybro]

Mauricio Dubon might be a guy I would target in free agency if I were the Tigers

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

If I had a nickel for every time the MLB tried to ruin their sport I’d have like 20 nickels, it’s insanely impressive

[Jeff Passan @JeffPassan]

Major League Baseball proposed cutting the regular-season schedule from 162 games to 154 games in a bargaining session with the MLBPA today. Also part of its proposal: higher seeds in playoffs get to choose their opponents, and division series expand to seven games.

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

Really glad to see Jose Guzman get some love after a 2.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP in 56 IP this year at Lakeland.

Stuff is coming along, induced 50% GB in 2026 w/ a 30% whiff, 31.2% chase, and 49% zone-strike rate. 81% contact rate allowed (not great but doable). Really fun SL/SNK/CH

[Tobey Schulman @tschulmanreport]

Detroit Tigers MiLB Team Of The Year is out now on my Substack. Features:

- Max Clark
- Bryce Rainer
- Cris Rodriguez

+ More free to read below.👇👇
https://t.co/p2jwtIT7rf

[Tobey Schulman @tschulmanreport]

While it might be easy to criticize Ankeney’s season, being on the older side for A-ball, he put together an incredibly impressive campaign. He would spend the majority of the year in Low-A, where he hit 15 of his 24 HR.

Ankeney boasted great EVs while with Lakeland. His 92 mph AvgEV was good for the 89th percentile. The area he lacks is the swing decisions. If he can develop better plate discipline, he can pair possible plus power with a more refined hit tool.

🎥: @tigersMLreport

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@RFIPRAM He’ll be in Detroit next year. Deservedly so

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

Some very interesting #Tigers Arbitration projections:

Green - 8.9M
Torkelson - 7.9M
McKinstry - 4.25M
Carpenter - 4.25M
Vest - 3.95M
Holton - 3.5M
Vierling - 3.25M

Real questions come with Torkelson, McKinstry, Carpenter. Expect non-tender on Vierling.

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

#Tigers Will Vest's 2026 season: 26.2 IP, 6.08 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 23% K, 8.6% BB. At the same time:

3.98 xERA (3.40 FIP), 33% chase, 27.5% whiff, 5.3% barrel, 35% hard hit rate

FB: .362 BAA, .243 xBAA | .433 wOBA, .344 xWOBA

Spin/Velo down likely due to his elbow injury

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@TwistedFocus99 Also for me, 4.2M is not bad for a guy over the last two years has been a strong leverage option. You can't sign many guys like Vest in FA for that money, worse case he's a mid or low leverage arm, that's also fine.

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@TwistedFocus99 Vest numbers were down last year but a lot under the hood as well that take notice and are pretty interesting.

,FIP, SEIRA were way lower than his ERA, still generated a ton of whiff/chase. Velo was down which led to the higher SLG, figure that's fixed after this year

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@Medinalorian1 No? What

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@erb48843 I'd be fine with keeping McKinstry but that's a big question. He's a solid utility player

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@TwistedFocus99 Vest & Holton are good pen arms, if you wanna move off Carp/Tork probably can tender & then trade them.

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

#Tigers AFL Recap 10/7:

Rainer: 1/4, 2B, RBI - 103.2 groundout
Hope: 2/3, BB, K - 108.7 single, 105.9 single

Berrier: 1.2 IP, H, BB, 3 K - 4 whiffs, SNK sat 93.8 up to 95.9

[Greg!! @RockNSportsGREG]

Love how MLB is about to go in a lockout in 2 months with owners crying for a salary cap when the AL will be represented by either the White Sox (24th in payroll), Guardians (30th), or Rays (28th) in this upcoming World Series

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@ScottUpham @IYKbaseball If McKinstry is getting 300+ PA sure it’s and issue, he’ll likely see 150+ if that. He’s a gold glove caliber defender, great on the bases. The bat sure it’s an issue, but no one else available to take the UTL spot

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@ScottUpham @IYKbaseball I mean Max has a ton of concerns in his profile. He can’t hit velocity, struggle vs RHP, is a 2B only

[Tigers ML Report @tigersMLreport]

Zyhir Hope smokes a 109-MPH single to right for his first hit of the AFL season.

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@ScottUpham @IYKbaseball Anderson and ZMac aren’t comparable. A OF with a plus GG caliber glove and great base running, Anderson is a below average 2B who struggles on the bases and his bat might not translate either

[Path to Tigers Analytics @TigersFarmData]

@ItalHitmen23 Don’t think 2.9 bWAR is a AAAA player,