@Royals_Cards@Kai_Patricelli No need to ask a repacker—we can look at the data: Market Movers ratios tool.
2023-2025 Prizm football over the past 30 days. 2.88x is the median difference bt a 10 and a 9.
Similar results for most products.
@Kai_Patricelli@Royals_Cards Those are exceptions, not rules. 95% of cards are 2.5-3x raw when gemmed. Using outliers as a basis for a devil’s advocate position is not a fair comparison.
@Kai_Patricelli@Royals_Cards Agree with your second point about the 2x estimation but few recent products have higher than 50% gem rates. And once those rates are established, PSA grades their graders against them, which means that no amount of pregrading that you might do will increase your gem rate.
@WaxMetrix Just ripped 70 value boxes. The thing that sticks out is that half of the numbered hits were paper, which are largely valueless unless it's a big name.
7 autos (5x chrome and 2x paper) with a green as the most rare. Only one rare hit across 70 boxes--an Oh anime. Disappointing.