๐จ Live Polymarket (May 6):
Senate still a dead-even coin-flip โ Dems 51% / GOP 50%. House Dems heavy 83% favorite.
Balance of Power: Dem Sweep 49% | R Senate + D House 35% | GOP Sweep 18%.
Yet SC, TN (new map just dropped), and FL (DeSantis map now sued) are all pushing aggressive redistricting right now.
Markets still pricing national headwinds over GOP map gains? Full Dispatch + charts here:
Redistricting enough to flip the Senate odds? Whatโs your read? ๐