Crypto Dumb

Part-time Automated Trader | Reach me on Telegram for the setup

[Professor Crypto 🧠 @notyourkeys_]

Closed with $1,944 in profit. 💰
Today is going to be a big day.

Lots of meetings, lots of progress happening behind the scenes.

I still have other short positions running on $BTC as a hedge against my spot holdings, so my overall target remains the same.

However, I decided to close this trade, take the nearly $2k, and enjoy the day. 😎

Maybe explore Istanbul, rent a boat, or just enjoy life a little.

I make a clear distinction between quick scalp trades and medium-to-long-term swing positions.

At the moment, I'm mainly showing my quick trades. Behind the scenes, I'm working on a bigger concept for Professor as a brand and an account to teach the complete strategy and make a real impact on long-term wealth creation.

Let's fucking gooooo.

Many big things are coming.

You have no idea.

Professor

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

Opsi 1 touched perfectly, and gw cukup yakin very soon kita akan touch opsi 1 nya.

udah banyak news super bearish di X, tanda pasti harus segera long.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

currently gw lagi long position with avg $79,500

Market gw lihat masih split, tapi struktur jelas.

Opsi 1 (base case)
Relief push ke atas dulu.
CME gap + Wyckoff distribution sudah complete, USDT.D juga di resistance.
Area ini valid buat bounce / relief move.
Probability sekitar 60–65%.

Opsi 2 (risk case)
Wick yang udah kejadian, terutama di $TOTAL3 & $OTHER (>2.75%), masih high chance buat ke-fill.
Kalau ini main, downside masih kebuka.
Probability ~40%.

Positioning: gw masih long.
Bias gw opsi 1 play first, tapi fully aware wick fill masih on the table.

will see how it will playout on Monday.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

unpopular opinion

on $BTC and overall crypto sentiment
- imbalance heatmap (short liquidation >>> long liquidation)
- F&G already on `extreme fear` zone

for spot holder
- if currently floating loss --> DCA in every 3-5% dip
- if currently floating profit --> keep it.

for futures gambler
- if currently floating loss --> do smart hedging (DYOR)
- if currently floating profit --> TP 50% of the bag and waiting for further dip.

if no position, consider to put some bag whenever
- $ETH go lower than $2100
- $BTC go lower than strategy's avg price

NFA but I believe we will go higher and just one max pain, like what we have on early April 2025.

$BTC #CRYPTO

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

currently gw lagi long position with avg $79,500

Market gw lihat masih split, tapi struktur jelas.

Opsi 1 (base case)
Relief push ke atas dulu.
CME gap + Wyckoff distribution sudah complete, USDT.D juga di resistance.
Area ini valid buat bounce / relief move.
Probability sekitar 60–65%.

Opsi 2 (risk case)
Wick yang udah kejadian, terutama di $TOTAL3 & $OTHER (>2.75%), masih high chance buat ke-fill.
Kalau ini main, downside masih kebuka.
Probability ~40%.

Positioning: gw masih long.
Bias gw opsi 1 play first, tapi fully aware wick fill masih on the table.

will see how it will playout on Monday.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

@mkbijaksana kalau mikirin position sizing. kapan (MC)Laren nya dong om???

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

@yhbryankimiq u better remove that `IQ 276`. IQ is irrelevant in the crypto space, so it would be better to focus on something else.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

in my view (long story short), probably either suami/istri nya bisa ambil S2 (beasiswa) or fokus upgrade skill supaya bisa pindah kerja dan dapat penghasilan yang lebih tinggi.

or bisa juga ambil side hustle (tapi ini pasti capek banget). 7-8jt/bulan misal hidup di Jakarta (gw samsek no offense) tapi super high risk kalau misalkan mau beli rumah considering high interest rate etc etc.

kalau gw di posisi lu gw akan belajar hal lain yang bisa ngasih income lebih gede or bisa aja misal S2 abroad and start from that (mumpung belum ada anak juga)

my2cent.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

@profesor_saham gw sekarang umur 28
kalau bisa ngulang umur 20 tahun, gw akan jauh lebih aggresive investasi (crypto, dll) bukan malah masukin semua tabungan dari ngajar, intern, dll ke reksadana dan self-reward self-reward omong kosong

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

still running for both.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

I am still shorting `a bull market`
- $BTC floating -$218
- $SOL floating -$148

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

I have 2 direction trading as of now.
- scalp/daytrade --> short $BTC & $SOL
- swing long --> $UNI $ICP and $HYPE

my overall PnL still green, especially untuk hari ini.
kalau $BTC and $SOL gw kena SL, most likely gw akan reverse jadi long.

but considering Trump ada-ada aja tingkahnya, supreme court juga belum ada clarity, gw masih manage untuk ada very bad news yang ngebuat semua asset retrace very hard.

but we'll see.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

I am still shorting `a bull market`
- $BTC floating -$218
- $SOL floating -$148

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

secure a quite big profit (~3jt) on $SOL, 800k on $BTC and 470k on $HYPE. Not bad at all.

menurut gw monday high untuk $BTC udah ke form di $92,479 (miss dari target $93.5k) and based on historical pattern, di Selasa yang menuju CPI kita akan coba retest $BTC ke point $89,500.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

yang $SOL udah TP duluan nih.
bisa higher menurut gw, tapi gw lebih milih stick to the plan.

lumayan dapat $135 (Rp2,274,885) di pagi hari yang sangat hujan ini.

soon hopefully $BTC and $HYPE juga yang have a very similar structure.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

fyi, 71% $BTC Monday high forming during NYO between 23.00 - 02.00 WIB
so kalau mau catch the high in 71% confident level, tidur sekarang or kerja yang fokus sekarang dan begadang nanti malem.

.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

yang $SOL udah TP duluan nih.
bisa higher menurut gw, tapi gw lebih milih stick to the plan.

lumayan dapat $135 (Rp2,274,885) di pagi hari yang sangat hujan ini.

soon hopefully $BTC and $HYPE juga yang have a very similar structure.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

pattern yang mirip kejadian juga di $SOL. "Monday high historically higher than Sunday high".

gw akan testing langsung thesis ini di real-trade.
put long on the following coin that has a very similar structure pattern
- $BTC
- $SOL

will see how it will playout.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

kenapa ya ini kira2 kelabu om @mkbijaksana ??

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

in profit in $XMR
tapi entah kenapa pagi2 masih ngerasa kelabu…

#XMR-ATH

kurang bersyukur sepertinya

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

pattern yang mirip kejadian juga di $SOL. "Monday high historically higher than Sunday high".

gw akan testing langsung thesis ini di real-trade.
put long on the following coin that has a very similar structure pattern
- $BTC
- $SOL

will see how it will playout.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

lagi belajar dan coba ngikutin style trading pake pivot point and probabilistic way instead of pure TA.

based on historical data, untuk $BTC kita akan push price di hari Senin, target gw seperti yang ada di gambar sebelum direject lagi.

will see besok.

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

@GabRey99 infokan om

[Crypto Dumb @toberichass]

1)
- $BTC pump ke 90k
- tiba2 dump ke 86k
"ah sialan gw kaga short"

2)
- $BTC pump ke 90k
- tiba2 dump ke 86k
"ah sialan gw kaga short"

3)
- $BTC pump ke 90k
- tiba2 dump ke 86k
"ah sialan gw kaga short"

next $BTC pump ke 90k, gw bakalan langsung short.
very soon
- $BTC pump ke 91k
- lu short 91k
- $BTC pump ke 97k

will see how it will play out.