Tommys Model Bets

📈 EFL & Scottish football insights using my own analytical model. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 +14.21units & 12.25% ROI after 2 months.
P&L available ⬇️

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

February P/L Update📊

First full month of the model, and has to go down as a huge success:

Total bets: 49
Total units staked: 67
P&L: +29.56 units✅
Closing line beat: 45/49 bets
ROI: 44.12%

If you staked £10 for every unit, you would have made £295.60 profit this month.

#EFL

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Quite like this - we know from Robins’ time at Coventry he can do great things & we also know that Stoke won’t change if they just keep recycling managers.

Interested to hear from any Stoke fans their thoughts here?

#StokeCity #Stoke #SCFC

[John Percy @JPercyTelegraph]

New - Stoke City have agreed a deal with #Arsenal to appoint under-21s head coach Max Porter to Mark Robins’ backroom staff. Porter highly rated and has worked with Arsenal’s 1st team. Big show of support for Robins after a poor second half of the Championship season #scfc

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

@JimmyThePunt Get a @BunchOfPunts2 pod out for the anteposts saaaan

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

@NeilMac555 Like it, I have it as a 5 fold with Jordan & New Zealand added - take your point on final game of rotation but I’d still fancy the rotated big teams have enough. Pays 3.8/1 boosted on Ladbrokes

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Thats it from me for this season - going to use the summer to do a bit more research and work on the model to make sure it’s in the best place to attack next season. Will still be active but no more bets!

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Ace

-1 unit❌

[Grimsby Town F.C. @officialgtfc]

A frustrating first leg at Blundell Park, but we're still in it and we'll go again on Friday. Until the end 👊

#GTFC

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

-1 unit, Grimsby took the lead instantly and couldn’t hold it❌

[Grimsby Town F.C. @officialgtfc]

A frustrating first leg at Blundell Park, but we're still in it and we'll go again on Friday. Until the end 👊

#GTFC

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

-1 unit❌

[Stevenage FC 🔴⚪ @StevenageFC]

Defeat in the first leg. ⏰

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Somehow Boro don’t finish the first half in the lead after so much dominance.

-1 unit❌

[Middlesbrough FC @Boro]

All square after the first leg ⚖️

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

How have Middlesbrough not scored here!?

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

EFL Playoffs

⚽ Grimsby vs Salford City
🎯 Selection: Grimsby Win

Grimsby my pick to go up, really like them here.

📈 Current Odds: 2.20 (Ladbrokes)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 2.07
💰 Units Staked: 1u

#GTFC #Salford #EFL

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

EFL Playoffs

⚽ Stevenage vs Stockport County
🎯 Selection: Stevenage Win

Stevenage so so good at home, happy to take this with a 1-0 winner.

📈 Current Odds: 2.50 (PaddyPower)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 2.21
💰 Units Staked: 1u

#Stevenage #Stockport #EFL

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

EFL PLAYOFFS

⚽ Middlesbrough vs Southampton
🎯 Selection: Middlesbrough Win

OH YES. I absolutely love Boro and glad the model does too, think home games massive here obviously too.

📈 Current Odds: 2.25 (Bet365)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 1.99
💰 Units Staked: 1u

#Boro #Southampton #EFL

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

+3.5 units here✅

[Heart of Midlothian FC @JamTarts]

𝐆𝐋𝐎𝐑𝐈𝐎𝐔𝐒 𝐇𝐄𝐀𝐑𝐓𝐒 🇱🇻

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

What an awful day, feels like some awful beats again

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Let’s see some accas across the Final day in the EFL⏬️

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

Was a bit apprehensive of the slate for this weekend but after listening to the @NTT20Pod BS feel much more confident than were on the value and those teams with nothing to play for can still give us some good results.

Go well!

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

SPFL Split

⚽ Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
🎯 Selection: Heart Of Midlothian Win

📈 Current Odds: 2.75 (PaddyPower)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 2.07
💰 Units Staked: 2u

Just the biggest game in Hearts recent history isn’t it?
Considering Rangers slip up last week too, they’re clearly not at 100%.

#Hearts #Rangers #SPFL #FootballBetting

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

EFL FINAL DAY

⚽ Reading vs Blackpool
🎯 Selection: Reading Win

Was a bit unsure on this one but Reading quite highly rated by the model here, Blackpool mostly improved at home.

📈 Current Odds: 2.30 (Ladbrokes)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 1.78
💰 Units Staked: 2u

#Reading #Blackpool #EFL #FootballBetting

[Tommys Model Bets @TommysModel]

EFL FINAL DAY

⚽ Bolton vs Luton
🎯 Selection: Bolton Win

Bolton ranked as the best home team per the data on my model, just think this price is crazy.

📈 Current Odds: 2.60 (Ladbrokes)
⚖️ Model Fair Odds: 1.68
💰 Units Staked: 3u

#Bolton #Luton #EFL #FootballBetting