Neil Mac

Football Betting analyst ⚽📊| Focus Europe's Top 5 Leagues and all major Internationals | 👇 creator @Steamwatchio

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

⚽📊Here is my newest creation https://t.co/99lcInmQOL

xG data from multiple season which also includes UCL/UEL/UECL for this season.

Still in the early phase but if there is anything else you want to see drop it down below (I can't add more competitions) 👇

This took a while and I am absorbing all the costs, please like/share/bookmark.

Thank you 🙏

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

⚽Czechia vs Spain

BTTS: No (1.81) / Spain win to nil (2.15) appeals

- Spain restricted Czechia to 0.16xG in the last meeting during the last International break

- They also brought nothing to the table against England 0.26xG with 0 shots on target

- Czechia have scored 0.48 and generated 0.43xG per 90 since the World Cup

- New coach at the helm for the hosts (Santi Denia) and he has lost all 4 games in charge, 2 scored and 9 conceded

- Czechia don’t have much firepower either, Schick has retired and there’s no Šulc or Chorý, the 6 forwards in the squad have 8 international goals between them and 4 of them (Naderi, Kabongo, Šubert, Hopi) have 0

- Factor in that Spain are allowed 2.04 shots on target per 90 over the last 12 months I think the Czech's should struggle again.

- Last 12 months Spain conceding just 0.50 GA per 90

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@gafete425 https://t.co/wBLBDGiC5F

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

The market already knew

[The Touchline | 𝐓 @TouchlineX]

🚨 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗜𝗡: Kylian Mbappé is almost certain to miss tomorrow's game against Italy.

He has been experiencing hamstring discomfort.

— @lequipe

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@againsttheodds I have that available, will add it in. thanks

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

⚽📊Here is my newest creation https://t.co/99lcInmQOL

xG data from multiple season which also includes UCL/UEL/UECL for this season.

Still in the early phase but if there is anything else you want to see drop it down below (I can't add more competitions) 👇

This took a while and I am absorbing all the costs, please like/share/bookmark.

Thank you 🙏

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@Plavi269 @SPAINsider Would love to see also

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@MConsty1 appreciate it! if you want anything else just let me know

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

Data sources

Everything pre 26/27 is Understat
Everything this season is Sportsmonks API (inhouse xG model)

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

Go read the 'The Green Lumber Fallacy' on @Pinnacle

[Sharp Shot Picks @SharpShotPicks]

True or False

Knowing a sport can make you a better bettor at that sport? 🤔

I see both sides of it. I think there’s value in understanding what you’re betting on. But it also opens up the road to biases that cost you good prices and/or make you play bad prices.

Thoughts?

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@OwenMcIntosh420

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

100% ChatGPT slop.

Nothing here will make you a profitable bettor by the way, just the illusion you are doing something +EV.

[Rusty Bill @Rusty_Bill]

🚨 Most people are using ChatGPT to make sports betting picks.

That’s the wrong approach.

AI is far more useful for BUILDING a sports betting model than pretending it knows who will win tonight.

Here are 8 AI prompts to help you build, backtest, and improve your own betting model.

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@PitchsideEdge 💯

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@PhilbySpeaks 5% is generous. And even the ones who get there find out a working model is only half of it

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@TheFamous72_ For some sports maybe, from my experience (Top tier football big markets) models alone won't give you a winning edge. Have heard the same from top guys too

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@PhilbySpeaks Yes, playing around can you get you started and with the right knowhow you could get somewhere iterating as you go. But everyone is plugging in these same prompts into ChatGPT at the moment

[Steamwatch.io @Steamwatchio]

Free Telegram link below 👇

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

@Ghost5Bets I just hate that @X pushes this crap into our timelines

[Seewrap @craptor]

@DoublePivotPod @MC_of_A @TheM_L_G @TheTransferFlow @mixedknuts honorable mention for @NeilMac555 whos done some great work with https://t.co/LCb6UepV4s and https://t.co/gDU0s50R0d (which im using this season for tracking my models EPL bets).

[Neil Mac @NeilMac555]

Kids are chasing rare drops on Roblox and opening FC Ultimate Team packs years before can open a Bet365 account. They're paying money for a random outcome and chasing the big win, same as a fruit machine.

[Shockat Adam MP @ShockatAdam]

Childhood should never come with a gambling habit.

Yet the Gambling Commission’s latest figures show 30% children have spent their own money gambling in the past year.

We must do more to protect young people from an industry that puts profits before responsibility.

I know many residents are concerned about new gambling shop application on Evington Road.

Make your voice heard by submitting an objection to the planning application here:

https://t.co/4EWQ6S25Wz

https://t.co/iwR8BGkDsr