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Tomorrow, my @ChartFanatics episode comes out. Go check it out, along with my @wordsofrizdom episode, which is out now, if you want to get to know me more personally.
https://t.co/othd99TdaO
I’ve always said I’m not a teacher and I don’t teach trading. My skill is trading/investing, not teaching, but I hope you all can see the point I am trying to make and give you insight into my view of charts. I did this to help traders and investors. I’m self-taught and created my own names and methodology to view charts in my own way. Because of that, my take on the markets/charts won’t be like anything you’ve probably heard before. I call patterns by my own made up names. I am always laughing and having fun. My nickname is Smiles for this reason. I am not the same copy and paste version of everyone else in trading and finance. I got here through unconventional methods, so my approach is also unconventional.
I did the @ChartFanatics episode after so many requests from followers asking me to share how I find market bottoms/tops. I decided to break down the one pattern I believe is the most helpful in charts — a repeating pattern that, in my eyes, is the only one a trader really needs to understand which I named while seated with Riz during the episode a “Lil Rizzy.” Thank you @wordsofrizdom, you have immensely helped my career and my launch of The Losers Fund, LP. The more you lose, the more you win in life. The best losers win. Everyone can win, not everyone can lose correctly. For this reason, I believe I was destined to come in 2nd place in the 2026 Futures World Cup of Trading. Losing is my profession.
Yes, Lil Rizzys are essentially a bunch of Fibonacci extensions and retracements, but I give an easy way to see them without drawing a million fib lines. Once you start seeing charts as a bunch of “Lil Rizzys,” you’ll never unsee it.
I find they work best for identifying bottoms in market crashes and market peaks after long runs. You can use the pattern on shorter time frames, but I notice it comes with more noise there. Nothing works 100% of the time.
I’ve used this pattern to successfully call the bottom in the market pullbacks of April 2025, 2022, and the 2020 Covid crash. If you search my X feed, you’ll see I called the bottom in April on the exact day it happened. In the 2022 market pullback (before I was active on X), I posted the same Lil Rizzy-based prediction on IG and was off by just one day.
During the @ChartFanatics episode, which was filmed in January 2025, I pointed out a Lil Rizzy pattern I saw forming in Bitcoin at the time and explained how it could take Bitcoin down into the $50ks. At the time it was filmed, I believe Bitcoin was in the $80ks, and Riz told me the Bitcoin Bros were going to be mad at me with this call. I also used the Lil Rizzy pattern to explain why I thought $HHH was headed much higher — likely a double plus — especially with @BillAckman restructuring the company, the Lil Rizzy chart pattern in $HHH lines up well with the fundamentals in my view.
I posted on March 8th 2026 on X, I thought the market pullback would continue until NQ futures dropped under $22k. That was was based on a Lil Rizzy I saw forming in the NQ weekly chart. To honor the current market conditions and give more insight, here’s my drawing of the Lil Rizzy pattern I see playing out in the Nasdaq right now. I see two possible Lil Rizzys forming. Both point to NQ futures dropping below $22k (specifically the 22,500–22,700 zone). From there, we’ll have to watch whether the chart starts forming a new Lil Rizzy, for another leg lower or forms a new one for a new leg higher. Time will tell, but the current setup shows, I believe there is a tradeable bottom in the NQ between $22,500–$22,700. Worst case scenario to me is we touch the bottom of the channel I drew on NQ.
None of this is investment advice. Investing involves inherent risk, including the potential loss of all your money. Check with a financial advisor before investing.
Again, be sure to check out my @chartfanatics episode dropping tomorrow!!!!! I love you alll!!!!!!
LEARN TO LOSE.
If you are a retail trader (we will review your feed) and trade futures, please DM me your TradingView username.
All I ask is that you like and retweet this post.
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