Tom Connell

Chief Election Analyst for Sky News / Host of Afternoon Agenda 2pm weekdays

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

@clairlemon Some of them would just be automatically reinvesting the dividends though? And the point would remain that anyone getting any sort of divident from a share would be on ATO return data?

[The Front Bar - Wednesdays 8:30pm AEST 🏆 @thefrontbar7]

It's 30 years today since Fitzroy's final roar.

How incredible are the scenes as the fans storm onto the ground in celebration after the siren? ❤️💙💛

#TheFrontBar | Wednesday | 8.30pm AEST 📺

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Hey @auspost i have this wild idea, bear with me. When you are checking if people are home to deliver a parcel, instead of mental telepathy, you could get your employees to ring the doorbell?

[Robert @FootyfanRoberto]

@tomwconnell @MarkGottlieb Not if a club whose player is bid on has a top 5 pick. Eg Carlton have pick 3 but Walker is bid on at 1 or 2 than they won't get the compo, thus meaning the team who bid won't have their natural second round pick pushed a spot further back by Carlton receiving a compo pick

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

@PerriW2345 @MarkGottlieb But from what i have read on the rules, including this, if a club has say pick 3, and a bid is matched on pick 1, they now have pick 4. Meaning their natural pick has slide one position...

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Mackillop will be won by One Nation. Lead 400 and scrutineer info has absent vote breaking for them, and postals only slightly for libs. One Nation up to 3 seats.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Still waiting on postal / absent votes, and 2cp distribution, in SA Election. Seats left to call are Heysen, Mackillop, Morphett, Narungga. 1/4

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Mackillop will be ON vs Lib. From scrutineer info the count in Naracoorte EVC would projected ON ahead before postal etc 51.7%. But booth is not entirely representative and postals to come. Still too close to call. 3/4

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Action in Morphett with 1000 postals counted. Libs lead by 58 on those postals. Overall lead is 33 votes. If that trend continues Lib lead over Labor will be about 130 after postals, but absent votes to come usually favour Labor. Very very close, Libs in slightly better position.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Heysen and Morphett and Labor vs Liberal. Libs tracking slightly ahead in both. But projected margins both under 1% and too much vote to be certain about either. 2/4

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Action in Narungga. 2cp up to date and about 1/3 of postals in. ON lead is 173 votes. Current rate of postals that lead would be cut to about 50 votes with absent votes to go. This one shaping as an absolute cliffhanger, but would always rather be in front at this stage.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Narungga Primary ON 38.58% vs Lib 21.84%. But scrutineer info has flow of Ind Ellis (17.6%) going 80% Lib and Labor (15%) going 70% lib. That would make projected 2cp close to 50/50, but with postal and absent to come. Too close to call but Libs can still win from 21.84% primary

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Highest ever test score without a century is 531. 20 to go! #ausv

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

@MarkGottlieb Glad it was not just me who went on that journey

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

@tonyvink Which desert? Sahara?

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

@1116sen @SENBreakfast We need AI Kane to respond to Kane's justification: All i am hearing there if i'm being frank is a pretty vague explanation. Like, back in your decision. Own it. What did we get? Some examples of other players who should not have been AA captain. It's an embarrassment, frankly.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Recount done. Margin 175. Daniel has conceded. Wilson elected. Close thread.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

Goldstein - i am told about half of the partial recount done. Wilson lead down from 260 to 244. Two big prepoll and some other vote (postal etc) to go. Staus quo remains - only major 'wrong pile' or 'data entry' errors from here would change things.

[Tom Connell @tomwconnell]

The first major ‘data entry error’ will be revealed tomorrow in Goldstein, closing the margin by 50 votes. Will mean about 180 lead to Wilson. Recount quite advanced now (70% plus) so would still take something unusual to get close.