In conclusion, keep track of ur daily routine adherence rate (2-3 day moving average). Aim to keep it above 90% or higher.
Been doing it since 2011 and I honestly cant think of a single thing most responsible for the things Ive accomplished since then. GL
#BearTipOfTheDay
For example I notice that the moment my daily routine completion rate goes below 60-70%, my trading performance starts to suffer. Coincidence? hell no. Bc if ur DR adherence suffers, it's usually a sign that ur discipline is dropping, which eventually bleeds over into ur trading
Trading should never be a competition. Go at your own pace and choose a position size that is comfortable for you. Personally, I haven't increased my position size since 2021. I've been trading with the same size that I'm most comfortable with, and I have absolutely no desire to size up more in order to 'up my game.' There will always be someone making more than you. It is not a competition. Period.
Everyone chases the runner.
Almost nobody studies where it came from.
If a $2 stock runs to $7, pulls back, then pushes to $10… the move already happened. My edge isn’t there anymore.
The edge is in the range.
That $2–$7 move tells me exactly where to look next. I’m scanning for the $1.50–$3 names that haven’t gone yet. The ones still sitting in that range.
That’s how you get ahead of the crowd instead of reacting to it.
Price leads. Patterns repeat. Your job is to be early.
They make shorts comfortable for two months and then they open living hell for a month.
They make longs comfortable for a month and then they open torture dungeon for next two months.
Thats how #smallcaps work. If you pay attention to patterns in cycles it becomes recognizable.
“If I see someone else succeeding, I think that if he can do it, why cant I?” @Tradestl
Those that succeed at trading don’t avoid struggle. They refuse to quit bc they recognize success is possible. And with intense effort, what is possible becomes probable over the long run.
🚨EXCLUSIVE: Gary Neville says Arsenal winning the Premier League is the worse side to ever win it and that we should stop pretending they "EARNED IT" and also says it doesn't matter how they did it
"This is the weakest side to win the Premier League in a very long time." But it doesn't matter now because they are Champions of England and congratulations to them.
"People keep trying to romanticise it and act like this was some dominant, unstoppable champion team. I don’t see it that way at all."
"Yes, they won the league, and congratulations to them, but let’s stop pretending this was one of the great Premier League sides because it simply wasn’t."
"I’ve seen Chelsea teams, Manchester United teams, Manchester City teams, even Liverpool teams that had far more personality, fear factor, and consistency than this Arsenal side."
"Sometimes football is about timing. Other big clubs dropped levels at the wrong moment, injuries affected teams, transitions happened — and Arsenal took advantage."
"And before people get emotional, I’m not saying they cheated or didn’t deserve the trophy officially. I’m saying the overall level compared to previous champions wasn’t impressive to me."
"At the end of the day, history won’t care how they did it. The league table says Arsenal finished first and nobody can change that."
"But when people start comparing them to elite Premier League champions from the past, that’s where I completely disagree."
"Winning a title is one thing. Becoming a truly great title-winning team is something different entirely.
@TheOneLanceB@smbcapital I agree with you Lance but do you think there is any benefit at all from Claude and AI? My view is that I think those tools esp for beginner traders is like trying to drink from a firehose with the information overload. It may also distract from doing the meaningful work.
A great discretionary trader knows what the trade should feel like if the read is correct.
1. I have a thesis.
2. I choose the expression.
3. I enter.
4. The market starts confirming or not.
5. If the market behaves wrong, I reduce or exit.
I do not need to win an argument with price.
Macro themes (like current mpox) are best opportunities in #smallcaps on long side because it's often hard to build good conviction for major upside moves on specific tickers for SCs. Macro theme provides environment to push bunch of tickers from sector up in 100s of %.
Macro theme are mostly global events currently growing, with tons of media attention. So whenever you try to qualify something as good macro theme ask yourself:
-is it global or regional
-Is it rapidly growing in media (use hashtag X numbers and news articles numbers from Google). If it isn't growing and has high presence you are already late or it's not big thing.
You need to be early. By the time things are exploding in the sector related to macro theme it's likely too late already. For great swing plays you need to be early. Don't rely on anyone on social media because most traders in SCs are late recognizing this. Develop framework by yourself to track and recognize those things. The procedure to recognize is the same every time.
If there is already one 1000% squeezer in sector chances are it's getting late or is already too late. You should have long exposure before first ticker bakes 1k% move.
Most macro themes will die off soon in SCs. Very important. If you are new to macro the way how it works on the peak of each macro theme (lets say Russian energy blockade in 2022) media and participants will tell you it's the end of the world. And you might build too long lasting conviction on the sector because of it. Money into smallcap hot sectors and macro themes comes and evaporates our fast. Don't assume it will stay. It won't. So timing is of the essence. If you have been bagged before you know what I mean.
If there have been 10 tickers from sector moving with good delivery rates you are most likely late. This is when typically most bull traders will start to catch up to the macro theme "hey I should long this". That's where the top is. Keep in mind statistics. Only few tickers from sector will do big moves. And bunch will do mediocre moves. So if you have recognized hot sector by the time when big has already moved it's too late.
Macro themes bag the most bull biased traders. Far more than random non consistent market in SCs. That's why understanding the framework of how those periods work is important. Research them. Pick historical macro theme and do reverse engineering. Your findings should match what I said above.
Macro themes in SCs and hot sectors related to them always top out into peak activity (media chatter, growing interest) that's why traders get bagged. Those sectors don't top out 5 months after things cool down and interest in media and what not decreases. But the opposite, the peak is where things top because of how fast money flows in and eventually out of sector. So understand that peak public interest and media focus is not your ally. It's warning sign. Out of all things this is what gets many beginner swing traders the most. That's how high conviction bull views are made into macro tops. But since this is difficult to quantify "too high interest" you need to revert to said above: measure how many tickers in sector have moved strong so far. Because that is typically more quantifiable-reliable, especially the 1000% threshold-ers.
#trading
$GOVX $VRAX
Ken Griffin built Citadel into one of the most profitable hedge funds in history ($70B+ AUM).
In this 30-second clip he explains exactly what separates professionals from everyone else: treating trading as a research business.
Watch this. Then read the article below.