Toprak Koç

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Perf. SWE at @astonmartinf1

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@Babicoq @bayantsk ne eksik ne fazla

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@PlayStation

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@PlayStation your greed sickens me

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

champ

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@thekahramanf1 iyi bakalım

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@efestappen49 umutsuz durumlar yoktur umutsuz insanlar vardır 🫶

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

british gp

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@PlayStation shame on you…

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@Sarcastagasm_2 imagine not knowing any history and tryna make fun of it lol

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@RockstarGames i literally started to hate you

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@RockstarGames

[Andrew Ng @AndrewYNg]

There will be no AI jobpocalypse.

The story that AI will lead to massive unemployment is stoking unnecessary fear. AI — like any other technology — does affect jobs, but telling overblown stories of large-scale unemployment is irresponsible and damaging. Let’s put a stop to it.

I’ve expressed skepticism about the jobpocalypse in previous posts. I’m glad to see that the popular press is now pushing back on this narrative. The image below features some recent headlines.

Software engineering is the sector most affected by AI tools, as coding agents race ahead. Yet hiring of software engineers remains strong! So while there are examples of AI taking away jobs, the trends strongly suggest the net job creation is vastly greater than the job destruction — just like earlier waves of technology. Further, despite all the exciting progress in AI, the U.S. unemployment rate remains a healthy 4.3%.

Why is the AI jobpocalypse narrative so popular? For one thing, frontier AI labs have a strong incentive to tell stories that make AI technology sound more powerful. At their most extreme, they promote science-fiction scenarios of AI “taking over” and causing human extinction. If a technology can replace many employees, surely that technology must be very valuable!

Also, a lot of SaaS software companies charge around $100-$1000 per user/year. But if an AI company can replace an employee who makes $100,000 — or make them 50% more productive — then charging even $10,000 starts to look reasonable. By anchoring not to typical SaaS prices but to salaries of employees, AI companies can charge a lot more.

Additionally, businesses have a strong incentive to talk about layoffs as if they were caused by AI. After all, talking about how they’re using AI to be far more productive with fewer staff makes them look smart. This is a better message than admitting they overhired during the pandemic when capital was abundant due to low interest rates and a massive government financial stimulus.

To be clear, I recognize that AI is causing a lot of people’s work to change. This is hard. This is stressful. (And to some, it can be fun.) I empathize with everyone affected. At the same time, this is very different from predicting a collapse of the job market.

Societies are capable of telling themselves stories for years that have little basis in reality and lead to poor society-wide decision making. For example, fears over nuclear plant safety led to under-investment in nuclear power. Fears of the “population bomb” in the 1960s led countries to implement harsh policies to reduce their populations. And worries about dietary fat led governments to promote unhealthy high-sugar diets for decades.

Now that mainstream media is openly skeptical about the jobpocalypse, I hope these stories will start to lose their teeth (much like fears of AI-driven human extinction have).

Contrary to the predictions of an AI jobpocalypse, I predict the opposite: There will be an AI jobapalooza! AI will lead to a lot more good AI engineering jobs, and I’m also optimistic about the future of the overall job market. What AI engineers do will be different from traditional software engineering, and many of these jobs will be in businesses other than traditional large employers of developers. In non-AI roles, too, the skills needed will change because of AI. That makes this a good time to encourage more people to become proficient in AI, and make sure they’re ready for the different but plentiful jobs of the future!

[Original text in The Batch newsletter.]

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@sclarmark00 Yalan haber

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@HomerPavlos You should be grateful we didn’t destroy your heritage like you did. That alone shows who the real barbarians are lmao. You can still visit Hagia Sophia. Also, keep in mind we conquered those lands 573 years ago. It’s called Istanbul now 🤣

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@syl_sylv7966337 Every chance you get, you blame Turks for “genocide” but you clearly don’t know what you’re talking about. You’re embarrassing yourself. Learn it first, then speak. Ne mutlu Türk'üm diyene!

https://t.co/W4NcpgH1aR

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

track day

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

F1TV Pro alıcak parası olmayınca erkekler

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@tunalienjoyer amin cümlemize

[Aston Martin Aramco F1 Team @AstonMartinF1]

The Adrian Newey designed AMR26 breaks cover.

By design.

#AMR26

[Toprak Koç @toprakwhocodes]

@alpernbt birlikte 😔