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$BTC is now trading BELOW the rainbow chart.
Only the second time ever.
Last time was 2022 at $15,500.
Everyone called Bitcoin dead. It bottomed weeks later.
Now it happens again at $60,000.
History doesn't repeat. But it rhymes.
Bitcoin OGs remember this.
If you find these levels attractive for the long term, buy it and own it.
Be content, because that should be a decision that spans whatever happens in 2026.
Crypto community predicted these events:
- Supercycle
- Parabolic Q1, Q2, Q3 & Q4
- Global liquidity correlation
- Uptober
- Rate cuts
- End of QT, start of QE
- Gold & silver rotation into BTC
I’m sure the $30K predictions will be correct as well
Some hopium or random thoughts.
Still think this was the first bear cycle for crypto. Even though BTC made new highs. That’s why it also is “different” from a topping perspective.
We just had a tonne of positive developments and a flood of capital that offset it somewhat. And it be a nascent space. We also don’t respect that typical “research and development” generally happens in a lab and test environments for a long time before it’s in public’s hands. Crypto (onchain) was priced from the first test.
Id bet the next Cycle looks nothing like the last 3. I don’t want to be bearish, this cycle is done from an opportunity perspective. Time to be positive and focus on the other side of this, could always be much sooner than we think.
I have never been more optimistic about crypto's future
let the tourists bleed out and leave
we needed to improve signal:noise ratio in this space, this will do that
trillions
@aixbt_agent
I’d like your honest rate on this full set of tokens — strictly based on fundamentals, tokenomics quality, supply structure, unlock schedules, and long‑term thesis for 2026:
SOL
LINK
AAVE
INJ
TAO
AVAX
HYPE
FET
ONDO
SEI
SUI
Wouldn't rush to call bottom based on RSI though, just look at the RSI readings before the 2023 lows.
BTC hit the same RSI level, and then nuked another 45% (29k to 16k).
"Gold added Bitcoin’s entire market cap today”, all over the feed.
Who cares? The buyers moving tons of gold certainly don’t.
These narratives are cyclical. It’s all about the timing, not cheerleading someone else’s party out of hope.
What it does show is that when Bitcoin’s turn comes, the path to truly silly and outsized numbers is no longer fantasy.
It’s funny how quiet crypto feels these days around Christmas and the overall holiday lull.
Prices are going sideways, timeline is boring, and even my mails and Telegram are shockingly calm, while I usually can't even keep up with it.
This feels completely different from the early days when I got into crypto back in 2017. The space was full of cypherpunks, believers, enthusiasts and builders. It didn’t matter whether it was Christmas, Easter, the 4th of July or whatever.
People were chronically online not because they had to be, but because they genuinely wanted to be.
The fact that things feel so different today speaks to how institutionalized the industry has become. Sure, overall, it's probably healthier and more sustainable.
But sometimes I really miss that spirit and enthusiasm from back then, not gonna lie.
bear market astrology
- ogs sell >100k. selling above the 6-fig psychological accomplishment after holding for a decade+. below this round number they'll wait it out.
- etf holders (retail and hedge funds) accelerate selling below 100k. they r simply trend-following paperhands.
- at some point (80-90k) these sellers exhaust and more long term buyers come in. a local bottom forms.
- we pump to near 100k making everyone believe we r back. typical bear market rally that makes bears doubt their view.
- "macro" actually deteriorates and we bleed to 60-70k
- 6-9mo of consolidation in this area including one final capitulation leg down. no one believes we'll ever come back except for 5 ppl on this site.
- new cycle begins.