Nomos

Your Edge in an Uncertain World.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Most prediction market tools drown you in data. We built the opposite.

@Polymarket compresses real-world uncertainty into prices. But a price alone tells you nothing about why it moved, what triggered it, or where to look next.

Most terminals stop at charts and order books. Nomos starts where they end.

> Nomi — AI reasoning that connects dots across markets, news, and on-chain activity
> Atlas — live event mapping that shows you the world as markets see it
> Signals — what's moving, what's contested, what matters right now
> Execution — the fastest fills on Polymarket when seconds count

Built for an uncertain world.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Live market:
https://t.co/0xDCx3rSME

[Nomos @tradenomos]

BREAKING: The US has repeatedly warned Poland that Russia is weighing a limited provocation on Polish soil within months, aimed at testing NATO and breaking Western support for Ukraine, per The Telegraph.

23% chance of a NATO x Russia military clash by the end of the year.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track trader greatbritain here: https://t.co/g9kusH6efJ

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Larry Wheels announced his split in mid-May. Six weeks later, one Polymarket trader made an 18x on it, because the market still didn't believe him.

Look at the chart. The news spiked it to 78%, then traders faded his divorce all the way back to 5 cents, convinced a "separation" wouldn't count.

The trader took the other side. $72 at 5¢.

At the June 30 deadline, it resolved Yes. $72 became $1,401.

Everyone had the same information. He just read the resolution rules more carefully.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Trade it here: https://t.co/Z50a2SW6Tl

[Nomos @tradenomos]

NEW MARKET: Empire State couple charged by July 4?

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track him here: https://t.co/A7mA35giBj

[Nomos @tradenomos]

$1,400 into $12,765 overnight. This Polymarket trader called the exact day the US would cave on Claude Fable 5.

"Ban rescinded by June 30" was trading at just 11 cents. He put in $1,400.

Then Commerce folded, on June 30th. The final day on the clock.

Nearly a 9x, and over $11,000 in profit.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track him here: https://t.co/yu1AlDx5cQ

[Nomos @tradenomos]

One Polymarket trader just made $3,500 betting the US government would back down on Claude Fable 5.

18 days ago the US pulled Anthropic's most capable public model offline under an export control. Most people assumed the standoff would drag past the July 1st market deadline.

He bought Yes at 35¢ and waited.

Then it broke. The US lifted the controls, and Anthropic said access begins coming back tomorrow, July 1st.

He turned $4,100 into $7,700 and cashed out before Fable 5 even returned.

[Anthropic @AnthropicAI]

We’ve received notice that the Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5.

We'll begin restoring access tomorrow, and will share an update soon.

We’re grateful to our users for their patience, and to everyone who worked with us on redeploying the models.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track them here:

Newshound: https://t.co/NPstTNDdXk

panitom: https://t.co/qdrxB4ylId

[Nomos @tradenomos]

A retracted NPR story just handed two traders nearly $17K in the span of a few minutes.

This morning NPR ran a piece saying Justice Samuel Alito had retired from the Supreme Court. Within seconds, the market had his exit priced at 99%.

Two wallets weren't buying it. They loaded up on NO at around 9¢, betting the story wouldn't hold.

Then it vanished. NPR yanked the piece, called it an error, and the price cratered back toward 40%.

One cashed out for a $10.4K profit. The other is still holding, up $6.5K and counting.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track every trade live on Nomos: https://t.co/sO8Bnn8FPm

[Nomos @tradenomos]

How do you make $4 million in a week while losing half your bets?

Ask Polymarket trader swisstony.

His win rate is exactly 50%. Across 7,000 trades he's been wrong as often as he's been right, and this week he still walked away with $4 million.

The edge was never about being right. He bets heavy when the odds are in his favor and small when they aren't, then lets the math grind it out over thousands of trades.

He doesn't beat the odds. He outlasts them.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

His wallet: https://t.co/ZkfIo6hFHD

[Nomos @tradenomos]

BREAKING: This trader put $318K on DR Congo to win at 31 cents. He just turned it into $1.1 million.

DR Congo went down 1-0 early and the bet looked dead.

Then the Leopards roared back: Wissa from the spot, Mayele to put them ahead, Wissa again in stoppage time. 3-1.

Roughly $709K in profit. A 3.2x on a single match.

The market gave them a 31% shot. He bought the comeback before it happened.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

Track him live on Nomos: https://t.co/JtkkjK8bRJ

[Nomos @tradenomos]

WALLET ALERT: this trader just put $110K on Ecuador to beat Germany at 21¢ today.

521,000 shares at an average of 21 cents. If Ecuador wins, it pays out around $521K, nearly 5x his money.

The catch? Ecuador hasn't scored a single goal all tournament, and Germany hasn't conceded one.

He's betting $110K on a 0-0 team to suddenly break a defense that hasn't cracked yet.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

BREAKING: A 7.1 magnitude earthquake has struck northern Venezuela, west of Caracas.

A tsunami advisory is in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, with Aruba, Curaçao, and Bonaire also at risk of hazardous waves.

Monitoring the situation live on Nomos Atlas.

[Nomos @tradenomos]

His wallet: https://t.co/nWmCajLeXy

[Nomos @tradenomos]

This weather trader turned $139 into $540 betting on the high temperature in Chongqing.

The market gave it a 23% chance. He analyzed the forecast and saw a lock.

600 shares at 23 cents. A bet that one Chinese city would crack 28°C on a single day.

The position closed up 289%.

$400 profit on a weather market most people don't even know exists.

And it wasn't a one-off. Same day, same slate: Tokyo, Shanghai, Kuala Lumpur, Shenzhen, all green.

His win rate is 50%. A coin flip. But he wins big and loses small, so the coin flip prints anyway.