I trade $NQ $ES through statistical models, probabilistic frameworks, and custom tools built around how I interpret the market. @edgeful driven trading
ES & NQ: Gapping above prior day's range. Daily trend remains bullish.
Trading near overnight highs. Prefer a pullback over chasing.
NQ: Pullback to 29084.50 for longs.
ES: Pullback to the lower overnight range for longs.
If no pullback, I'll let the open develop.
📊 @edgeful Data-Driven Premarket Plan
$ES — Open Inside Yesterday’s Range. 84.62% of these sessions tag PDH or PDL. Globex trend remains bullish.
🟢 Bullish case: Reclaim 7428.50 and target PDH.
🔴 Bearish case: Fail at 7428.50 and target PDL.
$ES & $NQ — Open Inside Yesterday’s Range. No clear edge ahead of FOMC.
🟢 Hold above the Opening Print and target the Overnight High.
🔴 Hold below the Opening Print and target the Overnight Low.
Survival is the only real skill in trading.
Risk management means nothing if you take 100 bad trades at 1%.
Good setups mean nothing if you don’t risk them properly.
If you can’t stay in the game long enough, you’ll never make money.
Today I used the NQ Weekly Open Retracement Report (88.24% retracement after opening above the weekly open).
Both pointed toward a retracement, giving me confidence to stay with the short and target the OVN Low.
Data over prediction. 📊 @edgeful
$NQ — Open Above Yesterday's High, but acceptance above 28,731 is needed to confirm buyers remain in control.
🟢 Bullish case: Reclaim and hold above 28,731 for a move toward 29,085.
🔴 Bearish case: Fail to hold 28,565 and look for a move to fill the downside gap.
📊 @edgeful Data-Driven Premarket Plan
$ES — Open Inside Yesterday’s Range.
🟢 Bullish case: Hold above 7454.75 and clear 7474.25 for a move toward 7508.50.
🔴 Bearish case: Fail to hold 7454.75 and target PDL at 7411.75.
LARGER TIMEFRAME BEARFLAG IMO
you don’t need a new strategy.
you need to stop ditching the one that works every time it goes through a losing streak.
consistency isn’t exciting, but it’s what creates results over time.
Kaizen Last Stand Zone nailed the LOD today.
Price hit the exhaustion zone, rejected, and never looked back.
That’s exactly what the zone is built for.
📊 @edgeful Data-Driven Premarket Plan
$ES — Open Below Yesterday’s Low after an earnings gap. The 78% reversal stat may be less reliable today.
🟢 Bullish: Use the Opening Print and dynamic IB as guidance.
🔴 Bearish: Fade a pop that fails to continue higher.
$NQ is setting up a bullish inside bar while holding the lower end of its range.
A break and hold above 29,342 could open the door for an upside rotation.
Stop rushing the process.
Someone else taking payouts this week doesn’t change your journey.
You’re not behind. You’re building on your own timeline.
Trust your plan. Trade your system. Stay disciplined.
Today, $ES opened Inside Yesterday’s Range with an 87% historical chance of breaking out.
✅Price held above the Opening Print.
🎯 PDH delivered.
That’s how I use @edgeful: data builds the map, price chooses the route.