Serge

Trader. Asset manager

[Serge @traderkhved]

@Bkmz143 Спасибо 🙏

[Serge @traderkhved]

❓Интересно, читает ли меня ещё кто-то из России? Или уже фсе?

[Serge @traderkhved]

On all timeframes (on the chart - weekly), #gold has very much broken away from its trend-forming moving averages. MACD directly shouts about overbought.

👉 I think the correction process will begin this week. The strategic goal is 21ma (now the … https://t.co/9DJbo53yE7

[Serge @traderkhved]

Meanwhile, the $ #DXY index literally breaks down the support level of 100 and the next significant one is already around 90.

Very favorable move for metals, stocks and other RISK ASSETS !!️

[Serge @traderkhved]

🇺🇸 the indices bounced sharply yesterday, after Trump introduced a 90-day tariff pause. Apparently, the queue "kiss his ass" is so big that everything needs to be put in order urgently)

However, that's exactly …

https://t.co/Ede4uiBiNg

[Serge @traderkhved]

Well, it seems that the acute stage of mass psychosis was left behind, and in the second half of yesterday's trading session 🇺🇸the indices cheered up, playing back the morning drop. Asia is green now.

Let me remind you that according to the …

https://t.co/fhH1jD9Zkr

[Serge @traderkhved]

📈AAII Bears is now at 58.1%

The average Bears for 4 weeks is 58.7%

Previously, this happened only three times - each time it was the bottom of the 🇺🇸bear market.

[Serge @traderkhved]

The 🇺🇸dollar index #DXY showed the largest weekly drop since November 2022. Apparently, it's not finished yet, and we'll see the figure of 100 in the summer 👀

Favorable for risky assets.

[Serge @traderkhved]

After the red year, Bitcoin was always followed by at least 3 green ones. Will 2025 be an exception? I don't know. This cycle has already broken a lot of patterns 🤔

[Serge @traderkhved]

🇺🇸 Is the cycle of a weak US dollar coming? I think so. And if so, the coming years will be very favorable for risky assets 📈

[Serge @traderkhved]

S&P -5% of maximums 🤯

Well, the first quarter of the post-election year is usually quite weak. Therefore, this beginning of 2025 is not something abnormal. Don't panic, spring is just around the corner 📈

[Serge @traderkhved]

🫣 The fear and greed index fell to 10 points. The last time such moods were observed was in 2022 during the collapse of Terra (LUNA). I do not see a place for further fall of the crypt, but for growth - as much as you want. Great time for a medium-term (3 - 4 months) game ↗️

[Serge @traderkhved]

Despite the fact that 🇺🇸the bull market, which began in October 2022, lasts 28 months, it is still considered young. Historical patterns indicate that it may last much longer than the bears expect.

Average 🐂 - 67 months, median 🐂 - 60 months.

[Serge @traderkhved]

🇺🇸 It is increasingly clear that the combination of historical trends, attractive estimates and positive profit growth forecasts suggests that American small-cap companies may be in an advantageous position for a period of advanced dynamics in the near (year or two) future.

[Serge @traderkhved]

Investing in historical highs of the 🇺🇸market (as it is now) is often perceived skeptical, and even causes immature minds to want to "short", but statistics show that such purchases can lead to higher future returns compared to investing on random days🤫

[Serge @traderkhved]

📈 growth not only on 🇺🇸🇨🇳🇯🇵🇷🇺 but also 🇪🇺European equity funds experienced a surge in inflows, reaching a two-year high, which indicates a noticeable shift in market sentiment. It seems that global risk appetite is coming to world markets again.

[Serge @traderkhved]

🇺🇸 S&P 500
Historically, S&P showed a downward trend in the second half of February, which was due to a combination of seasonal market trends and investor sentiment. However, now it looks strong. Russell2000 is much weaker. I still believe that he is about to start performing.

[Serge @traderkhved]

The $ #DXY index seems to have turned around and started its way south. It is seen that the next few months will be favorable for risky assets 📈

[Serge @traderkhved]

Despite the rapid rebound after a sharp drop last week, the #altcoin market is still in the correction phase. In general, coins need to confidently rise by about 10% and stabilize above the $1.35 trillion mark from the current $1.24 trillion to support …

https://t.co/cocqaYPT5w

[Serge @traderkhved]

On February 14, 🇷🇺The Central Bank will probably leave the key rate at 21%. Inflation remains high, but the rate of price growth is slowing down. As I already wrote, I see a rate reduction not earlier than the summer of 2025.

Forecasts …

https://t.co/vt5Q7kurBJ

[Serge @traderkhved]

🇺🇸 Yes, in the end, tariff and other conflicts add a lot of uncertainty to the markets, and every year carries frightening headlines and volatility. Be strong💪 This is an investment fee.