Trader Kitsune

Navigate through crypto chaos since 2018. 🦊
Here to be better than me yesterday.
Patient. Strategic. Often wrong.
Educational only. Not Financial Advice.

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$SOL
Not entirely sure this is still heading to the demand zone. Showed some strength lately and that makes the path less clear.

If it does continue higher, 2024 Low around $79 is probably the stop. A rejection from there before eventually working its way down to the 47 to 53 demand zone. That's still the area I'm most interested in longer term.

But the recent strength is worth respecting. Markets don't always give us the levels we want. Could chop around here for a while before deciding.

Next few weeks will tell us a lot. No point guessing when price will show us.

Watching patiently.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$XLM
Pulled back into that 0.16 to 0.17 demand zone as expected. Now it's decision time.

Bulls need to defend this area. If demand holds, preparation for the next push higher begins. January High around 0.26 is the first target once that move gets going.

If demand gets lost, it needs to be reclaimed quickly. A fast reclaim still keeps the bullish case alive. But if Range Low at 0.16 breaks and stays broken, the downtrend resumes. Price heads toward 0.09 and maybe lower from there. Two very different outcomes from the same level.

This is where the chart shows its hand. Watching the reaction closely.

That's the read. Price decides.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$WIF
Been in a slump for a long time now. Down over 97% from the top back in March 2024. That's a brutal ride for anyone holding through it.

But something interesting happening at 2024 Open around 0.15. Level seems to want to hold. If it does, bulls could lead a move to reclaim Range Low at 0.27. That's the first real test. Above that, January High at 0.50 becomes the target.

Long road from here. And memecoins at these levels can go either way fast. But the structure at 2024 Open is showing some fight.

If the level fails, lower prices follow. Simple as that. But if it holds, the setup for a recovery attempt is there imo.

Just navigating what's visible.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$PYTH
Price didn't make it to Range Low. Instead dropped lower. No surprise there with Bitcoin not allowing any bullishness right now. Going against the king is possible but not likely in this environment.

Still a chance price sweeps that low at 0.029 first before any bounce attempt. Doesn't have to happen though. Market will decide how deep it wants to go.

The key level remains Range Low at 0.0475. If that gets reclaimed, bulls gain some control and the push toward January High at 0.0737 opens up. Without that reclaim, it's all just choppy noise at the lows.

For now just watching Bitcoin and letting this one develop at its own pace. Everything else follows from what the leader does.

Wouldn't be the first time the market had other plans.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$XPL
Showing some strength lately. Standing out in a market where most charts look tired. That's worth paying attention to.

Two paths from here. Bulls keep pushing and price reaches 2026 Open area around 0.1615. If real momentum kicks in, even January High at 0.2143 is on the table.

Other scenario is a sweep of that 0.08 last local low first before the mark up begins. Both paths lead higher eventually imo.

Either way, seems like price wants to be higher in the weeks ahead. The structure supports it. Just a matter of which route it takes to get there.

Not locked in on that though. Watching how it develops.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$PUMP
One of the weakest charts out there right now. New low at 0.0012 and no real signs of life yet.

The bull case only exists if Range Low at 0.0015 gets reclaimed. Without that, there's nothing to work with. If it does get reclaimed, then maybe bulls build enough momentum to push toward January High at 0.0033. That's the scenario I'd want to see.

If it doesn't happen, price is probably doomed to keep dripping lower. Weeks, maybe months of slow bleed. Not every chart has a happy ending.

Watching for that reclaim as the signal. Everything before it is just noise at these levels.

Just one read among many.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$UNI
Relatively strong lately compared to most of the market. That stands out. Price lost 2022 Low back in late May and early June but recently tried to reclaim it. First attempt failed. Worth watching what the second try brings.

If bulls manage to push back above and hold, the path toward January High at 6.45 opens up. That's over 100% from current levels. Kind of move that makes patience worthwhile.

But the reclaim needs to happen first. Without it, the setup doesn't exist. Failed reclaims can lead to more downside just as easily.

Level by level. Let price show us which way this resolves.

Market will tell us soon enough.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$NEAR
Still downtrending. Last local low at 1.81 got swept which is what I was waiting for. In different conditions I'd say this is where a bounce starts. But with Bitcoin pushing down so persistently, hard to call it with confidence.

Better to wait here and let things develop. If a base forms at these levels it's going to take a few weeks to come into fruition. No quick turnarounds in this environment.

If bulls do their job and accumulation builds properly, we should be poised for the next leg up with a target of 2024 Open at 3.65. But that's a few weeks out at the earliest.

Right now it's all about Bitcoin. Near can't do much on its own while the leader keeps bleeding.

Watching. Not forcing.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$FET has been correcting for a while now, and price is finally dipping into the demand zone.

So far that zone is holding. That's the part worth paying attention to. Demand stepping in exactly where it should is a good sign.

The thing I'm watching is the broader market. Overall crypto looks heavy right now, so I'm not taking this zone for granted. It needs to actually hold before I get comfortable.

My current read is that it does. If it holds here, the next leg up could take price back toward the January High around 0.31.

Could be wrong. Often am. But this is what I see right now.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$AAVE
Been weak for months. Still is. No point pretending otherwise.

What I see as a possibility here is price regaining that Range Low at 80. Lost it, now testing from below. If bulls manage to reclaim and hold, there's a chance they make a run toward January High around 180. That's a mid to long term scenario though. Talking 30+ weeks probably.

Other side of the coin is just as real. This retest from below could fail and price starts downtrending again. Both outcomes are on the table right now.

Watching for which one plays out. The reclaim is the signal. Without it, nothing changes.

No one really knows. This is just how I see it right now.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$HYPE
Despite Bitcoin's awful weakness, Hyperliquid is holding remarkably well. That relative strength is hard to ignore. Says a lot about where the money wants to be.

Still would like to see price correct deeper into that 33 to 40 demand zone. That's the area where looking for longs makes the most sense to me. But if bulls keep showing up at higher levels, it might never get there.

That's fine. Not every setup gets served on a plate. Willing to wait for the level. If it comes, great. If it doesn't, there will be other opportunities.

Sometimes the best position is patience.

Could be wrong on the path. Often am. But this is what I see right now.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$INJ
Going according to plan. Price landed right into that 3.38 to 4.37 demand zone. This is just half the work though.

Now it's on the bulls to show up and defend this level. Building a proper base here is going to take time. No rush to jump into position. Let the next few weeks show us what's real and what's not.

If this area holds and accumulation develops, the long term target is Range High at 13.6. Significant move from here. But it starts with the base and everything follows from that.

Watching from the sideline for now. Patience is the trade.

That's the read. Price decides.
🦊
https://t.co/RgUCVKo4XG

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$INJ
Been correcting since topping out around 7.3. Price got above January High at 5.908, couldn't hold it, and now bears are pushing it further down. That rejection tells you something about where the strength is right now.

Demand zone between 3.38 and 4.37 is where things get interesting. Sitting right around 2026 Open level too. If price reaches that area, this is where looking for longs makes the most sense imo.

The bigger target is Range High at 13.62. Long way from here but the structure supports it if that demand zone holds and bulls build a proper base.

Not there yet though. Watching how the correction develops first. No point getting ahead of what price is showing.

Could be wrong on how deep it goes. But the levels are there and they hold up.
🦊
https://t.co/eXZIv6TUPp

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$BTC
Bitcoin staying weak. No surprise there. But even in a downtrend, corrections happen. Still expecting this last move down from 82k to 58k to get retraced at least to May Low around 72.4k.

Don't expect it to look clean though. Corrective moves rarely are. Probably choppy, grinding, shaking people out in both directions. That's just how counter trend moves work.

Eventually think May Low gets reached. After that, the downtrend resumes. Still expecting new lows by fall. Nothing in the structure right now tells me otherwise.

Not a pretty setup. Not one to get excited about. Just reading what's in front of me and navigating accordingly.

Could be wrong on the timing or the path. But the direction seems clear for now imo.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$XMR
Broke the local bearish structure and then gave back almost 90% of the move. Brutal but not unusual in crypto. This is just how it works sometimes.

Now stabilized near that last low around 310. Price isn't panicking here. It's sitting. That's a difference worth noticing.

My read is we're watching a base forming. If accumulation holds at these levels, the next push should carry price through the last swing high at 438 and potentially toward 2021 High above 500. Both levels where things get interesting again.

Next few weeks will tell us a lot. Either the base proves itself or it doesn't. No need to guess when price will show us.

Watching how it develops. No rush on this one.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$LDO
Thought bulls were ready to push above 2025 Low and take out that first swing high at 0.33. Would have broken the smaller degree bearish structure. Didn't happen. Price had other plans.

So now thinking a sweep of the last low at 0.24 is in the cards. Liquidity is sitting there and the market tends to take what's available before turning.

After that sweep, expecting bulls to carry a rally attempt. If it happens or not is another question. But the path makes sense to me right now.

This is one of those setups where patience matters. Let the sweep come, watch the reaction, then decide. Everything before that is just waiting.

The way I see it right now. Could easily go the other way.
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[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$TAO
Pretty much gave back the entire breakout like move. Now sitting right at 2026 Open inside that wider 190 to 228 pullback zone. Back where it started.

Think it's likely that local low at 197 gets tapped before any real basing begins. Whether that means a new low gets created or not is harder to say. Could happen.

Either way, expecting accumulation in this area. The base needs time to form properly. No shortcuts on setups like this.

Bigger picture hasn't changed. AI narrative is still strong and the mid to long term target remains 376 and beyond. But that's a conversation for after the base proves itself.

First things first. Let the pullback zone do its job.

Keeping an eye on it.
🦊
https://t.co/FgoMCnU9Wk

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$TAO
Bulls turned out not as strong as the breakout suggested. First supply zone between 260 and 293 stopped the advance cold. Sellers distributed and now price is giving back the entire move. It happens.

My current read is we come back into the pullback zone around 190 to 228 again. Probably make a low under the breakout starting point near 205. That's where the liquidity sits and it makes sense for the market to grab it before any real base can form.

If bulls manage to build a proper foundation there, the next move could carry price all the way to 376 and beyond. But that base needs to be earned. No shortcuts.

One step at a time. First the pullback, then the base, then we talk about targets. Getting ahead of it helps nobody.

Been wrong before. Won't be the last time.
🦊
https://t.co/SNTZK7Ofo7

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$WLD
Looks like the correction has started. But worth noting how little price has given back considering how weak Bitcoin has been. That tells you something about the underlying strength here.

Could just be the first part of a deeper move down though. That's what I'm expecting. Strength doesn't mean immunity from a proper pullback.

Demand zone between 0.32 and 0.39 looks like the spot worth waiting for. If price reaches that area, looking for longs aiming at last local high around 0.72 and beyond makes the most sense imo.

No rush. Let the correction play out and show us where the real buyers are sitting.

Market doesn't care about my levels. But the setup is there if it comes.
🦊
https://t.co/Z71mryoGOM

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$WLD
After reclaiming that Range Low back in late May, price just kept pushing. Relentless move all the way up to January High at 0.6625. Can't argue with that kind of momentum.

Now sitting at a level where a breather makes sense. Old yearly highs tend to attract sellers and this one is no different imo.

Leaning toward a correction from here. That demand zone between 0.32 and 0.39 looks like a healthy landing spot. If we get there, that's where looking for longs gets interesting again.

Doesn't have to play out exactly like this. Price could chop around the high for a while before deciding. Or push straight through. But the correction path is the one I'm watching closest right now.

Market always has the final word.
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https://t.co/dF3gBrh0Gp

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$ONDO
Like a lot of tokens right now, showing weakness. But it's still sitting inside that demand zone between 0.31 and 0.36. That matters.

If bulls are serious about another leg up, this is the area that needs to be defended. Lose it and the picture changes. Hold it and something can build from here.

My lean is that the basing process isn't finished yet. Takes time. But once it completes, first target is taking out that last local high at 0.487. Beyond that, Range High at 0.98 is the mid to longer term destination.

Not there yet though. Right now it's about watching whether demand holds and accumulation continues. Everything else follows from that.

No one really knows. This is just how I see it.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$PUMP
Still consolidating at these lows. Not much happening on the surface but that's usually when things are being built underneath.

Bullish idea here is simple. Price sweeps that last low at 0.0013, grabs the liquidity sitting there, and bulls use it as a springboard. From that sweep, the target is breaking bearish structure which means January High at 0.00336 needs to be reached.

That's a big move from current levels. But might happen if the base is real. After that move plays out, a correction would make sense. Will evaluate when and if we get there.

For now just watching the consolidation do its thing. No reason to rush.

Could easily go the other way. But this is the path I'm leaning toward imo.
🦊

[Trader Kitsune @traderkitsune]

$XPL
Broke the smaller degree bearish structure which was a good first sign. Now price is correcting and my impression is that move isn't done yet.

Waiting for a sweep of that last local low at 0.08. If it gets there and consolidates, the base for the next push higher starts forming. That's the level where patience pays off.

From there, bulls could carry a move toward breaking the more significant bearish structure at 0.167. That's the real confirmation. Clearing that level changes the whole picture for this chart.

Lot of work to do between here and there. First the sweep, then the base, then the breakout. Each step earns the next one.

Watching closely before committing.
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