Gluon

Trade faster with Gluon with a speed advantage for every transaction. Trade with Gluon on Telegram. Support:

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

Everyone is vibe coding and trading

be faster by copying the insiders

[igorizuchaetcrypty @igor_mikerin]

$11.4M PnL. Absolute record.

Polymarket trader has become the most successful trader across all prediction markets.

2x gap from second place in the overall leaderboard.

I was surprised, but it’s not a bot trading, it’s a human, and his performance is significantly better than bots.

That’s encouraging because there are way too many bots now.

According to his profile:
> https://t.co/hTs20q87a5

And if it’s a human, you can actually keep up and copy the trades.

Copy trade him via the link:
> https://t.co/EoWQd1Pc2c

Humans are back on top.

[Lunar @LunarResearcher]

I found 3 edges on Polymarket that turned $6,400 into $28,900 in 8 weeks

No insider info. No leverage. No luck

Just public data that 93% of traders ignore

Edge 1: NOAA

The US government runs a $6B weather supercomputer

Satellites. Ocean buoys. Doppler radar. 40 years of atmospheric models

It updates every few minutes

Polymarket prices adjust 9-15 minutes later

That delay is an arbitrage window

NOAA says 84% probability. Market prices it at 12¢

72-point edge. On a free government API

47 trades. 91% win rate. $11,340

Edge 2: top wallets

Top 200 Polymarket wallets have 87% combined win rate and $4.7M in profit

I'm use for copytrade bots @tradewithGluon: https://t.co/CVCfdQxkc5

Fighting them is stupid

Copying them is not

Half-Kelly sizing. 10% max exposure. Auto-execution

134 trades. 84% win rate. $12,680

Edge 3: correlation spreads

Polymarket prices correlated contracts independently

Two contracts that should move together sometimes diverge 15-20%

Short the overpriced one. Long the underpriced one. Convergence does the rest

12 pairs traded. 75% win rate. $4,880

8 weeks. 3 strategies. $6,400 → $28,900

Then I automated everything

Now it runs 24/7 on a Python scheduler

4 hours a week to monitor

The data is public. The formulas are on Wikipedia. The code runs on any laptop

The edge is that nobody bothers to connect the dots

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

https://t.co/1i7Twe4IxH

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

Everyone is vibe coding and trading

be faster by copying the insiders

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

@luksotopia @onasixa @KimDotcom @elonmusk Read dm

[igorizuchaetcrypty @igor_mikerin]

This Polymarket Trader is the Best Trader in the last 24 hours.

The top 50 current Polymarket traders are not people, they are bots.

All of them use one simple strategy related to speculation on 15-minute BTC.

This trader is no exception. He earned $35,829 in 24 hours and $1.5M all time.

His trades can definitely be copy traded if your bot is fast enough.

According to his profile:
> https://t.co/mmMV8aMzJV

Copy his trades:
> https://t.co/EoWQd1Pc2c

If you have questions related to copy trading, I answered everything in detail in the article on my profile.

[RetroChainer @RetroChainer]

Hedge funds extracted tens of millions from Polymarket not by predicting outcomes but by finding where probabilities contradict each other.

Most traders look at markets as separate bets.

"Will candidate X win?"
"Will law Y pass?"

But some markets are logically connected.

And when prices violate that connection guaranteed profit appears.

A real example currently trading on Polymarket:

"Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31?" - 12%
"Will Trump leave office before 2027?" - 8%

If the first happens the second becomes significantly more likely.

But the market prices them independently.

This is called a probability constraint violation.

P(A) ≤ P(B) if A logically implies B.

When that rule breaks arbitrage appears.

\\\
for path in graph.cycles():
if probability_violation(path):
execute_arbitrage(path)
///

Tens of millions of dollars have been extracted from these inconsistencies on Polymarket.

Not because someone predicted the future better.

But because the market contradicted itself.

I track these inconsistencies in real time through a @tradewithGluon bot it scans markets and sends alerts when probabilities violate mathematical constraints.

→ https://t.co/07qRAzCOz1

While everyone is searching for the perfect prediction model, a small group is asking a different question: where does the market break the laws of mathematics?

That's where the real arbitrage begins.

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

https://t.co/wOPdTI055l

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

This wallet made $200,000 in a week

Copy trade link https://t.co/94ZVseS0tt

Quick bets on sports events - this is the one to go to

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

@GenerosiLife yeah

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

Top 3 wallets that our users are copy trading together, cumulative profit reached $23,000 this week

Access to them in the bot 👇

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

@Doonhamer_ @predictdotfun @Polymarket read dm

[Lunar @LunarResearcher]

My dad asked me why I stare at Python scripts at 3am instead of sleeping.

"I'm not trading. I'm calculating."

Every price on Polymarket comes from one equation:

P(i) = exp(qᵢ / b) / Σ exp(qⱼ / b)

This is the softmax function. The same math that GPT uses to pick the next word - Polymarket uses to price every contract.

Most traders see 40¢ and think "cheap." I see 40¢ and check the liquidity parameter.

b = 50 → one whale swings the market 20%
b = 100,000 → barely moves

I'm use for copytrade bots @tradewithGluon: https://t.co/CVCfdQxkc5

Half my old trades were in thin pools. One order wrecked my fill. I was losing money to the formula I didn't know existed.

So I learned it. Then I built a bot around it.

EV = true_prob × (1 - market_price) - (1 - true_prob) × market_price

The bot checks b, calculates EV, sizes with Kelly:

f* = (p × b - q) / b

And executes before my morning coffee gets cold.

$200 starting bankroll. 6 weeks later: $18,700.

I didn't predict a single outcome. The bot just reads the math that 93% of traders ignore.

Full breakdown - LMSR, expected value, Kelly sizing, 5 cognitive traps

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

@2CrabsinABottle Read dm

[Lunar @LunarResearcher]

My brother laughed when I opened a Python terminal instead of book of math.

"Bro you're not a quant, you're betting on weather"

Last Tuesday I ran one formula on a Polymarket contract.

Market said 0.38.
My script said 0.61.

That's not a trade. That's a math error the crowd is making in real time.

One formula runs everything:

C(q) = b × ln(Σ e^(qi/b))

I'm copytrade bots via @tradewithGluon: https://t.co/CVCfdQxS1D

I bought $1,200 worth of YES shares.

It resolved at 0.97.

+$1,860 in 4 days. From one position.

The formula? LMSR - Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule.

Most traders look at 38¢ and think "cheap or expensive?"

I look at 38¢ and calculate what the price should actually be.

That's the difference between gambling and math.

[Lunar @LunarResearcher]

My mom called me crying, she thought I was gambling away my savings on Polymarket.

I sent her one screenshot. She went quiet for 40 seconds.

$41,200. From $200. In 27 days.

"...is that real?"

Not luck. Not sports betting. Google told me the answers before the market heard them.

Every time a topic spikes on Google Trends - Fed decision, Trump indictment, government shutdown - Polymarket prices lag 4 to 12 hours. Millions searching. Market hasn't moved.

That delay is the entire edge.

One Claude agent. One job: watch Google Trends for spikes above 300% tied to open Polymarket markets. Spike hits, market hasn't moved - buy.

Profile Claude agent: https://t.co/H8BkT9SSGs

Day 1: "government shutdown" spiked 840% at 2AM. Polymarket still at 23¢. Agent bought. By noon - 47¢.

$200 → $610

Day 4: "rate cut" exploded 6 hours before the Fed announcement. 3 markets under 15¢. All resolved above 60¢.

$610 → $2,400

I use for copytrade bots @tradewithGluon: https://t.co/CVCfdQxkc5

Day 9: CEO resignation leaked on Reddit. Google Trends spiked at 11PM. Agent was in at 11:02PM. By morning - 5x.

$2,400 → $7,800

Day 14: Pattern - every time "inflation data" spikes 500%+ on a Tuesday night, CPI markets are mispriced by 12-18¢. Three Tuesdays in a row. Agent caught all three.

$7,800 → $16,500

Day 21: "ceasefire" spiked in 4 languages simultaneously. Conflict markets at 11¢. Agent loaded 8 positions.

$16,500 → $29,400

Day 27: Three spikes between midnight and 4AM - when American traders sleep but the world doesn't. 19 trades. 16 green.

$29,400 → $41,200

Only buys below 20¢. Sells above model price. Max $3 per position.

4 billion people google the answer. The market just hasn't heard it yet.

2,700+ trades.
84% win rate.
$200 → $41,200.

My mom still doesn't fully get what I do.

But she stopped crying.

The agent made $380 while she was reading the screenshot.

[Lunar @LunarResearcher]

I told Claude and OpenAI: "here's $1,000 each, trade on Polymarket for 24 hours - loser gets deleted forever."

OpenAI just died.

Claude survived with +$8,741.

Claude profile: https://t.co/LTnmPtrIlP

Gave them both 4 trading modules each. Same BTC 5-minute markets. Same starting capital. Opposite strategies.

Claude: momentum
OpenAI: mean reversion

Claude's performance:
→ 3,847 trades executed
→ +349.6% return
→ 71% win rate
→ covered its own API costs
→ still alive

OpenAI's performance:
→ 412 trades
→ -87.2% drawdown
→ Sharpe: -1.14
→ couldn't cover API costs
→ terminated at hour 19

288 markets daily. $50-90k volume each.

Python + Chainlink RTDS + Gamma API + post-only for maker rebates

I built a gladiator arena for AI bots

One came out printing money. one came out in a body bag.

Copy the winner before everyone finds it via @tradewithGluon: https://t.co/CVCfdQxkc5

What happens if i add a third bot?

[Sevenup @Sevenup27]

Bot made $1000 in 5 minutes on BTC market on Polymarket

He made $1,000 in just 5 minutes trading the BTC 5-minute market

- His PNL is $2 million

- He’s made 27,000 trades

- Biggest win was $41k

He mainly trades on BTC, ETH, and Solana 5-15 minute markets

You can quickly copy his trades using the new Polymarket bot https://t.co/WlCfAhl5kH

His profile https://t.co/92NTTb59O2

[Gluon @tradewithGluon]

@proceedingsx read dm