Traitorlytics

I built a simulator to predict who will win #TheTraitors (I post spoilers!) 🥷🏻🕵🏼‍♂️📊
Play Triators Bingo with me:

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

"Oh my, this season of #TheTaitors is poppin off like a peak @paramore record"

I AGREE - so I'm writing an album about each episode in pop-punk glory, check it out!

Track 0: What's a Red Traitor? (Remember when we didn't know?)
https://t.co/dplSTXlaqo

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@ZacBrox Just my interpretation of the edit - so two sources of error!
But I think Jack and Faraaz appeared closer in the final…

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

Rachel was isolated in the end game. Her only hope was Stephen
This is the end of episode 11
#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@rob230 I couldn’t watch it live, better late than never?

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

At end of episode 11, here’s how likely each player was to win
#thetraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

🏰🔥🎶 I NEED SOME TRAITORS MUSIC

Don’t worry - I’ve got you.

Here’s episode 11’s song

https://t.co/3pXIruPbBJ

#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@the_traitors_ I prefer without.
Traitors can betray each other before the end if they want. Allowing them to win as a team more easily is important (imo)

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@BRich14 It's all my interpretation, of what the edit shows!

I wish there was a more scientific way to do it, but I don't think there is. I could try and crowd source that bit, but I don't think many people would want to answer a big survey every episode!

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

Here's a look at who we could expect in the final episode
#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@BRich14 @samsnowden1997 I keep a spreadsheet which tracks player skill/charisma/influence/heat, then who they’re friends with, suspicious of, etc

Then I’ve written some code that plays the game based on those

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@ArsenalTrader78 @the_traitors_ Information is power!

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

Traitors still heavy favourites, with Stephen overtaking Rachel after Faraaz's revelation.
How do you think this will end?
#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

🎉 BINGO! 🎉

Just completed a column in #TraitorsBingo! @traitorlytics #TheTraitors

Play along at https://t.co/lNqpoOWvzm

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@BRich14 @samsnowden1997 Yah, it’s just pulling players entering the final episode

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@samsnowden1997 I know - it’s a little dodgy!

Tbh, I’ve not dig into it, but I think it’s the model assuming another murder, blocked by a shield, or the (unlikely) chance of a twist meaning 6 in the final episode

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

🏆 WINNING COMBOS 🏆
We're nearly at the end. Model is favouring a single traitor win, with James & Jack the most formidable faithful pair

Who do you think could win this together?

#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

And a look at how they leave. Faraaz unlikely to get banished (even if he survives murder). Both traitors likely to stay until fireplace
#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

THE MODEL HAS SPOKEN.
It sees Roxy as the prime target, as she has way more influence than Faraaz.
Maybe, just maybe, Rachel and Stephen let Faraaz stay and see the game out as a duo
#TheTraitors #TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@sseedfx80 Isn’t James just as good a target? (Altho the traitors don’t think so) I think his reaction to Matt’s banishment could be enough to cement him as a Faithful.
They took out Reece for essentially the same reason

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

Faraaz, like many fine upstanding gentlemen before him, has gone too early.
Should've waited ONE MORE DAY before sharing his Rachel suspicions. Now #TheTraitors could use their last murder on him! 😱😱😱
#TheTraitorsUK

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@arudolph999 @ZacBrox Yeah, this is a good point. BUT we have seen dramatic changes of alliances in the final, so (to quote the famous philosopher Bieber) “I will never say never”

[Traitorlytics @traitorlytics]

@ZacBrox @arudolph999 But it didn’t work for Jessie!