Trollcappers

Now I’m Mr. Never Miss

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

AFTER 3 YEARS I FINALLY FINISHED MY TENNISLOCKS BETTING ENGINE WITH THE HELP OF GROK @bot

it runs inside Google Sheets, rebuilds tennis matches mathematically and creates its own sportsbook prices

now it’s in trial runs to find the true hit rate 🎾 explanation in comments

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

He was injured fck

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Let’s see if he can sweep 0:2

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

💰 MODEL PICKS:
- TOP [SETS PLAYED 2.5] UNDER | 75.0% | OFFICIAL BET

📊 LEANS:
- Match Winner: Hugo Dellien 64.4% | LEAN

🟡 LOW CONFIDENCE:
- Total Games 19.5: UNDER 56.7% | full-match probability

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Sold

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

0:5 H2h

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

@BullsBetss U had blocked me there after I exposed you

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

@BullsBetss Fake model hit rates u used to cap in ur discord about picks also

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

💰 MODEL PICKS:
- TOP [SETS PLAYED 2.5] UNDER | 75.0% | OFFICIAL BET

📊 LEANS:
- Match Winner: Hugo Dellien 64.4% | LEAN

🟡 LOW CONFIDENCE:
- Total Games 19.5: UNDER 56.7% | full-match probability

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Another hint: a 6-1 first set and a 7-6 first set both make the score 1-0…

but they should not necessarily create the same Set 2 probability.

That was one of the doors that finally opened it for me.

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

If your tennis #model is good at Match Winner but keeps missing Over 2.5 Sets, I think I found the reason.

The fix isn’t “boost P3” or use historical 3-set rates.

It’s deeper than that.

I finally got my model to understand why a match reaches Set 3.

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

The biggest mistake I found: player strength and match-state behavior are not the same thing.

If you don’t separate them correctly, your model can double-count strength and quietly suppress 3-set probability.

That’s as much of the sauce as I’m giving away 😂 I can’t give it

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

We are gonna go 6/7 on the flex from the models picks

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Cash all but murkel

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

If u don’t like the sets won then do under 2.5 sets played for those

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Cash ✅ ✅ ✅ Two more matches left now that start at 10

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

If u don’t like the sets won then do under 2.5 sets played for those

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

@HaychBets Let’s see

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

I built a top 5% model !!

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

Easy 💯

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

I forgot to post she won 2:0

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

💰 MODEL PICKS:
- TOP [MATCH WINNER] Sara Bejlek: probability 77.0% | model odds -334 | status OFFICIAL BET

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

@Cliveoff @tims_arrt U Liberian ?

[Trollcappers @trollcappers]

@ObsidicAnalytic Are models are very similar that’s insane