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NEWS FLASH #7 ⚡
Markets are back in the red. 📉 Rising oil prices and escalating US–Iran tensions are putting pressure on equities and adding to volatility.
What’s next for the markets? 👀
#NewsFlash#MarketUpdate#Trading#TRONEXO
📊 Markets look stressed. Look closer — no reason to panic.
❗️ISM Manufacturing 54.6 (exp 55.2, prev 55.6)
ISM Prices 71.1 (exp 70.5, prev 71.1)
Activity slowing, input costs still climbing fast. A light stagflationary signal.
❓ADP 38K (exp 47K, prev 46K)
Confirms the cooldown. Normally a dovish signal — but with stagflation on the table, it isn't that simple.
‼️ US–Iran tensions
Renewed strikes put oil near $91, a one-month high. Feeds the stagflation narrative and boxes the Fed in.
📊 What I'm Watching This Week
US–Iran tension is back on. Oil bid, more room to run if this escalates.
🔻 Tue — ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
Softer print, and the "inflation is cooling" narrative might get confirmation.
💼 Wed — ADP
Second tier, but a miss stacks on Tuesday's story.
‼️ Thu — ISM Services PMI + Prices
The real one. Services prices are where an oil shock actually shows up. Hot = volatility.
🧠 Fri — NFP + Unemployment
Closes the week. A higher unemployment rate feeds the doveish case.
Base case: nothing gets resolved until Friday.
Stay sharp — trade the plan, not the noise.
MARKET WRAP #5 📊
Big Tech climbed, small caps struggled, and a hawkish Fed tone put pressure on gold. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is showing signs of short-term weakness. 👀
Watch the full Market Wrap #5 on our YouTube channel. 🎥
🔗 Link: https://t.co/JuOOZsBucJ
#MarketWrap#Trading #FinancialMarkets #TRONEXO
‼️Everyone was waiting for NVIDIA earnings and Jackson Hole keynote.
NVDA: revenue +106%, data center +117%. Stock closed +8,4% on Friday.
📈CRM, CRWD, OKTA published earning reports as well:
CRM +22.6%
OKTA +29%
CRWD +20.5%
📉Then Friday, Warsh: the Fed will "have work to do" if inflation doesn't cooperate. NVDA -4.4%. S&P 0.3%, Nasdaq -0,5%.
❓Where do you think the markets are going next?
🗓️ Stable data, stable reaction
Markets barely moved this week — most releases landed close to expectations, confirming the trend rather than shifting it.
👍 Consumer Confidence (Aug): 89.4 vs 90.3 exp
🏠 New Home Sales (Jul): 607K vs 620K exp
Both a touch soft → hints inflation is cooling under tighter policy. Long-term trend, not a shock → minimal market reaction.
‼️ Core PCE YoY: 3.3% (in line)
Core PCE MoM: 0.2% (in line)
Right down the middle — no hawkish or dovish tilt. Rates most likely stay put.
💼 Initial Jobless Claims: 203K vs 208K exp
Slight drop = resilient labor market. Reinforces the "hold steady" case.
NEWS FLASH #6 ⚡️
Geopolitical tensions, cooling US data and Jackson Hole are in focus this week.
With Core PCE and jobless claims ahead, markets are watching closely for signals on what could come next.
#NewsFlash#MarketUpdate#Trading#TRONEXO
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📊What I’m Watching This week
Quiet week? Maybe, but there's data with potential impact on the markets.
Monday
A “warning shot“, with limited impact – yet.
🇺🇸Bessent mentioned new set of sanctions against entities related with Iran, however without any specific steps. More specific measures are about to come soon.
📄Tuesday
Consumer confidence and New Home Sales. Insight into broader market sentiment, usually confirming the longer term market trends.
‼️Wednesday
Core PCE Price Index (YoY) – Expected to stay at 3,3%, (MoM) slightly increasing to 0,2% from 0,1%.
Mostly sideways movement expected on indices, deeper correction on gold and bitcoin, after last week’s sharp moves upward.
MARKET WRAP #4 📊
Equities pulled back, gold gained 4% and Bitcoin surged 20%.
What drove these turbulent moves, and could a crypto pullback be next?
🔗 Watch the full Market Wrap on YouTube 👇
https://t.co/6UEdCMCUDR
#MarketWrap#Trading#TRONEXO
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NEWS FLASH #5 🚨
Are markets shifting back into risk-off mode?
📉 Major indices pulled back from recent highs
🛢️ Oil moved higher as US-Iran uncertainty returned
🥇 Gold is up around 12% since the start of August
Next to watch: S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI.
#NewsFlash #Trading #TRONEXO
❓Not the best week? Also not the worst.
📊Indices down +1 - 2% since Monday
🛢️Oil spiked around 4% since the begginging of the week.
FOMC - came as expected = Fed regards inflation as threat, although not serious enough to hike interest rates now.
Gold shooting up, currently at +12% since the beginning of the month.
🧠Don't rush in – the candle looks nice, but if the key levels actually hold.
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MARKET WRAP #3 📊
Inflation cooled, but markets didn’t exactly celebrate.
While CPI and PPI pointed to easing price pressures, oil surged more than 5% and geopolitical tensions continued to weigh on market sentiment. 🛢️
So what’s keeping markets cautious despite positive economic signals?
Watch the full Market Wrap #3 on our YouTube, Discord and Telegram for the bigger picture. 👀
https://t.co/UrtrZUzqi5
https://t.co/ry7KpZR0zK
https://t.co/0ydmDTyb8J
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🤫Everyone calling today "quiet."
Approximately,
🛢️oil moved 2%.
🪙gold moved 1%.
📊equities moved 0.4%.
Quiet tape ≠ quiet market. It just means the risk isn't present all the time.
Hormuz still deadlocked. Transit volumes nowhere near normal.
‼️Wait for FOMC, the big event of the week.