How to miss the 20 trillion dollars investment story of the century: "There's no Tesla Bot, only a guy dancing in a suit!"
@elonmusk has hidden the ~70% complete Tesla Robot in plain sight:
▪️Robot "brain": FSD chip
▪️Robot "body": Tesla powertrain
▪️Robot "teacher": Dojo
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@AndySch64494719@NightrunnerK ▪️According to OSInt estimates Russians are also close to exhausting their cold-war supplies of artillery (or might already have exhausted modern artillery), and might be replacing artillery with "meat waves".
@ej_darcy@Maks_NAFO_FELLA ▪️It's quite difficult to mimic the precise radar, IR, acoustic & visual signature of the Mig-29 (or F-16) striker jets in question.
▪️Russians almost certainly have a network of drones for visual confirmation.
▪️Ie. the Ukrainian bait has to be “real” for Russian SAMs to engage.
If you wonder for what reason I do not create long complex weapon threads any longer:
This is how my profile appears since Elon took over #twitter.
"Free speech", unless you are pro-Ukraine.
I don't show up in search results anymore, my tweets are not listed in the
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@Maks_NAFO_FELLA ▪️Lame excuse: how did they know that Polish border town Oserdów wasn't a target of these cruise missiles?
▪️They didn't: at best they made an educated guess, took a risk at the expense of NATO security, and granted Russia de-facto permission for hostile use of NATO airspace...
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA ▪️You mean the Ukrainian town of Bilhorod, named so by Ukrainian indigenous settlers, currently named “Belgorod” after ~100 years of Russian ethnic cleansing?
▪️Just a recap, photos of Bilhorod (Ukraine), 1918:
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA ▪️Yes, because the perfect time for Russia to “schedule” “maintenance” outages is during peak winter heating season, when power outages will cost lives & damage equipment - not in the spring, summer or autumn ...
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA ▪️If those are real ERA blocks then it's nice that the Russians are enhancing the explosive power of Ukrainian FPV drones, in addition to limiting their driver's field of view.
▪️Makes for a bigger surprise!
▪️There was arguably also the “risk of action”: ordering mobilization & movement of Ukrainian troops would have given Putin the perfect pretext of Russia executing a preemptive strike against an [imaginary] Ukrainian attack. Ukraine had to be unambiguously seen as the true victim, for western support to arrive.
▪️Plus half of those who assumed that Putin wouldn't attack thought that Putin would act rationally and realize that Russia cannot win this invasion.
▪️But Putin the KGB-agent-turned-mafia-boss clearly overestimated Russia's ability to surprise and overrun Ukraine. The rest is history.
▪️Ukraine has two strategic disadvantages in this area:
▪️1) Geography: there's a natural choke-point at Tors'ke, with a single narrow bridge, which Russian artillery & aviation has dialed in to. There's a ~30 km detour to the north, so Ukrainian armored units moving in risk getting trapped on semi-open terrain.
▪️2) Closeness to the Russian border & not enough Ukrainian air-defense units: Ukraine has to prioritize defense of Kyiv & the grain terminals at Odessa.
▪️So I'd not expect a big armored push anytime soon. Last year's counter-offensive at Kharkiv was a lucky break IMO, complacency of Russia leaving that frontline too weak.
@AndySch64494719 ▪️Have to give it to them, for a soft target self-propelled artillery system deep behind the front-lines, which is primarily exposed to drone attacks & air-burst shrapnel, protecting the cabin with ~30 cm of wood is “not wrong”.
▪️What *is* a joke is such protection for tanks...