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[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

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#marketupdates

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Japan’s trade resilience is currency-driven, not demand-led. The weak yen supports exports — but at the cost of imported inflation 📊🔥.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Japan’s exports grew 5.1% YoY in December, marking a fourth straight monthly increase 📦📈. Shipments to the U.S. fell 11.1%, but stronger demand elsewhere and a weaker yen offset the drag 💴.

#trutraderfx #economics #japan

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

With inflation risks still in focus and the yen under pressure, the BoJ is signaling further rate hikes after lifting policy rates to a 30-year high ⚠️🏦.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Meanwhile, the yuan softened slightly, with China’s central bank signaling it’s defending the 7-per-dollar line 🧱🇨🇳.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

The dollar bounced from three-week lows against the euro and Swiss franc as investors waited for Trump’s Davos speech, following renewed tariff threats that triggered a brief “Sell America” trade ⚠️🌍.

#trutradefx #economics #usa #japan #china

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

The yen stayed under pressure as Japanese bond yields surged to record highs on fears of fiscal loosening ahead of Feb 8 snap elections 📉💴. Rising yields failed to support the yen, reinforcing concerns about Japan’s fiscal outlook.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Markets barely reacted. The BoE is still expected to cut rates later this year, with inflation likely near 2% by April or May, according to policymakers.

Inflation is sticky but cooling. The BoE stays patient, and rate cuts remain firmly in play 📊⚖️.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

UK inflation rose to 3.4% in December, above expectations, driven by airfares and tobacco ✈️🚬. Services inflation edged up to 4.5%, exactly as forecast, keeping investors calm.

#trutraderfx #economics #UK

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Despite being the highest inflation rate in the G7, economists see this as a temporary speed bump, with price pressures set to ease as past energy and tariff hikes drop out of the data 📉.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Policy is incoherent: the BoJ prints to cap yields while the MoF props up the Yen. Yield caps don’t remove risk — they push it into the currency.

Japan has assets and options, but denial isn’t a plan. Until policy changes, the Yen remains the shock absorber 📉🔥.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Japan heads to Feb 8 elections with leaders downplaying fiscal risk. Bad timing. Global yields are rising, and markets are losing patience with governments drowning in debt ⚠️.

#trutraderfx #economics #japan

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

After election news, Japanese yields jumped but the Yen still fell 🚩. That shouldn’t happen. When higher rates fail to support the currency, you’re in fiscal crisis territory, like the UK in 2022.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Germany is still battling producer-level deflation, but it’s energy-driven. Core industrial prices remain firm, keeping inflation risks alive once energy effects fade 📊⚠️.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Germany’s producer prices fell 2.5% YoY in December 2025 and 0.2% MoM, with full-year prices down 1.2% 📉. The drop was driven almost entirely by energy prices, which plunged 9.7% YoY, led by sharp declines in natural gas (-14.6%) and electricity (-11.1%) ⚡🔥.

#germany

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Strip out energy and the picture flips: producer prices were up 0.9% YoY, showing underlying cost pressure in capital goods, consumer goods, and intermediates 🏭📦. Precious metals surged +47.7%, while capital goods rose 2.0%, signaling resilience in industrial pricing power.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

The UK labour market is losing steam. Falling payrolls + rising unemployment point to slowing economic momentum, despite resilient headline wage growth 📊.

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

UK payrolled employees fell by 155k YoY and 33k MoM by November 2025, with early December estimates showing a deeper drop to 30.2M workers 📉. Payroll declines have now appeared in 8 of the last 12 months, signalling sustained labour market cooling.

#trutraderfx #economics #UK

[TruTraderFx @trutraderfx]

Wages remain elevated in nominal terms, with pay growth at 4.5–4.7%, but real wage growth is modest at under 1% after inflation 💷. Vacancies ticked slightly higher, yet overall hiring momentum remains weak.