tryNeutral

delta-neutral, mostly | market making on "everywhere" | exploiting market inefficiencies | love probability mathematics + AI + crypto + tech | philosopher

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Eltonma @betmoardotfun I've told you before, your way of working is flawed too much, your liquidity provision has too much tail risk, clearly this is not a good approach. You provide liquidity but gain absolutely no advantage.

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Eltonma The larger the payout, the more your profits will disappear when a risk occurs. This isn't about daily profits, man. It's like always buying shares at 99 cents; your win rate is high, but you earn very little profit compared to your capital (risk).

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@securezer0 Do you want to know why someone would place an order like that?

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@securezer0 Because you haven't understood the nature of the order book on the polymarket. A sell order of 100M Yes at 99.9 cents is the counterpart to a buy order of 100M No at 0.1 cents ~ that's 10M cents ~ equivalent to $100,000. There's no $99M in liquidity as you think.

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@mmdhrumil That's a nice interface, bro.

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Eltonma @betmoardotfun Sorry, I just checked your on-chain wallet and didn't notice your active positions. You do have around $2 million in capital. So, regarding tail risk, how have you handled it?

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Eltonma @betmoardotfun Just one losing trade in an averse selection loss situation could wipe out your entire month's reward. Your model relies on rewards and rebate fees for profit...

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Eltonma @betmoardotfun I've looked at your quoting and order execution methods. Your capital is around $200,000. Your approach carries a very high tail risk. You could also encounter an averse selection at any time.

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@predict_anon 我也注意到了这一点；API运行更流畅了，而且幽灵填充问题也消失了。

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@CryptoDevinL 你的观点非常正确，问题在于人。对于 Libra，每个人都将其与特朗普进行比较，然后遭到整个 Libra 团队的伏击。金融世界就是这样，只有数字，没有爱。如果你读了这篇文章请回复我我的朋友。

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Katherine_XBT 我操你妈你比薛蛮子还狠

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@BTCdayu 哈哈，风险管理永远是首要任务。在这个加密市场，任何事情都可能发生

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@nambitdefi A bị thịt nên a akay :v. Ý tưởng kèo xxx mà thành ra toang :v

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@CryptoDevinL 我在交易中没看到你。

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@0xSunNFT 当时我醒了，3分钟内就买了。不幸的是，我对估价抱有很高的期望。我在市值为 10 亿美元时买入，但 40 分钟后一切都崩溃了。我认为市值是200亿美元。兄弟，请提供任何建议。

[tryNeutral @tryNeutral_]

@Gemhunter88 Giao dịch như bạn quá mạo hiểm. Bạn cắt chốt lời sớm. Nhưng gồng lỗ rất sâu. Ví dụ bạn chốt lời ở 10% nhưng cắt lỗ khi lỗ tới vài trăm phần trăm. Thì tỉ lệ thắng 95% là bình thường b ah. Nó tỉ lệ theo RR.