No regreats @trytolearn7life - Twitter Profile

$SPY $QQQ Jackson Hole 🕳️ 2025 🍌 For those who remember , last year I forecasted a 50bp cut days before Powell Speech at Jackson Hole. And it happened ... weeks later the Fed lowered the federal fund rates by 50 basis points. One year later here I come again 🍌💛 This time there are more balls flying around which makes it more tricky but I'll explain my take. We've got a tale of two economies , on one side disinflation has been the steady drumbeat , core CPI cooled overall. Sadly there was a recent bump which was July PPI jumping 0.9% MoM the hottest in quite some time , thanks in part to tariff pressures pushing up goods and services costs. On the other side we have labor market showing some cracks , retail sales mixed , demand tricky and household debt climbing. These guys needs to remember they have a DUAL mandate. And so far despite the recent bump showed on PPI , the constant for weeks has been a disinflationary environment and mixed labor market and consumer Powell WONT ignore the labor side. He shouldn't 👀 he most likely will downplay the recent PPI as transitory. Bottomline this pressures could evaporate via deals or policy shifts. A 25bps will be hinted "officially" or as I say , he will plant the seed for that move 🌱 even after that rates will continue restrictive enough to control any potential upside on inflation but also will bring some initial support to growth. Not financial advice !!! Much love 🍌💛💛💛

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EliteOptionsTrader

@EliteOptions2

11 months ago

Today marks 7 years on X. Since 2018, this platform has been nothing short of life-changing. I’ve made incredible friendships, meaningful connections, and had the privilege of helping thousands of traders along the way. This past year especially has been one of growth—both personally and professionally. I’ve leveled up, aligned with the right team, and locked in on my mission: to help as many traders as possible reach their potential. To all my loyal followers—thank you. Your support means the world. Even to the critics—you fuel me. You push me to sharpen my edge and show up with even more intent every single day. Here’s to many more years of growth, community, and impact. Let’s keep building. 🙏

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