If you are not making money during this run:
You are likely trading the WRONG stocks..
For the last few weeks, all I've done was:
-Focus on strong themes (Semis, space, memory)
-Buy these names on pullbacks into the EMA's
-Hold these winners & don't sell too early
Once these start building bigger bases, now you are going to look for rotation into emerging themes.
How to know where to look?
1. Start With Relative Strength
Emerging themes always leave footprints.
You’ll notice:
-Certain groups stop selling off during weak markets
-They recover faster than indexes
-Multiple stocks in the same niche begin moving together
-Volume starts increasing across the sector
For example:
$IGV was making new highs while $QQQ was still below the previous all time highs
This showed relative strength in the ETF, and software stocks began to emerge with strong setups
2. Scan Weekly Charts First
You will start noticing that when almost every stock in a sector is setup on the weekly timeframe.. and explosive move follows.
Emerging themes usually appear first on:
-Weekly bases
-Weekly breakouts
-Multi-month consolidations
For example data centers recently.. all had a massive weekly base
3. Follow Volume Closely
Volume is one of the clearest signs of institutional participation.
You will start noticing:
-Highest volume EVER print
-Accumulation volume patterns
-Low volume sell offs
-A breakout with expanding volume often signals real demand
This tells you that institutions are piling into the trade
4. Watch for “Character Changes”
One of the earliest clues is a change in behavior.
Examples:
-Stocks stop failing on breakout attempts
-Pullbacks become shallow
-Names begin closing near highs instead of lows
-Weak sectors suddenly start holding moving averages
A new theme usually starts with:
-Better closes
-Better reactions
-Better continuation
before the headlines catch up...
For example $PLTR and $HOOD in the last few days.. starting to act much better and changing their characters.
5. Track News Narratives
Themes are often tied to macro narratives:
-AI spending
-Government backing
-Defense budgets
Follow themes, and stocks that have a REASON to go higher.
For example drone stocks last week, after the news that the government might take a stake...
Now this becomes top watch.
6. Focus on the Leader (Most important)
Every theme usually has:
-a leader
-secondary names
-laggards
The leader is where institutions concentrate first.
Your goal is to find the strongest theme, the strongest sector, and the strongest stock in that sector.
Characteristics of a leader:
-breaks out first
-has the best volume
-holds moving averages best
-reacts strongest after pullbacks
Most importantly... stack probabilities
Theme + Catalyst + Setup + Leading stock = super performance
My advise to a Friend who thinks the market is passing him by because he doesn't have enough capital.
I remember when I was just married, I had 2 friends who were making Big $$$ and my trading account had maybe 10 - 30K, they were making 100K per week with their stock options. I felt I would Never catch them. Fast forward 35 years of grinding, learning how to trade better, a few Monster wins and compounding and I have crushed them. And You will too.
#1, U will continue to get stopped out 65-70% of the time. Keep ur losses to 5%. Never draw down more then 20% off the high in bear markets. Refine your selection process and be Uber selective. Dealing in only the best merchandise is a Super power. Opportunities like NVDA are going to accelerate!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I answer subscriber questions like this every Wednesday, on everything investing, growth stocks, crypto #BTC and a Lot more. https://t.co/UkFoeQBtoY 2 weeks FREE.
I always keep track of the Leaders breaking out in the first few weeks after a FTD. Some of the best returns in these type names historically.
For all my Focus List ideas and top Educational Videos for newbies to advanced traders, check us out https://t.co/KXLO2hzLuA
#stocks #leaders #FTD $spy $qqq
Looking better the past couple of days with the FTDs but still need to work off the 7 distribution days and get over and close above the high from 4/9/2025
My thoughts after market close on 3/11/2025:
The market is not a place to look for medium to long term investments right now. This is not what you want to see and this is a typical stock/etf today:
Tier 1 Leaders: $NVDA $AVGO $TSLA $APP $RDDT $ALAB $SPOT $CAVA $PLTR $CRDO
Want to know what sandbox I am invested in or playing in? ☝️🦆
Patience for opportunities at the lows of bases to add or sharp pullbacks to play. No chasing. Rookies chase.
Warren Buffett who is currently the 7th richest person in the world worth $150,000,000,000.00 just sent out this letter explaining his thoughts on distributing his wealth after he passes away
A thread 🧵⬇️
What really works in the market
1. Pullback after breakout
2. Trend break and rejection
3. Liquidity trap mean reversal
These are 3 concept that you need to get familiar with because all markets are moving in this direction
#tradingtips
Bill Ackman is an American billionaire & hedge fund manager
Ackman instructs his new hires to read 11 books to sharpen their investing skills
Here are 11 books that will elevate your investing game (+ 1 bonus):