@amitisinvesting 🚥Red light , green light, red light, green light,🚨. The lack of clear transparency is F’ing up portfolios DJ trumpets 😂 I guess we haven’t heard the big lady sing 🎶 yet. Stay prepared retail 🫠
OPEX day reminder for retail 👇
Don’t get fooled by the “unwind pump” narrative.
Options expiration doesn’t magically make stocks go up — it just removes positioning pressure.
What actually matters:
• Where dealers are hedged
• Call vs put crowding
• The underlying trend (this is the big one)
In names like Devon Energy:
– Heavy call chasing recently
– Weak price action into OPEX
– Sector (energy) not helping
That’s NOT a bullish unwind setup.
Common trap:
Retail sees a dip → expects OPEX bounce → buys calls → gets faded.
Reality:
If positioning was crowded long, the “unwind” can mean LOWER, not higher.
Smart money watches:
• Key levels reclaim (not just intraday pops)
• Oil / macro drivers (for energy)
• Post-OPEX follow-through
Don’t trade the narrative. Trade the positioning.
$SOFI $AMD $ELF $QQQ $IREN $AVGO $CRM $HOOD #OPEX #OptionsTrading
Tariff refunds just became a sneaky catalyst 👀
https://t.co/ssj4xgOMFd
The U.S. is about to return $100B+ to companies that overpaid tariffs — and beauty brands are right in the crosshairs.
💄 $ELF (e.l.f. Beauty)
- Heavy overseas sourcing = big refund potential
- Immediate cash boost 💰
- Lower COGS → expanding margins
- Keeps prices low → profits rise
👉 This is how you get EPS upside + multiple expansion
🧴 $HNST (Honest Co.)
- Smaller impact, but still meaningful
- Margin relief = better path to consistent profitability
- Less upside than ELF, but stabilizing
⚠️ Catch:
This is likely a one-time tailwind, not permanent. New tariffs are already being discussed.
📊 Market angle:
If refunds hit earnings before expectations adjust → upside surprises are coming.
$ELF looks like the biggest beneficiary here.
$NKE
@smiley2814@realalexstone He also just said on an interview that he thought it was him as a doctor. Do we actually he is that naive or that we all are?