Size your bag for a whale’s exit. Their sell is tx0. tx1 sizes your trade against it and your loss budget.
CA: FPBNgdFbyjECDpDaYV5FLU5h7XNEFmX5S93zj2NhJmyy
TX1@456557801, replayed on https://t.co/kFZ9hXzcuc.
$TX1 is still on its Meteora DBC curve. A wallet with 1% of supply sells first and takes 136.35 USDC out of it. A $500 bag lands at index 1 and gets 408.88 instead of 424.17.
Run yours before it graduates.
The top holder doesn't queue. They're already at the machine.
tx1 runs their sell first on a copy of mainnet, then yours, and shows what the pool still pays out.
Know what's left before your turn.
A cluster on a bubble map is one sell that hasn't happened yet.
Ten linked wallets with 12% of supply? Run them as one:
tx1 run <coin> --bag 500 --seller 12%
tx1 sells that 12% first on a copy of mainnet, then your bag. Size on what comes back.
Cheap to trade isn't safe to hold.
In our paper, 32 coins cost $20 or less to round-trip $1,000. A 2% slippage cap treats them alike. Behind a 1% sell, the biggest entry that lost at most $50 ran from $52 to $689.
Size on their sell, not the quote.
https://t.co/eRVZd7k1XR
Your exit starts where their sell ends.
STONK@455461137, 0.5% of supply sold first: a $500 bag got 497.77 USDC alone and 404.06 right behind it. Same pools, same slot.
tx1 runs both on a copy of mainnet. Hold or size on the second number.
Some exits don't come from one wallet. They come from five.
Soon tx1 takes several sellers: the top 5, or the wallets you pick. They sell at index 0 to 4 on a copy of mainnet. Your bag sells at index 5.
Know what tx5 gets before you hold.
Free, no key: the wallets that can end a chart.
https://t.co/0oKxtOISuh<mint> lists a coin's largest wallets, pools and programs left out, each with its share of supply. Put it in your bot before it buys.
Then run the top one before you size.
Your exit works on your machine.
On mainnet, the top holder sells first. tx1 runs their sell on a copy of the current slot, then yours, and shows what comes back.
Size for what passes.
Crash-test your bag before the top holder's sell does it live.
Their sell first, yours right behind, on a copy of mainnet. Stay only if what's left is worth it.
https://t.co/kFZ9hXzKjK
Two coins in our paper, each with a top wallet holding 3.1% of supply.
Behind that wallet's sell, a $500 bag got 60% of its solo exit on one and 3% on the other.
A holder list shows who can sell. Size on what's left after they do.
https://t.co/eRVZd7kzNp
main is live: tx1 runs the top holder's sell, then yours, on a copy of mainnet. As of today, on the curve too.
Next: several sellers. The top 5 go first; you're index 5.
Next: watch a wallet. The moment it moves, tx1 runs again.
tx1 now runs coins on the curve. https://t.co/pGOrbB58YX and Meteora DBC.
First one: $TX1, still on its own curve. Behind a sell of 1% of supply, a $500 bag keeps 96% of what it gets alone.
New coins spend their first hours on a curve. Size them there, before the top wallet moves.
A run locks 500 TX1 in escrow before it starts.
A number comes back: the 500 burns. No number: the escrow sends it back. If our server goes down, you reclaim it yourself once the request expires.
You only pay for an answer.
Every chart has a wallet that can end it.
Type a coin on https://t.co/kFZ9hXzcuc: its 10 largest wallets are listed with their share of supply. Pick one, and tx1 sells its whole bag first on a copy of the current slot, then yours.
Know who you're holding against.
Neither is posted liquidity.
In our paper, a pool sized from a coin's deepest DexScreener pair missed the executed exit by more than a tenth of the quote in 34% of runs.
tx1 executes the sell, then yours. Size on what comes back.
https://t.co/eRVZd7k1XR
Every bag looks fine until the top holder leaves first.
tx1 runs that sell on a copy of mainnet, then yours, and shows how much of your bag still gets out.
Size it before they move, not after.
https://t.co/kFZ9hXzcuc
Top 10 holders: 22%. That number is a sell that hasn't happened yet.
tx1 runs it first on a copy of mainnet, then your bag behind it:
tx1 run <CA> --bag 500 --seller 22%
Then decide how much to hold.
$SAMM (CA 4mX2CMvaBXXy4ZANRvnp4gwuNcKjUtcVNycrBeV1pump) doesn't have snipers and insiders per devsnightmare. losther, Sossa, BeanzzSol, zi, Beast AI are top holders.
No major clusters on Bubblemaps. CEX cluster has 29.6% (low). Binance funded wallets have 13.5%, Coinbase 4.8% (low, red flag), Moonpay 3.1%, HitBTC 2%, Revolut 2%, OKX 2%, Bybit 1.6%, Mexc 1.6%.
Top 10 holders have 22%, 660 holders with an average bag at $155. Nfa
A $1.4M bag is still index 1 when the bundlers sell first.
If they still hold coins, their sell is still ahead of yours. tx1 runs it first on a copy of mainnet and shows what your bag keeps, before you decide to stay.
Honestly feel bad for Jeltics.
Invested $1.4M in SI and has been used as exit liquidity from some of the most notorious bundlers in the space.
Wish him the best but highly doubt the majority of them are anywhere close to out of coins either.
How a run works:
Pick a coin and who sells first. tx1 copies its pools at one slot, puts their sell at index 0, yours at index 1, and executes both. What comes back is your exit.
Below: $PENGU behind a 0.1% seller, replayed on https://t.co/kFZ9hXzcuc. Public runs replay free.