TexasTrades

🚀 Master the Markets | Options Trader | Stock Enthusiast
• Decoding Market Trends & Turning Them into Profitable Plays
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[Stock Talk @stocktalkweekly]

Lumen $LUMN is up +18% this morning.

As usual, we were ahead of the herd. This is the thesis I shared with our members on April 15th...

[Stock Talk @stocktalkweekly]

*SILVER DOWN 32%, GOLD DOWN 12% -- LARGEST SINGLE DAY DROP FOR PRECIOUS METALS IN HISTORY

[TexasTrades @txtradeoptions]

#WARSH #TRUMP #FED #StrongDollar $SLV $GLD
On the surface, nominating a known "inflation hawk" like Kevin Warsh seems to contradict President Trump’s vocal demands for aggressive rate cuts. However, the move is being viewed by market analysts as a calculated, multi-layered tactic.

Here is a breakdown of why this nomination might actually align with the President's goals:

1. The "Credibility" Play
President Trump has frequently criticized Jerome Powell for being "too slow" or "political." By nominating Warsh—a man with deep Wall Street roots (ex-Morgan Stanley) and a reputation for being an inflation hawk—the President is choosing someone the markets view as highly credible.

The Tactic: A credible Fed Chair can cut rates without the market panicking about inflation. If a "dove" (someone who always wants low rates) cuts rates, the market might fear a currency collapse. If a "hawk" like Warsh cuts rates, the market believes it's because the data truly supports it, which keeps the dollar stable and bond yields in check.

2. Warsh’s Recent "Policy Shift"
While Warsh was an "inflation hawk" a decade ago, he has recently pivoted. In early 2025 and late 2024, he argued that if the government focuses on deregulation and spending cuts, the Fed would have "room" to lower interest rates safely.

The Tactic: Trump likely sees Warsh as an ally who will "coordinate" with the administration's fiscal goals. Warsh has suggested that the Fed should work more closely with the Treasury—a stance that traditionalists see as a threat to Fed independence, but that the President views as essential for his economic agenda.

3. The "Regime Change" Focus
Warsh has been a vocal critic of what he calls "mission creep" at the Fed (focusing on climate change or social issues).

The Tactic: Trump’s priority isn't just interest rates; it’s a total overhaul of the institution. Warsh has called for a "regime change" at the central bank. By nominating him, Trump ensures a Chair who will likely strip back the Fed’s non-monetary initiatives and focus strictly on the economy, which matches the administration's broader "deconstruction" of the federal bureaucracy.

4. "Central Casting" and Personal Loyalty
The President often emphasizes that his appointees should "look the part." He has referred to Warsh as being from "central casting."

The Tactic: Beyond policy, Warsh has strong personal ties to the President's inner circle (his father-in-law is Ronald Lauder, a long-time Trump confidant). Trump likely believes Warsh will be more "loyal" or at least more communicative with the White House than Powell was, satisfying the President's desire to have a "smart voice" that is listened to during Fed deliberations.

The Market's Interpretation
The reason gold and silver are falling today isn't because the market thinks Warsh will never cut rates; it’s because they believe he will restore the value of the dollar. Investors are betting that under Warsh, the U.S. will have a "strong dollar" policy and a more disciplined Fed, which removes the "fear factor" that usually drives people into precious metals.

[Stock Talk @stocktalkweekly]

Photronics $PLAB: "We are benefitting from meaningful reshoring of capacity to the United States"

Exactly what I highlighted in my original $AMKR & $PLAB thesis in the clip below.

[Stock Talk @stocktalkweekly]

The $PLAB calls that many of you saw on the flow on Monday was our community.

The stock is up +40% this morning.

Our calls are up +500%

[TexasTrades @txtradeoptions]

@BecauseBitcoin This is annoying...

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

THE DATA-CENTER BUILD-OUT IS BECOMING THE FOUNDATION OF TOMORROW’S AI CITIES

• Compute Plants | $NVDA, $AMD
The city’s engine rooms with racks of silicon doing the real work that powers AI services.

• AI Factories | $TSM, $INTC
The industrial plants turning raw silicon into the chips that everything else runs on.

• AI Utilities | $CRWV, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR
The public-works providers selling raw GPU compute like electricity or water.

• AI Highways | $AVGO, $ALAB, $MRVL, $CRDO
The roads & bridges that move digital traffic across neighborhoods & out to other cities.

• Construction Machinery | $ASML, $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC
The cranes & precision tools that make it possible to raise new towers and expand capacity.

• Design Studios | $ARM, $CDNS, $SNPS
The architects drawing up the blueprints for each new generation of chips.

• Cloud Anchor Tenants | $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $ORCL
The hyperscalers filling these towers with demand.

[TexasTrades @txtradeoptions]

@MapleStax "Trade"

[Beth Kindig @Beth_Kindig]

Morgan Stanley forecasts global data center spending will triple from $307 billion in 2024 to $920 billion in 2028, with chip and server spending rising from $178 billion to $484 billion.

$MSFT $AMZN $GOOG $NVDA $AMD $AVGO

[Mr. Stonkington @MrStonkington]

8/11 Prep post

8/12 CPI
8/14 PPI
8/15 Retail sales, UoM consumer sentiment/inflation expectations

ERs $AMC $NU $KULR $ASTS $BBAI $PLUG $CRWV $CSCO $JD $BIRK $AAP $DE $GPRO

Notable inside bars

Weekly
$TEM $MSFT $IONQ $FCX $MSTR $C $UNH $MRVL $PYPL $BABA $ORCL $BULL $SBUX $META $DAL $NKE $JPM

[Devoted Dividend Investor @DevotedDividend]

If you buy $ULTY ~ $6.00/share
&
It pays ~ $0.10/week

You will be paid back 100% in 60 weeks 😳

Do you guys own any of this one?

[laptoptravel @laptoptravel]

Get Ready to Ride the Wave with WYFI – The Hottest IPO of 2025! How Does BTBT Benefit? Discover Why $WYFI and $BTBT Are Set to Explode on August 7th – Expert Analysis, Chart Insights, and Top Entry Points for Your Next Big Win! #WYFI #IPO2025 #AIStocks #StockMarket #InvestingTips #BTBT #TechInvesting #StockAnalysis A MUST READ! --> https://t.co/2FTRE1FvVB

[Robert P. Balan @RobertPBalan1]

https://t.co/vx0TYyvnZg

[Filing Tracker @FilingTracker]

$BMNR 9.1% position by Peter Thiel:

https://t.co/vLOtIMYKWT

[TexasTrades @txtradeoptions]

@MapleStax Trade

[Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com @fundstrat]

$GLXY @novogratz
Our head of digital assets research, @SeanMFarrell sees this as “one to watch” 👀👀

[TexasTrades @txtradeoptions]

$NBIS...nice consolidation on daily...Is it ready for another leg higher?

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

HERE ARE THE TOP 15 GROWTH PERFORMERS OF 2025

1. $OKLO +160%
2. $ASTS +134%
3. $PGY +130%
4. $HOOD +123%
5. $MP +111%
6. $TMDX +111%
7. $HIMS +104%
8. $TEM +97%
9. $STNE +93%
10. $NBIS +87%
11. $NVTS +87%
12. $RBLX +82%
13. $NET +80%
14. $ROOT +77%
15. $PLTR +73%

[Adam Khoo @adamkhootrader]

YouTube ( $42.5 billion ) generates more revenue than Netflix ( $39.2 billion)

NFLX trades at P/E 63x , while GOOGL trades at a P/E of 19x

One is still a steal right now