tychefi

Tyche Finance fully on-chain!

[tychefi @tychefi]

Crypto is virtually dead. No volume no vibe at all...

[iEarth @iEarth432]

这波标题党有点吓人，其实谷歌这篇 paper 干的事情，大概可以翻译成两句话，以及为什么今天根本不用慌：🛡️

1）如果未来真造出一台 50 万物理量子比特、可容错的怪物级量子机，它在理论上可以用改进版 Shor 算法，在大约 9 分钟里把比特币的 ECDSA 私钥算出来；

2）他们把原来“需要几百万甚至上千万量子比特”的想象，硬生生优化到了“几十万量子比特就够”，所以Q-Day 从科幻题材升级成了规划议程。

但这跟“现在就能9分钟撸爆比特币”有几个关键差别：

目前最强的量子机还在几百到一两千物理量子比特徘徊，误差率高得离谱，离 paper 里假设的 50 万容错级设备至少差一个时代；这就像理论上算出了“光速飞船能穿越星际”，但人类现实中还在烧煤。

谷歌团队自己也在 论文里强调：这是资源估算与算法/纠错优化，不是“我们已经造出了那台机器”，真正的危险窗口更接近 2029 这种时间尺度。

不如探讨下真正的应对路线，@grok 几个更有价值、也更需要你来解的题是：

1.按照目前量子纠错技术（QEC）和物理量子比特数量的增长曲线（类似摩尔定律），距离造出论文中所需的“能执行9分钟破解的容错量子计算机”，科学界最保守的估算还需要多少年？

2.从密码学角度看，比特币如果要在不“自杀式硬分叉”的前提下，引入抗量子签名（比如基于格的方案），最现实的迁移路径是什么？是先让新 UTXO 使用 PQC，再逐步迁移老资金，还是有别的更优路线？

3.远古巨鲸危机：中本聪时代有大量采用 P2PK（公钥直接暴露）格式的早期遗留钱包。如果这些上古巨鲸不主动进行抗量子迁移，未来量子算力成熟时，这些价值连城的比特币会被黑客直接合法“挖”走吗？

[tychefi @tychefi]

Web2 - What You See Is What You Get (WYSIWYG)
...
Web4 - What You Wish Is What You Get (WYWIWYG)

[tychefi @tychefi]

@linberty @primitivecrypto @DoveyWan What makes you say that? From my perspective, her English is actually quite good. She has a strong vocabulary, clear pronunciation, and she's very fluent.

[tychefi @tychefi]

@Easychain99 @BTCdayu 你这个谬论！现货也不想拿高深套。肯定是可以高卖低买，做阶段性波段才是王道！易肯定是看到了趋势所以壮士断腕，但是还可以未来更低点接回来，说不定已经有挂单了，或者计划挂买单呢。这样他的货没少，未来币价回升，照样一条好汉！

[tychefi @tychefi]

AI is the Information God: What you wish is what you get!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@ottimogo @mscryptojiayi Of AI, By AI, For AI

[tychefi @tychefi]

@Bleeding_Crypto Sounds very positive for crypto tho!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@mayemusk You are brilliantly amazing!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@EmmanuelMacron Happy Chinese New Year!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@giantcutie666 隐私问题是最大的可能致命的阻力

[tychefi @tychefi]

Chain-native assets shall be the new norm soon!

[tychefi @tychefi]

Strange enough 4h FVG still not fully filled...tantalizing & def. interesting to see & learn its upcoming development!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@WhaleSatoshi FVG not fully covered yet... 85 K still possible!!!

[tychefi @tychefi]

V-shape is forming!

[tychefi @tychefi]

Trading Lessons #1 -> only move after a big move!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@rmanoel2020 @TrumpTruthOnX You just forget who initiated all of this? One who has been always self-centered could never advance meanwhile only finger-pointing at others. Funny world we are all in!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@fullonlabs Awesome! Cannot wait any longer!

[tychefi @tychefi]

@fullonlabs Can't wait to play on it!!!

[FullOn Labs @fullonlabs]

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