Magnus Öberg and Therese Pettersson, both part of @UCDP, discuss how indirect deaths from war far exceed the fatalities recorded in conflict datasets.👇
https://t.co/4PTq8sgho1
Israeli military data shows 83% of deaths in Gaza were civilians.
UCDP's Therese Pettersson calls this "unusually high", comparable to Rwanda & Mariupol.
Guardian piece highlights civilian suffering & challenges in assessing wartime casualty data https://t.co/JZQzn9k4Xo
After a long time I created a map I want to share.
Data from @UU_Peace (UCDP GED 24.1).
Each dot = a violent event since 1989
🎨 Color = type of violence
⚖️ Size = fatalities (best estimate)
A new article by UCDP's Magnus Öberg and Mert Can Yilmaz in Research & Politics reveals that differences between major conflict datasets aren't driven by sourcing strategies or inclusion thresholds as previously claimed.
(1/3)
Read the article: https://t.co/YO7js5sWAa
Some key findings:
- Most differences stem from how projects handle ambiguity & uncertainty in poor information environments.
- Auxiliary coding rules (e.g., counting "people killed" as 2 vs 10 fatalities) explain 90%+ of differences in some cases.
(2/3)
Trending in #InternationalRelations:
https://t.co/AsSo7eC8Bp
1) Organized violence & civilian victims (@jpr_journal)
2) Green industrial policy (@npejournal)
3) Limits to derisked decarbonization (@ripejournal)
4) Fortress AUKUS (@ip_palgrave)
5) Third World & decolonisation
Want to know more about conflict deaths across the world? @OurWorldInData has now updated their visuals with the latest data from UCDP. https://t.co/7oerbhDrWT
The war in Gaza features one of the highest civilian-to-combatant death ratios of any modern conflict. UCDP:s Mert Can Yilmaz elaborates on this in Dagens Nyheter (in Swedish) https://t.co/4eUhKwiSKG
New @UCDP data shows conflict is at a historic high. In 2024, the world saw 61 state-based conflicts - the most since WWII. Africa tops the list, nearly doubling in a decade.
“Now is not the time to retreat from global engagement," PRIO’s Siri Aas Rustad warns. https://t.co/1YNiBn2n70
“The number of interstate conflicts doubled from two in 2023 to four in 2024. This is the highest number recorded since 1987, reflecting a trend in which interstate conflicts have become increasingly common since 2016.”
Since 2010, the number of conflicts involving states has almost doubled, and the total number of deaths has increased five-fold. Read more about the new UCDP data in this @JPR_journal open access article:
https://t.co/JVjumK6D3q
@JoakimBlom6@OAJonsson Enligt UCDPs definition (den mest använda inom forskningen) är väpnad konflikt strider mellan två organiserade parter som resulterar i minst 25 direkta, stridsrelaterade dödsfall under ett år, och de väpnade konflikter som orsakar minst 1000 döda under ett år definieras som krig.
What does the latest data say about global conflict trends?
UCDP’s Therese Pettersson joined the launch of the @PRIOresearch Conflict Trends Report, sharing UCDP’s latest findings.
📺 Watch: https://t.co/xsCLK41A77
📷: Kia Michaelsen
In their new paper, Schumann and Bara connect different forms of war-related UCDP violence and specific civil wars. A valuable read for anyone looking to understand how various forms of violence intersect and impact conflict dynamics. https://t.co/0iGzHY73LK
We are now receiving applications for one fully funded #PhDposition in peace and conflict research, with a focus on political violence in democratic countries. Read more. 👉 https://t.co/gDlxrQz48x
Also see our general PhD position.👉 https://t.co/yxm7mAX9d9
#Democracy
UCDP's Therese Pettersson talks conflict trends & the emotional toll of researching violence on Finnish Radio Yle Vega.
(In Swedish)
https://t.co/FkMP9Zk1D7