Paul Breed

Unreasonable Rocket, NetBurner, Pilot , A+P, Embedded dev, KL7JG, machinist, sometimes triathlete.
Fill the Hubble volume with Humans! 10^33 humans or bust!

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

Savery's Pump, Edison's light bulb, Wright's flyer, Ford's assembly line , Teller's gadget, Neil's step, @Spacex landing. HUGE HUGE DEAL!

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@venturetwins Wrong paste....

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

AI stuff is so random. Updated to a new Pixel 10 from @google Thought that new Gemini features integrated into the phone would be helpful. Has to be the worst AI experience I've ever had... This is the Android Gemini App on a brand new Google flagship phone and its telling me where to search for things on a iPhone screen.

Asked it for help with android settings and its telling me to click on things that aren't on the screen and selections that don't exist.

Claude and Grok were way more helpful setting up an Android phone than googles own assistant app (which is supposed to be the high point of this new phone) on that same phone.

You'd think it could read the screen on its own phone rather than argue with you about buttons that don't exist.

This was while connected via a Wifi 6/7 over super fast 2.6G fiber connection, so it does not even have the excuse of not having access to a good model and using the local drainbamaged mini model.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@GeorgeWHerbert @SciGuySpace @BestCoastBrian They get to check this with real world data...
https://t.co/HInoXBNbPA

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

Interesting AI coding observation.
With AI I'm way more productive.
With AI the documentation is probably better (will anyone ever read it in the future?)
However it does not have the same sense of satisfaction.
Solving a complicated/hard problem with elegance and skill gives you a real sense of pride in what you have accomplished. Doing it with AI's help robs you of some of that and seems to mess with your sense of motivation. May we live in interesting times.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@XFreeze 2nd try

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@kegrocket @JasonPremoMFG No that's the thing you jog into the work and snap the bottom off of...

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

It was stressful, but I had the skills and my wife and I did 99% of the work ourselves. There is a real sense of satisfaction doing something hard. That was in 1987.
We sold that house in CA and moved to a house in NH, that did not need a whole lot of work. (I did install circulating oil fired hot water heat) We've since moved back to a house in CA and tore that one down to bare studs in 2006 and rebuilt.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

Full 360 Video of the Starship Launch from the Breezy.
Just uploaded so the quality will improve as You tube processes it. If you view on an phone with the youtube app the video moves where you point the phone.

https://t.co/8gxm5GNVSr

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

I absolutely love AI—it's changed and improved my professional life in amazing ways.
That said, Nvidia sits at a ~$5T market cap. Using historical mature-company PE ratios (say 5x), that requires $1T a year in profit. Assuming 50% gross margins, that's $2T in annual sales—roughly $240 for every man, woman, and child on Earth.

This feels a lot like the railroads in the latter part of the 19th century. They built real hardware and real infrastructure that delivered enormous long-term value for society... while wiping out waves of investors who bought at the peak.

(I think I'm going to go start a tulip garden somewhere in the South Seas...)

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@Truthful_ast The ships have all gone bang at almost the exact same moment, I. The exact same way. This is flight termination system activation. They don't want to leave floating navigation hazard or ITAR violation.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@keaton_hare Workign hard to keep Starship in frame.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

No convective activity in the launch area. Will be some scattered mid level clouds, and a bit more haze than yesterday, but weather looks good for the flight. (6pm CDT hrrr model shown)

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@McgregorJonryan @keaton_hare @StarCobShipSon It's basically a super cub with weird fuselage. Lycoming io 360... Adsb in /out etc...not an ultralight.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@cayucosine I have no idea how to answer that. The valuaiton is insane..... and its become political if the dems win the midterms there going Elon hunting... so really high risk.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

Current HRRR weather model for 6pm here. 5PM is similar. This is the rain/converctive view is that cell far enough out that starship goes over the top? Does not change much from 5pm to 7pm. (End of launch window) Current Brownsville metar is 10sm and few clouds at 4800 ft scattered at 7000

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@Robotbeat @keaton_hare Yes

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@Orbital_Perigee @keaton_hare Will be live streamed PaulBreed on yt.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

Right now the HRRR and NAM short term hires weather models both have convective cells that would violate starship launch criterion in the area at launch time, they differ in their distance to the launch site. SpaceX says 55% wx good. The HRRR runs every hour and have not had consistent results for launch time. Current wx in the area is spicy.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

@zaitcev @B9C_Mike Not this time it's handheld by front passenger.

[Paul Breed @unrocket]

This is a frame from the video captured from the Breezy today testing the live stream for the upcoming launch.