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Equally hopeful/fearful about AI.
There is nothing in this world that never takes a step outside a person's heart.
@elonmusk@Nature The problems in the scientific literature are vast. Like any human endeavor it is prone to our primate foibles. Thankfully on a sufficiently long time horizon, science is self-correcting. This too shall pass.
during my anthropic interview the guy asked “would you slowly torture your grandmother to death if it stopped aliens from exploding the earth” and when I said I didnt want to think about that he scribbled “does not want to think” on a napkin
@Aella_Girl@AVintenAuthor obsessing about 'safety' beyond some reasonable point is a really surefire way for me to know someone is fucking lame and worth ignoring.
Use this heuristic, saves time. Same potato people who were still talking about masking in late 2022.
@Aella_Girl@waifuterf I find it very erotic, but it's also... hard work. You have to control your own arousal to be able to deliver the experience the sub wants. Praise to the dudes out there that can have a sexual encounter and run through 50 knot configurations. I have trouble removing a bra.
@algekalipso@robinhanson Wasn't trying to make light of it. I wouldn't wish cluster headaches on anyone. Maybe Hitler, for like... 2 months (not 2 months straight, I'm not a monster).
@dwarkesh_sp@buccocapital off-topic, but bong-hit related... any chance of getting Gwern on again to talk about his guardian angels thing? It validates me psychologically. please and thank you
If you're not gonna rip bong hits with your cousin, who will you hit them with lol.
But in all seriousness, while I think the arguments for industrial explosion are quite robust (https://t.co/6qjJ5T60HD) I think without that context what I was saying there made wouldn't make sense, and it was unnecessarily confusing to not clarify that.
@_jmwebb@growing_daniel Note that I said "some of those people are well calibrated". That is the important part. The specificity/money are just validating details. And it's not "inherently unpredictable" just higher variance than other types of prognostication.
@_jmwebb@growing_daniel They're not completely made up. Some people in the rat-sphere made VERY specific numerical benchmark predictions, and wagered money on them. Some of those people are well calibrated.
I used to play the p(doom) game, but I'm not an "epistemic peer" anymore. Shit got crazy.