some updates:
looking to take delivery of the puts I sold. Purchase average on this clip is ~64k.
I am short some 44 DTE calls @ 97k strike.
I am looking to make my next purchase closer to 55k on BTC. I don't think we see much lower than 49k at most.
Updates 4 da day:
- Finally took profit on my short 105k BTC Jan_17_2026 Calls @ ~23% avg
- Sold to open 70k BTC Jun_26_2026 Puts
Positions:
- long BTC Spot
- short put ladders (70K-58k) for 43-60 DTE
- short TQQQ $55 strike for 39 DTE
Looking to sell more calls when we get a bounce.
just saw this! I am looking to take delivery on all these. Will put my average buy with premium included @ 64k. This is the first clip i am buying. Looking to sell more put ladders in a few weeks from 64k - 50k. My total delta off this purchase is ~1.2 btc. Will add 1-2 btc next ladder
Updates 4 da day:
- Finally took profit on my short 105k BTC Jan_17_2026 Calls @ ~23% avg
- Sold to open 70k BTC Jun_26_2026 Puts
Positions:
- long BTC Spot
- short put ladders (70K-58k) for 43-60 DTE
- short TQQQ $55 strike for 39 DTE
Looking to sell more calls when we get a bounce.
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Selling vol has two awesome features:
1. You start from a well-defined edge
2. You don't have to be smart to do it
Being smart is actually counter-productive.
The more intelligent you are, the more you can fool yourself. You might think that your discretion adds value. That you can manage complexity. That you can cleverly avoid drawdowns.
Start from the assumption that you don't know anything, except:
1. The variance risk premium exists
2. The only way to harvest it, is systematically
So you need consistency, simplicity, and risk tolerance.
Consistency because volatility trades are individually volatile. You need a large enough sample to beat randomness.
Simplicity because your system needs to be measurable. For every decision rule, think about whether it complicates the feedback loop.
Risk tolerance because you need to handle drawdowns. They're inevitable. Position size accordingly. Don't overwrite the rules to try to prevent a drawdown. Don't rewrite the rules every time a drawdown happens.
If you start treat volatility selling with humility and discipline, you will inevitably make money.
@0xBossman Honestly, you have to give it to the cycle timers. They nailed the timing. I personally thought price should have been higher in Oct 26, but timing was more important that level