The accusation that I am antisemitic is appalling and fundamentally dishonest. Criticizing the actions of the Israeli prime minister, a military technology contract, or the executives who supply it is not the same as criticizing Jewish people. This critical and necessary dialogue is then dishonestly framed as being anti-Israel. To be clear, my views come from my own political convictions and should never be interpreted as hostility toward Jewish people, for whom I have deep love and respect. Everything I know about acting, activism, and humanism has been profoundly shaped by the Jewish friends, colleagues, and loved ones who have been integral and family throughout every point of my life.
This merger has real consequences for real people, and for the entire country. Scrutinizing the Ellisons, including Oracle’s business built on data, surveillance technology and government contracts, and the serious threat to editorial freedom and the loss of a livelihood for thousands of families, is fair and necessary. The $111 billion deal would hand one family control over CNN, HBO and Warner Bros., backed in part by foreign money whose influence on editorial decisions has never been fully explained to the public.
Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle have called for serious national security review, and regulators still haven’t given the public a real answer. Until they do, the merger shouldn’t move forward. Now is the time to dive boldly into all these issues, not step back or concede.
Quién es Fernando Cerimedo, el asesor de Milei y otros políticos de derecha acusado en Bolivia de ordenar un ataque de sicarios contra su pareja https://t.co/YNs076eonz
La película La Voz de Hind Rajab recrea las llamadas que recibieron voluntarios en las últimas horas de vida de la niña. Es desgarradora.
(Está en Netflix).
Last week I posted a new paper with Patrick Norrick: “Terra Incognita: The Economics of a Shrinking World.”
We chose the title deliberately. No society in history has experienced the fertility levels now seen in South Korea, China, Thailand, Colombia, Chile, and many other countries. Our knowledge of the causes (and of the economic consequences) remains far more limited than most public discussion acknowledges. Much of what we write is, at best, educated conjecture.
The paper also struggles against a space limit. We wrote 20,000 words, far from the 250,000 or so we would need to address some issues in more detail (if I had the time and resources to hide away for a year, I could do that, but not now). That means some ideas are only sketched.
Nonetheless, we emphasize several important points.
First, fertility has fallen very fast everywhere: rich and poor countries, east and west, north and south, conservative and liberal societies, religious and non-religious societies (with the exception of the Jewish population of Israel; fertility has also collapsed among the Muslim population within the pre-1967 borders), you name it. Even in sub-Saharan Africa we see fast and unprecedented drops in fertility (alas, from a high initial level).
Second, and this is really interesting, the fertility collapse has been concentrated in poor and lower-middle-income countries much more than in rich countries. By now, income per capita and fertility are positively correlated within OECD countries. We conjecture this will hold globally in a few decades.
Third, and related to the second point, the fertility collapse has been concentrated among poor and lower-middle-income women within countries. In countries such as the U.S., the rich and highly educated now have more children than the poor and less educated.
Fourth, we document why we do not understand the data from the U.N. World Population Prospects. See, for example, Tables A.1 and A.2.
Fifth, we explain why some proposed mechanisms struggle when confronted with the data.
A more subtle point is at work here. Many commentators do not seem to understand the difference between proximate causes and ultimate causes. Yes, births might have gone down because fewer women are in long-run relationships. That is the proximate cause. But you need to explain why fewer women are in long-run relationships (the ultimate cause), and saying that they spend more years in school, to take one example, does not get us very far. Why do they spend more years in school? Once you start down the whole chain of reasoning, things become much harder than they seem.
The paper can be found here:
https://t.co/VrCHr0lBPa
Comments always welcome!
Cuentas Nacionales de 2T26 del terror. Cae inversión, Construcción con 4 trimestres de caida consecutivos y Consumo cae en todos sus componentes. Muy difícil crecer 1% este 2026
#AlertaCIPER Plan de Quiroz contra la “permisología” permitió aprobar millonario negocio de su hermano a pesar de informe negativo del Sernageomin
🔎 Proyecto inmobiliario cercano a dunas de Concón implica una inversión de US$43 millones
https://t.co/6J1jIs8xQo
An absolute banger and yet maybe her third best song? All You Wanted, Are You Happy Now, The Game of Love, Breathe — Michelle was throwing 102mph fastballs like Jacob Misiorowski in the early naughties.