Champion Stakes today, 4:00 Ascot π
29 Group 1s at 1m2f since 2023: favourites win 48%, and 20 of 25 winners were 1st or 2nd in the betting.
At Ascot, 5 of 7 winners came from the back half.
Ombudsman v Calandagan, again? Our data π
@TricastRacePro Yeah , winner jumped 2 classes which should give him a 10% chance of winning. interesting to see what his speed figures will be when i update.
The βcanβt loseβ bet: won last time out AND dropping in class π
We backed every one since 2023. 2,190 runners.
24% won. Still β9.6% for every β¬1.
When everyone can see it, the price is gone. The more obvious it looks, the worse it pays π
Yesterdays Results:
Perth chases, how we did: favourites 1 from 4 (we said 43%). Kabral du Mathan obliged at 2/9; I Wish You failed to finish. Our likely leader Tanking Along won at 4/1. Misses included π
Fontwell hurdles, how we did: favourites 2 from 5 (we said 41%). Fastest on our figures Katios Queen won at 2/1, plus three 2nds. Likely leader Uncle Remus won at 10/3
Perth chases today π Favourites win 43% of chases here, the second-best track in Britain & Ireland (average 34%). 4 chases: the favourite, the fastest on our figures, and who should lead π
Fontwell hurdles today π Favourites win 41% of hurdles here (average 38%). Nightflyer at 2:54 is favourite, fastest on our figures AND likely leader π
Last night at Kempton, how did our card do? π
Favourites: 4 of 9 won (44%). We said 37%. β¬1 on each = +β¬0.08. Short prices!
Fastest on our figures: 2 winners incl. Siwa Oasis 9/2, plus 2 seconds. β¬1 on each = ββ¬1.50.
Kempton tonight π Favourites win 37% here, the best of any all-weather track. Race by race: the favourite, the fastest on our figures, and who should lead. Six races where our fastest is bigger than 5/1 π
Where do favourites win most often?
Top 20 course + race-type combos in GB & Ireland : π₯ Wetherby hurdles 48%
π₯ Lingfield hurdles 48%
π₯ Hereford hurdles 47%
Average favourite: 33β38%. racecards are live: https://t.co/94hcaKzrk6
#horseracing#betfair