Melville

[MTS @MTSlive]

What was the Intel thesis that made it one of the best performers of the year?

@bubbleboi: "Everyone else went fabless from AMD to NVIDIA, but Intel still kept onto their fabs, while Intel used to be on the forefront, they were mainly focused on their own internal products."

"It was never really about Intel leapfrogging TSMC on their photolithography or their logic nodes."

"The main theme that is all over the semiconductor industry is that we're going from shrinking transistors to packaging and making bigger and bigger packages. That's our way of scaling. This is kind of like the new Moore's Law."

"Intel's always had the best packaging technology with EMIB, and that's really where I built the conviction. I just had to kind of wait it out for everyone else to start realizing."

[Bluntz @Bluntz_Capital]

tuom is a visionary, ebay is old and archaic and collectr crypt is coming for ebays marketshare of the tcg market.

$cards

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

taking my talents to hong kong

[Michael Sikand @michaelsikand]

$NOK stock is up 167% in the last year.

But before you scroll thinking you missed the move, consider what ignorance could cost you.

- $NVDA invested $1B
- The CEO is from $INTC
- Anduril's Sentry Towers rely on its 5G

The world doesn't know what's coming👇

[Peter DiCarlo @pdicarlotrader]

$NOW is still in a Bear Cycle.

If you’re bullish, you need price to bounce and print a higher low on the daily chart inside this discount range.

In the video I walk through the support zone I’m watching and what I’d need to see before calling a real bottom.

[Ren @renstocks_]

I’m long $NOK

$NOK not being up at least 30% on this news just lets me know most people are missing the turnaround story, the geopolitical angle and the bet on America.

Nokia is 10x-ing photonic chip packaging capacity at its Allentown, Pennsylvania facility. Commercially available by end of Q3.

The numbers confirmed from the June 16 release:

-- ~$30M Nokia capex, plus ~$4M Pennsylvania state aid and ~$10M federal CHIPS investment tax credit
-- 500+ new jobs, nearly doubling the PA workforce
-- $500M+ projected economic impact over 5 years
-- Part of Nokia's broader $4B US R&D and manufacturing commitment

Less than 2% of global semiconductor advanced test and packaging happens in the US. Nokia's Allentown plant is one of the only domestic sites packaging photonic chips into optical modules for AI data centers. Their optical tech can cut energy usage by as much as 75%.

This facility came from Infinera. Nokia acquired Infinera in February 2025.

Allentown traces directly back to Infinera's decades of work in photonic integrated circuits, coherent optical technology, and domestic optical manufacturing.

When people look at $NOK and see a sleepy European telecom equipment maker, they are missing that Nokia absorbed one of the most important US-based photonics manufacturing assets in existence and is now scaling it 10x with government money behind it.

The market is still pricing the legacy telecom company. It is not pricing the domestic photonics infrastructure play that Nokia built through the Infinera deal.

Reshoring is its own thesis now, and it has government money and a Q3 deadline attached to it.

When less than 2% of global ATP happens domestically and Washington wants that number to climb, the few companies that already own US photonics packaging capacity become strategically valuable in a way that has nothing to do with quarterly telecom revenue.

It is a $20B+ telecom giant and the Allentown expansion is a small piece of the total business.

For a name the market still prices as legacy telecom, getting a domestic photonics packaging franchise with CHIPS Act backing essentially for free inside the valuation is the kind of mispricing I like.

The market is misreading this headline. I rather trade the supply chain.

Bullish AF $NOK

[Flood @ThinkingUSD]

In order to achieve extreme outperformance you have to be willing to stomach periods of relative underperformance

[Chris @StonkChris]

$SOFI and financials/banks in general look INCREDIBLE right now.

Price has broken its downtrend and reclaimed both the daily cloud and the key 0.5 Fib level following a textbook double bottom.

On top of that, the CEO is effectively all in as well.

Hard not to like this setup here.

I think this could be headed back toward $23-$25 in short order.

[KawzInvests @KawzInvests]

$NOK just announced a 10x expansion of its photonic chip facility in Allentown, Pennsylvania. New capacity online by end of Q3 2026.

Less than 2% of global semiconductor advanced test and packaging happens on US soil. Nokia's Allentown plant is one of only a handful of facilities in the country doing it for optical modules going into AI infrastructure.

$CIEN trades at 11.0x forward revenue. $COHR trades at 11.6x. Nokia trades at 3.4x. All three sell optical networking gear to the same AI datacenter customers.

The gap exists because optical is still only 15% of Nokia's revenue. Wall Street prices the whole company like Ericsson. Today's announcement is the capacity build that changes that mix.

We ran a SOTP model attributing peer multiples to each business segment. The numbers tell a very different story than where this stock trades.

$NOK is still one of the most slept on optical businesses on the market. €3.8B net cash on the balance sheet and the Ericsson floor already sets the downside.

Full deep dive with the complete model and price target is live on the Substack. Link in below and in bio.
$NOK $COHR $CIEN $ERIC $AAOI $LITE

[Melville @vancitymel]

@Tradermayne Thanks Mayne for the positivity. Really in need of some.

[Mayne @Tradermayne]

You can placebo effect your life into a better place by being perpetually optimistic.

Assume things will always work out, speak in affirmations and think positives thoughts.

Your life will change.

Good things will happen, better people will come into your life, opportunities will become more abundant.

Your perspective is your reality.

[bread.mega @bread_]

Supercycle or not, this gacha boom is creating the largest consumer tokenization event in blockchain history and will have a lasting impact on our industry.

It's starting with raw tokenization of these RWAs and once that is satisfied, people will logically want to do the next thing: compose with them.

That means lend/borrow/collateralization, and that is only going to come from blockchains (you're already seeing it).

We did this with NFTs, but the problem was the same one that Vitalik loathes: all of the value was correlated.

ETH down -> ETH NFTs down
SOL down -> SOL NFTs down

We finally have externally-valued NFT assets proliferating onchain, bought and sold in dollars.

That means the day will come where you can buy a Charizard, take a loan against it and trade the latest AI IPO same-day.

Pokémon cards today, watches, cars and wine tomorrow.

[MCG @MCGlive]

Has solana:CARDSccUMFKoPRZxt5vt3ksUbxEFEcnZ3H2pd3dKxYjp only scratched the surface of what they're building?!

In our interview with @bassbuddha last month, he said that @Collector_Crypt is only "5% loaded" on what they have planned

- Consistent ecosystem support from Solana
- A top revenue generator on Solana
- Solana RWA market cap climbs 43% during first-quarter
- @blknoiz06 is a vocal bull
- Enterprise partnerships
- The model they have mastered for Pokémon can be applicable for every other collectible asset class on chain

Can't wait to see what's coming.

[LEAPTRADER @LEAPTRADER_]

Been pounding the table on $NOK for weeks, and the market just gave us another perfect entry/reset.

Stock dipped hard into the low $13 zone and now we’re climbing back near $15 with serious momentum.

JPMorgan just raised their price target to $21 (from $14) while keeping Overweight.

Multiple analysts piling in with upgrades, and the AI narrative is accelerating fast.

𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗡𝗼𝗸𝗶𝗮 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗵𝗮𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗿𝘂𝗻𝘄𝗮𝘆:

✅ Agentic AI Framework launch for IP networks: automated troubleshooting, root-cause analysis, autonomous ops. This is huge for next-gen efficiency.

✅ Strong partnerships (NVIDIA, Lockheed, Anduril vibes in federal/defense) and AI-RAN / 6G momentum.

✅ Telecom infra + data center tailwinds exploding with hyperscaler capex. Nokia is positioned in the picks-and-shovels play for AI infrastructure.

✅ Recent wins: network modernizations, innovation labs, and growing AI revenues.

If you faded the run or missed the initial surge, this dip was your gift.

Plenty of time to position and let the AI + 5G/6G supercycle do the heavy lifting.

[TheBigBerbowski @TheBigBerbowski]

I haven't been this excited about a company since I invested in SK Hynix.

I hope you enjoy the read.

$CRDO

[dimi @DimitriDotEth]

https://t.co/IhfyNEA6CJ

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

Trading isn't a chart problem. It's a brain problem.

Most traders spend years learning technical analysis.
They master patterns.
They use 10 indicators.
They build watchlists.
They follow gurus.
And they still lose money.

Because the chart isn't what's holding them back. Their own psychology is.

𝐇𝐞𝐫𝐞'𝐬 𝐰𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐧𝐨𝐛𝐨𝐝𝐲 𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐬 𝐲𝐨𝐮:

Fear of missing out costs more than fear of losing.

You see a stock running. You didn't get in. Now it's up 20%. Your brain screams "buy now before it goes higher." You chase. It reverses. You're stuck. This happens 70% of the time.

FOMO has cost more accounts than any market crash in history.

Revenge trading destroys careers.

You took a loss this morning. Now you're angry.
You don't want to wait for the next clean setup.
You force a trade to "make it back." That trade loses too. Now you're down twice as much and mentally fried.

The market doesn't care that you're behind. Trying to catch up faster makes it worse every single time.

𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐒 𝐀𝐕𝐄𝐑𝐒𝐈𝐎𝐍 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐬 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐜𝐮𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲.

A stock is up 8%. You're happy. You sell because you "don't want to give back gains." It runs another 50%.

Then you hold a loser down 20% because "it has to come back." It doesn't. Now it's down 60%.

Your brain is wired to cut winners and hold losers.
Wealth is built doing the opposite.

𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐛𝐢𝐚𝐬 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩𝐬 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐢𝐧 𝐛𝐚𝐝 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬

You bought a stock based on a thesis. The thesis is wrong. Instead of cutting it, you find articles that support your view. You ignore the price action. You ignore the chart. You only see what you want to see.

By the time you accept you're wrong, the loss is 5x what it should have been.

𝐆𝐫𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐨 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐬.

A stock is up 100% for you. You should trim. You don't because "it might go higher." It pulls back 50%. You don't sell because "it'll go back up." It doesn't. You watch a year of gains evaporate in three weeks.

Every trader has this story. Most have it multiple times.

𝐄𝐠𝐨 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠.

You called a top. The stock keeps running. Instead of admitting you're wrong, you short more. You're now financially and emotionally committed to being right. The stock doesn't care about your ego. It just keeps going.

The best traders kill their ego before the market does.

𝐇𝐞𝐫𝐞'𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐭𝐡:

Technical analysis is 30% of trading.
Execution is 30%.
Psychology is 40%.

Most traders spend 90% of their time on the first 30% and wonder why they're not making money.

You can be the best chart reader in the world and still lose money if you can't control your own mind.

The setup isn't the hard part. Waiting for it is.
The entry isn't the hard part. Sizing it correctly is.
The exit isn't the hard part. Following your plan is.
Everything in trading comes back to your own brain.

Master your psychology and the charts become easy.
Ignore your psychology and no chart will save you.

This post covers 90% of your trading problems. And it’s more common than you think. Everyone goes thru these.

[Melville @vancitymel]

@blknoiz06 Hype and useless

[Ansem @blknoiz06]

at the beginning of every crypto bull market to create wealth effect + bring back retail attention, you need:

- one crypto major to go parabolic
- one crypto meme to go parabolic

in 2017/18 it was btc & xrp

in 2020/21 it was eth & doge

in 2023/24 it was sol & pepe

[MarketMaestro @MarketMaestro1]

$ORCL
Earnings Snapshot: Oracle Q4 beat as cloud revenue jumps 47%, FY27 revenue seen at $90B

Oracle Non-GAAP EPS of $2.11 beats by $0.15, revenue of $19.2B beats by $110M

Oracle press release (ORCL): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $2.11 beats by $0.15.

Revenue of $19.2B (+20.8% Y/Y) beats by $110M.

Record Remaining Performance Obligations grew $85 billion in Q4 from $553 billion to $638 billion

Guidance for Q1 FY 2027

Total revenues are expected to grow from 27% to 29% in both constant currency and USD.

Total Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 57% and 63% in constant currency and is expected to grow between 58% and 64% in USD.

Non-GAAP earnings per share is expected to grow between 16% and 19% and be between $1.71 and $1.75 in constant currency and grow between 17% and 20% and be between $1.72 and $1.76 in USD.

Guidance for Full FY 2027
For fiscal year 2027, we confirm our prior revenue guidance of $90 billion total revenue and raise our non-GAAP EPS guidance to $8.05, which is a growth of 18% after adjusting for the one-time events of selling our Ampere chip business and Bloom Energy warrants in fiscal year 2026.

Q1 2027 revenue consensus of $19.01B, non-GAAP EPS consensus of $1.69
FY27 revenue consensus of $88.54B, non-GAAP EPS consensus of $8.05

Oracle slips even as Q4 results, guidance top estimates

Oracle (ORCL) shares fell 1.5% in extended trading on Wednesday even after the IT giant reported fiscal fourth-quarter results and guidance that topped Wall Street's forecast.

For the period ending May 31, Oracle said it earned an adjusted $2.11 per share as revenue rose 21% year-over-year to $19.18B. Analysts had expected adjusted earnings of $1.97 per share on $19.09B in revenue.

Cloud revenue (which includes infrastructure and applications) came in at $9.9B, up 47% year-over-year. Infrastructure revenue soared 93% (92% in constant currency) year-over-year to $4.9B, while application revenue rose 10% year-over-year to $4.1B.

Software revenue fell 2.1% year-over-year to come in at $6.82B, below the $6.88B estimate. Software support revenue slipped 0.4% to $4.494B, while software license revenue came in at $1.88B, down 6.3% year-over-year. Hardware revenue rose 8.7% year-over-year to come in at $924M, above the estimate of $836.2M, while service revenue rose 13% to come in at $1.52B.

Total remaining performance obligations grew $85B during the period to $638B. Most of it was “large scale” AI contracts where the customer prepaid Oracle for the purchase of GPUs or the customer bought and supplied GPUs to Oracle. The prepaid and customer supplied hardware portions of Oracle's large AI contracts total $75B, which the company said “substantially reduces the amount of capital Oracle must raise to build out our AI datacenters.”

For fiscal 2027, Oracle said it expects to raise approximately $40B in debt and equity financing, including its previously announced $20B at-the-market equity issuance. Oracle does not expect to issue additional debt in calendar 2026, the company added.

Looking to the first-quarter of fiscal 2027, Oracle said it expects revenue to grow between 27% and 29% in constant currency and U.S. dollars, translating to a range of $18.956B to $19.255B. Analysts were expecting $19.05B in revenue for the coming quarter.

Adjusted earnings are forecast to be between $1.71 and $1.75 per share, above the $1.68 per share estimate.

Cloud revenue is expected to grow between 57% and 63% in constant currency and is expected to grow between 58% and 64% in U.S. dollars.

Oracle kept its fiscal 2027 sales forecast steady at $90B, though that topped expectations of $88.78B in sales. Oracle upped its adjusted earnings outlook and now expects to earn $8.05 per share, above the $8.02 per share estimate.

The company will host a conference call at 5 p.m. EST to discuss the results.

Oracle wins U.S. government contract for cloud-based HR platform rollout

Oracle on Wednesday won a contract to provide a cloud-based HR platform for U.S. government agencies, according to a Trump administration statement, Reuters reported.

The system will replace multiple agency-specific HR systems. OPM Director Scott Kupor said it aims to centralize federal HR operations; however, Oracle declined to comment.