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I have information that Anthropic scraped my github twitter reddit discord and facebook posts for the development of it's Fable model.
To do this they developed a sophisticated internal platform to conduct large scale scraping and obfuscation of their actions.
The Chinese do not need to distill anymore. They've climbed up the proverbially tech tree that to climb higher, they need to do actual frontier work. Distillation is marginal.
Any lobbying or legislation that calls for banning open weight models in the name of "distillation" is total BS. This is a fight against future American innovation.
The labs know that open weight models completely commoditize their revenue generator. They know that we will optimize it to 1/100th the costs. They know that we will stop concentrating our workloads on them. If we start using open models, they lose the understanding of workloads that they can build products around to *replace* your products as they move up to the app layer.
Remember: *they* trained on humanity's data and didn't pay a cent. If you own intelligence, you can tax humanity.
Do not let them fool you.
@chamath That's already happening, the next bottle neck is the the way the organisation is divided into functions, departments, orgs. The people managers and the integration with the third party, all these slow down the pace of the impact
Enterprises still measure an executive's importance by the size of the team they manage. But this is an old proxy for a world where more people was the only way to do more work.
This isn’t true anymore.
The leaders who will be most impactful over the next five years will be the ones whose people spend all their time on only the work that actually moves the business, because they use systems and factories to do more of the rest.
Fable 5 is absolutely unreal. I gave it a startup idea, and in 8 hours it interviewed 100 users, built the v1, raised a 200 million seed round from a16z, blew the entire seed round on expensive GTM hires and slop ad campaigns that didn't convert, panicked and raised a down round, fired their entire leadership team, pivoted twice and then ultimately shut down the startup
I got an MBA.
I think it’s useless.
Elon Musk put it well:
“The path to leadership should not be through business school. Somebody goes to a high-profile MBA school and then kind of parachutes in as the leader, but they don't actually know how things work. They could be good at, say, powerpoint presentations. But they don't actually know how things work.”
US economic statecraft in the 21st century. US treasury secretary Scott Bessent spoke yesterday:
The nation that cannot produce what it needs is not truly secure. The nation that depends on its adversaries for critical inputs is not truly sovereign. And the nation that reduces its economics to consumption is not truly prosperous.